09/06/2026
Myth Buster No. 4: Harvesting causes large emissions of carbon, so forests are better managed without harvesting as carbon stores and for creation of carbon credits
Keith et al. (2014, 2015, 2022) concluded that harvesting and removal of biomass from native forests results in high net carbon emissions. These conclusions have been used to promote anti-forestry activism by organisations in Tasmania, NSW and WA (e.g. Cross et al. 2023), in Victoria (Sanger 2022) and by sections of the media. The Victorian State Government decision to close the native forest timber industry was partially based on the belief that this closure would deliver a large reduction in carbon emissions (D’Ambrosio 2019).
Recently, the Australian Climate and Biodiversity Foundation (ACBF 2025) and subsequent several media statements by it have advocated that total cessation of native forest harvesting will create large amounts of monetised carbon credits, and to promote this business case they levelled harsh and unjustifiable criticisms at current native forest management.
A review of scientific literature on the effects of forest management on carbon balance in Australian native forests (Raison 2024) concluded that a systematic and reliable assessment of the carbon flows associated with harvesting requires the application of a full Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) framework that accounts for: temporal changes in carbon stock at the harvested site; emissions associated with managing and harvesting, transporting logs and processing wood products; storage of carbon in products in service and after disposal in landfill; emissions saved by using residues to generate energy otherwise produced by the combustion of fossil fuels; benefits of substituting wood for more emissions-intensive materials such as steel, aluminium or concrete in construction; and the often higher (Ximenes et al. 2016; Venn 2023) carbon footprint of imported wood products.
The only study in an Australian native forest (Ximenes et al. 2016) using a complete LCA concluded that sustainable harvest and use of biomass for conversion to products or energy can reduce net emissions.
The review by Raison (2024) also concluded that the studies by Keith et al. (2014, 2015) have either been incomplete (did not use a full LCA), used inappropriate parameters (e.g. low figures for the proportion of felled biomass removed) to estimate components of the total carbon balance, or overestimated the rate of carbon gain in older forests (based on limited field sampling, inappropriate extrapolations and dubious assumptions) and the capacity of unharvested forests to store carbon over the long-term given the recurrent wildfires in our environment.
Consequently, Keith et al. overestimated the net carbon gain by unharvested forests and underestimated the carbon benefits achievable from wood harvest and use and reached the erroneous conclusion that cessation of harvests would provide better carbon outcomes than sustainable management including for wood production.
As an example of the impacts of harvesting on carbon balance at the State level, a brief analysis is provided below for NSW where 9.1% of the forest estate is State Forest and only a small part of this is harvested annually using selection silviculture. In 2022–23 about 650 000 cubic metres of log was harvested (public + private) (ABARES 2024c). One cubic metre of wood contains approximately 1 tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2-e); and on average, approximately 70% of felled biomass is removed offsite in logs (Raison and Squire 2010; Ximenes et al. 2016; Raison 2024).
Thus, the total carbon in all the felled trees to provide 650 000 m3 of logs annually is approximately 0.93 Mt CO2-e (i.e. 650 000/0.7) and only about 0.8% of the annual anthropogenic GHG emissions in NSW. This figure sets an upper limit for carbon emissions caused by harvesting if we assume that all that carbon was immediately released to the atmosphere (this does not occur in practice). When a full lifecycle analysis is conducted, as discussed above, sustainable harvesting generally does not cause net carbon emissions – instead, it contributes to emission mitigation (Ximenes et al. 2016; Ximenes 2023).
Nationally, logs harvested annually from all Australian native forests contain only about 2.5 Mt CO2-e, or about 0.6% of Australia’s total net anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (Raison 2024). Additional emissions of carbon from the decomposition or combustion of slash produced during harvest are about a third of this amount.
In contrast, in very severe fire seasons such as the summer of 2019–20, carbon emissions were about twice Australia’s total annual anthropogenic (i.e. excluding wildfire emissions) GHG emissions and about 200 times greater than annual carbon removals in wood plus emissions from harvesting slash (Raison 2024).
Considering the detailed research studies in NSW (Ximenes et al. 2016) and the upper limits for harvesting emissions presented above, the strong advocacy by the ACBF 2025 that ceasing native forest harvesting in NSW could generate abatement (emissions reductions) of more than 1 million tonnes of CO2-e annually with a value of approximately $100 million is flawed. It is an illogical conclusion given that sustainable harvesting which is always followed by forest regeneration and use of wood products which stores carbon does not lead to net carbon emissions.
This is also the conclusion of the IPCC, the FAO and many international studies (see Raison 2024).
It is also important to note that, in 2021, native forests where harvests occurred previously provided a net sink of 35.7 million tonnes CO2-e, equivalent to 8% of Australia’s total greenhouse gas emissions that year, and the net sink in wood products was 4.9 million tonnes CO2-e (MPIGA and NFISC 2024). Thus, claims that ceasing native forest harvesting per se can create reliable and saleable carbon credits suffer from several flaws and are highly questionable.
Source: R. J. Raison, E. K. S. Nambiar, G. A. Kile & L. J. Bren (27 May 2026): Australia’s native forests can be sustainably managed for wood production together with other important forest values, Australian Forestry, DOI: 10.1080/00049158.2026.2663997
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/udeiimzwk2jyban3y8ynu/Australia-s-native-forests-can-be-sustainably-managed-for-wood-production-together-with-other-important-forest-values.-Raison-Nambiar-Kile-and-Bren.-May-2026..pdf?rlkey=jokeryyy8dyroevfg7hdt3sff&dl=0