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13/07/2026

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09/03/2026

*Gold | Market Outlook | 09-03-2026*

Gold market is in a volatile corrective phase on March 9, 2026, following a sharp multi-day pullback from recent highs amid a firmer USD and shifting macro pressures, after earlier impulsive upside driven by geopolitical factors.

Current spot price hovers around 5,100 (ranging roughly 5,015–5,193 today), reflecting a bearish daily candle and ongoing downside pressure, but with signs of potential exhaustion near key structural zones.

Daily Pivot:
Around 5,100–5,110 (confluence of recent consolidation lows and psychological round number; acts as a pivot where price is reacting with choppy H4 candles).

Resistance levels:

Near-term: 5,170–5,195 (previous session highs and recent swing area where selling pressure emerged).

Major Resistance: 5,260–5,280 (prior rejection zone and upper boundary of the recent corrective pullback; a sustained H4 close above would signal resumption of bullish momentum toward higher levels).

Support levels:

Near-term: 5,035–5,050 (recent H4 demand area and zone of prior bounces during the decline).

Deeper Support: 4,980–5,000 (psychological round number and major structural floor; multiple H4 reversals and wicks defending this level recently—break below would shift structure bearish toward lower macro ranges).

Recent Swing Low: ~4,850–4,900 area (February low referenced in structure; deeper macro support if correction extends).

Current Trading Range: Broadly 5,000–5,280 (consolidative/corrective range post-pullback; price trading in the lower half with downside bias but holding key higher-low structure from the larger uptrend).

Key Structural Notes:

On the H4, the primary structure remains bullish overall (series of higher highs/lows intact from the macro advance), but a clear bearish leg lower has formed in recent sessions with strong selling candles rejecting higher levels around 5,260+. This appears as a corrective pullback within the larger uptrend rather than a full reversal.

Watch for H4 reversal patterns (e.g., strong bullish engulfing or pin bars) near 5,000–5,035 for potential bounce continuation toward resistance.

Failure to hold 5,000 on a sustained basis (e.g., multiple H4 closes below) would invalidate the current higher-low setup and target deeper weekly supports.

Geopolitical safe-haven flows remain a background driver, but price action shows USD strength dominating short-term; any H4 stabilization above pivot could attract buyers aggressively.

Overall bias: Cautiously bullish on dips while above 5,000, but respect the downside momentum until clear H4 reversal confirms. Trade the structure, not assumptions.

Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

26/02/2026

Silver | Market Outlook | 26-02-2026

Daily Pivot:
~88.50–89.00 (current consolidation zone after rejection from 90.36 high and hold above 87.50 low on today’s session; price is pivoting here on H4 with equal highs/lows forming around this level post-Feb 25 push).

Resistance levels:
89.50 – 90.36 (today’s high & recent wick rejection)
91.33 (Feb 25 swing high)

Major Resistance:
92.23 (Feb 4 local high before sharp correction)

Support levels:
87.50 (today’s low)
86.57 (Feb 25 low)
84.99–84.59 (Feb 24/23 lows – strong demand zone)

Deeper Support:
81.00 (next major PA floor)
74.00–72.30 (Feb 17–18 swing lows)
64.06 (Feb 6 macro low)

Weekly Swings / Macro Range:
Recent Swing High: 121.67 (late-Jan 2026 ATH)
Recent Swing Low: 64.06 (early-Feb 2026 correction low)
Current Trading Range: 84.50 – 91.50 (post-crash recovery range on H4/Daily; price has been respecting this band with higher lows since mid-Feb after the violent 64 low sweep)

Key Structural Notes:
On the H4 timeframe (primary reference), silver is in a clear corrective bullish recovery phase within the larger pullback from the 121.67 ATH.

Pure price action shows:

Sharp liquidity sweep below prior structure to the 64.06 low (Feb 6), followed by strong impulsive rally.

Series of higher lows on H4: 71.97 → 72.29 → 76.45 → 77.46 → 84.59 → 86.57 → 87.50 (today’s low defended).

Break of structure (BOS) confirmed when price cleared the Feb 12–13 swing high (~79.50) and later the 86.32 zone with conviction.

Recent H4 candles show rejection at the 90.36–91.33 supply zone (equal highs), creating a short-term consolidation/triangle-like compression around 87–90.

The overall H4 structure remains bullishly biased as long as price holds the 84.50–86.50 demand cluster (multiple H4 reaction points). A decisive close above 91.33–92.23 would confirm continuation toward 94–97.50+. Failure to hold 84.50 would open the 81.00 and 74.00 zones (prior swing lows).

High volatility continues due to the parabolic nature of the Jan rally and subsequent 45%+ crash, but current PA favors bulls defending the recovery lows with clear higher-low formation. Watch 90.00–91.50 for the next major decision on H4.

Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

26/02/2026

Bitcoin | Market Outlook | 26-02-2026

Bitcoin has shown a sharp rebound today, surging from recent lows near the mid-64,000s to trade around 68,000–68,500 levels amid strong bullish candles on H4, following a multi-week corrective decline from 2025 highs.

Daily Pivot:
Around 67,500–68,000 (midpoint of today's strong recovery range; price reclaimed this zone aggressively after dipping below prior session lows).

Resistance levels:

Immediate Resistance: 68,800–69,200 (recent H4 session highs and rejection wicks from prior attempts; cluster of failed breakouts).

Major Resistance: 70,000–71,000 (psychological round number + prior consolidation highs turned resistance; multiple H4 rejections and wick sells in recent weeks, strong supply zone).

Support levels:

Immediate Support: 67,000–67,500 (recent H4 bounce origin and reclaim area; holding as buyers defended aggressively today).

Deeper Support: 64,000–65,000 (prior swing low cluster from mid-February; strong rejection wicks and volume absorption seen here before the current rally; breakdown would target lower).

Weekly Swings / Macro Range:

Recent Swing High: ~126,000 (all-time high from late 2025; major macro top with heavy distribution).

Recent Swing Low: ~60,000–63,000 (late February 2026 low; deep corrective trough with elongated wicks showing buyer defense).

Current Trading Range: Broadly 60,000–75,000 (macro consolidation post-2025 peak; price oscillating in the lower half recently before today's strong upside impulse reclaiming mid-range).

Key Structural Notes:
On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin has printed a decisive bullish reversal structure today with strong engulfing candles and a clear change of character (CHoCH) around the 68,000 zone—shifting from bearish lower highs/lows to higher lows in the short term. The prior multi-week downtrend featured repeated failures at higher levels (e.g., around 70,000–72,000), forming a descending channel with bearish momentum, but the sharp V-shaped recovery from the 64,000s area invalidates immediate bearish continuation unless price rejects hard below 67,000.

Watch for H4 closes above 69,000 to confirm bullish momentum toward testing the 70,000+ supply zone; failure here could trap longs and retest deeper supports near 64,000–65,000. The macro picture remains corrective within a larger range after the 2025 bull exhaustion, with 60,000 acting as a major macro floor tested recently. Bias leans cautiously bullish on this rebound but remains range-bound until a sustained breakout above 71,000 or breakdown below 64,000. Risk management remains critical around these price action pivots.

Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

26/02/2026

Gold | Market Outlook | 26-02-2026

The market is in a strong bullish phase overall, with gold trading around $5,185–$5,195 (consolidating near recent highs after a sharp recovery from February lows near $4,900–$4,950).

Daily Pivot:
Around $5,170–$5,180 (based on recent daily closes and mid-range from the latest sessions; price is holding above this pivot, supporting short-term bullish bias).

Resistance levels:

5,205–5,210 (recent daily high zone from the past session; first test of overhead supply).

Major Resistance: 5,250–5,255 (key consolidation ceiling on H4/Higher timeframes; multiple failed attempts to sustain above this area recently, acting as a strong barrier. Breakout above would target 5,290–5,300 as the next macro supply).

Support levels:

5,155–5,165 (recent pullback low and breakout origin from mid-February; prior resistance flipped to support).

Deeper Support: 5,100–5,120 (major structural floor; previous capping level in early February now key defense for bulls. Below this risks deeper correction toward 4,988–5,000 psychological/prior swing area).

Weekly Swings / Macro Range:

Recent Swing High: ~5,586–5,608 (all-time high zone from January 2026; major macro ceiling after parabolic advance).

Recent Swing Low: ~4,900–4,950 (February correction low; aggressive bounce origin, defining the current up-leg).

Current Trading Range: 5,000–5,255 (broad weekly consolidation post-recovery; price is in the upper half, testing for expansion higher or rejection).

Key Structural Notes:

On the H4 timeframe, gold displays a clear higher-highs/higher-lows sequence since the February low near 4,900–4,950, confirming bullish market structure after a sharp V-shaped recovery. Recent price action shows consolidation below 5,205–5,255 with repeated tests of the upper range boundary, suggesting compression before resolution.

The breakout and close above 5,100 (prior February cap) is structurally significant — it’s now acting as dynamic support on pullbacks.

Momentum remains buyer-favored as long as price defends above 5,100–5,120; failure here would invalidate the short-term uptrend and open risk toward deeper February lows.

Overall macro remains bullish above 5,000, with geopolitical/tariff uncertainties and softer dollar flows supporting safe-haven demand, but watch for rejection at 5,255 as a potential exhaustion signal in the current leg. Trade the structure: buy dips to support zones while the higher-low pattern holds intact.

Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

20/02/2026

Bitcoin | Market Outlook | 20-02-2026

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $67,000–$67,800 (based on real-time aggregates from major sources as of February 20, 2026), reflecting a modest recovery from recent lows near $65,700–$66,000, but remaining in a corrective phase well below late-2025 highs (cycle peak around $126,000).

The H4 timeframe shows consolidation within a broader bearish correction, with price action forming lower highs and testing horizontal demand zones after the sharp multi-month decline. Pure price action reveals clear reversal points from multiple touches and rejections.

Daily Pivot:
Around $67,200–$67,400 (derived from recent session opens/closes and the mid-range of the past several days' volatility, acting as a short-term pivot where price has oscillated).

Resistance levels:

Near-term resistance: $68,500–$69,000 (recent rejection area with multiple H4/Daily wicks failing to sustain above).

Major Resistance: $72,000–$73,000 (stronger overhead supply from prior consolidation lows turned resistance, plus psychological and structural ceiling from early 2026 price action).

Support levels:

Immediate support: $66,000–$66,500 (recent swing low zone with H4 bounces and cluster of prior defenses).

Deeper Support: $65,000–$65,600 (key horizontal demand from mid-February multi-touch reversals, strong buyer absorption visible).

Weekly Swings / Macro Range:

Recent Swing High: ~$72,000–$73,000 (late January/early February 2026 local top before renewed downside pressure).

Recent Swing Low: ~$65,700–$66,000 (mid-February 2026 trough, marking the current corrective low in this leg).

Current Trading Range: $65,500–$69,500 (broad multi-week macro range post-correction, with price coiling in the lower half amid low volatility and triangle-like compression on higher timeframes).

Key Structural Notes:

The broader structure remains corrective following the 2025 cycle peak (~$126K), with price in a prolonged bear flag/accumulation phase characterized by lower highs and failed rallies.

H4 price action shows respect for horizontal levels over trendlines or indicators, with repeated tests of the $66K–$67K pivot area determining short-term bias.

A sustained break above $69,000–$69,500 would shift momentum bullish toward $72K+ (potential short squeeze), while a loss of $65,600 opens deeper downside toward $60K or lower macro supports.

Overall sentiment is cautious to neutral-bearish in the near term, with volatility compressed. Watch for expansion on a decisive break from the current range. This remains a high-risk environment; price action confirmation on closes beyond key zones is essential.

Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

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