17/08/2026
Following a year of tighter sanctions and Ukrainian attacks on refineries, ports and tankers, Russiaโs crude output has fallen further in the second half of 2026, putting additional pressure on its production outlook.
Rystad Energy has revised its Russian crude production forecast to 8.95 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2026, declining to around 8.6 million bpd in 2027. The 2026 forecast is 90,000 bpd lower than previously expected, reflecting renewed disruptions at western Russian export terminals and growing risks to seaborne exports, which are becoming increasingly unreliable and costly.
Read more: https://rystad.info/4xIQqEX