25/08/2026
KENYA’S 2027 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION POLL
DEMOCRACY INSTITUTE–iTARGET MEDIA COMMUNICATIONS NATIONAL POLL
President William Ruto Narrowly Leads Rivals as 19–21% of Registered Voters Remain Undecided
Poll Fieldwork: August 20–23, 2026
Sample: 2,135 registered voters
The latest Democracy Institute–iTarget Media Communications National Poll indicates that President William Ruto narrowly leads his principal rivals in the emerging contest for Kenya’s 2027 presidential election.
The poll also reveals a substantial level of voter uncertainty, with approximately 19–21% of registered voters remaining undecided as of August 23, 2026.
This sizeable undecided bloc could become a decisive factor in the 2027 presidential contest. Its eventual voting preferences have the potential to significantly reshape the electoral landscape as the campaign intensifies.
KEY FINDINGS
1. President William Ruto Maintains a Narrow Lead
President William Ruto currently holds a narrow advantage over his principal competitors, placing the incumbent at the front of an increasingly competitive 2027 presidential race.
The findings, however, indicate a contest that remains fluid, with no candidate able to assume that the current political landscape will remain unchanged through Election Day.
2. Undecided Voters Could Determine the Outcome
Approximately 19–21% of registered voters remain undecided.
This represents a significant segment of the electorate whose eventual preferences could substantially alter the balance of the race.
For all major presidential campaigns, identifying, understanding, persuading and mobilizing these voters will be strategically important.
3. The Race Remains Highly Competitive
The findings suggest that no major contender can afford complacency.
As the 2027 election approaches, candidate appeal, campaign organization, policy credibility, fundraising, polling, media strategy, grassroots engagement and Get-Out-The-Vote (GOTV) operations are likely to become increasingly important.
DI-ITARGET MEDIA COMMUNICATIONS POLL was led by Patrick Basham,Pollster and Director, Democracy Institute and , Managing Partner, /iTarget Media Com
