Alhassan L.J Nigerian Forex Trader.

04/08/2026

XAUSD

31/07/2026

XAU/USD Market Outlook

Price is currently trading inside a broader range.

The major supply zone is around 4,180–4,210. A clean break and close above this area would confirm bullish strength.

Before that breakout, price may first sweep the liquidity resting below 4,000–3,980 (your inducement zone) to trap sellers and trigger buy-side orders.

If buyers step in from that demand zone, the market could rally aggressively toward 4,180, and if that resistance is broken, continue toward the higher supply around 4,300–4,380.

The current bias is to wait for the liquidity grab and bullish confirmation before looking for long positions. Recent macro news has kept gold volatile, so confirmation is especially important.

Summary:

> Expect a possible move lower into the inducement zone first, followed by a bullish reversal targeting 4,180, then 4,300+ if resistance is broken. Patience and confirmation remain key.

27/07/2026

24/07/2026

Based on your 4H XAU/USD chart:

Market Outlook: Bullish (Short-Term Retracement)

Price has reacted from a 4H demand zone around 4,000–4,040, showing buyers stepping in.

The current move suggests a liquidity grab before a continuation higher.

The nearest target is the 4H supply zone around 4,180–4,200.

If price reaches that area, watch closely for a rejection. That zone could become a good area for sellers to regain control.

Trading Bias

✅ Bias: Bullish

🎯 Target: 4,180–4,200

⚠️ Invalidation: A strong 4H close below the current demand zone would weaken the bullish setup and increase the probability of a move toward the lower demand around 3,940–3,960.

Your chart aligns with a classic SMC liquidity-to-supply idea: price has swept liquidity into demand and is now attempting to rebalance toward the next supply zone. Broader gold sentiment remains sensitive to interest rate expectations and geopolitical developments, so keep an eye on high-impact news while managing risk.

23/07/2026

XAU/USD Market Outlook (H4)

The overall bias remains bearish after price swept the inducement zone and delivered a Change of Character (CHoCH) to the downside.

Summary:

Price has tapped into the inducement/liquidity area, suggesting buy-side liquidity has been collected.

The bearish CHoCH signals a potential shift in market structure.

A minor pullback into the premium zone is possible before sellers regain control.

The primary draw on liquidity remains the lows around 4000, with the potential for an extension toward the 3960 demand zone if bearish momentum continues.

Trading Idea:

Wait for a bearish retracement into the marked supply zone.

Look for lower-timeframe confirmation before entering a sell.

Initial target: 4000 liquidity.

Extended target: 3960 demand zone.

A sustained break and close above the recent swing high would weaken this bearish outlook.

23/07/2026

Here's a caption you can use for Instagram:

MONDAY ANALYSIS ➜ RESULT ✅📈

Before vs After.

On Monday, I shared my XAUUSD (Gold) analysis with a clear bullish bias and a liquidity target.

The market respected the plan and rallied into the marked liquidity zone almost exactly as anticipated.

Trading isn't about predicting every candle—it's about understanding market structure, liquidity, and patiently waiting for high-probability setups.

One Trade • One Session • One Strategy