Dr. Ghulam Mohey-ud-din

Dr. Ghulam Mohey-ud-din Official Page of Dr. Ghulam Mohey-ud-din

Senior Economist | Macro-Economics & Public Policy Expert | Author & Columnist | Urban Economics Researcher | Exploring Pakistan's economic reforms, trade, and development. ❖ A senior economist and lead researcher with more than 15 years expertise in economic research; data analytics; quantitative and qualitative research; designing, developing and implementing econometric models and frameworks; t

ranslating data into evidence-based plan, strategy and policy; writing and reviewing technical reports; as well as research project/ program management and implementation.
❖ An optimistic, thoughtful, compassionate, highly organized, detail oriented, transparent, adaptive, self-managed, inclusive, collaborative, and innovative leader with a profound dedication towards the economic security; economic development; urban and regional development; strategic and spatial planning; public policy; socio-economics equity; and data science and analytics.

What am I, according to ChatGPT!!!(Prompt in first comment)
25/05/2026

What am I, according to ChatGPT!!!

(Prompt in first comment)

Pakistan’s real estate obsession is no longer just a housing issue — it is increasingly a macroeconomic challenge.In my ...
20/05/2026

Pakistan’s real estate obsession is no longer just a housing issue — it is increasingly a macroeconomic challenge.

In my latest article for Minute Mirror, I argue that Pakistan’s economy has become structurally tilted toward speculative land investment rather than productive sectors like manufacturing, exports, technology, and innovation.

When empty plots generate faster returns than factories, economies eventually pay the price through weak productivity, stagnant exports, and slower long-term growth.

The piece examines:
• Why speculative urbanisation distorts economic priorities
• How tax and policy incentives favour land over industry
• The hidden economic costs of the “plot economy”
• What reforms Pakistan needs to redirect capital toward productive growth

Would value your thoughts and feedback on this important structural issue.

Pakistan’s problem is often not just “bad policies” — it is weak implementation, fragile institutions, and the absence o...
18/05/2026

Pakistan’s problem is often not just “bad policies” — it is weak implementation, fragile institutions, and the absence of long-term governance continuity.

Every few years, we hear about new reforms, new economic packages, new urban plans, and new national visions. Yet electricity shortages, tax inefficiencies, water stress, transport chaos, weak public services, and governance failures continue to persist.

Why?

Is Pakistan suffering from a shortage of policies — or from a deeper crisis of state capacity?

In my latest Urdu article for HumSub, I argue that many policies in Pakistan fail not because the ideas themselves are entirely wrong, but because institutions responsible for implementation remain weak, fragmented, and politically discontinuous.

From energy and taxation to urban planning and public transport, we often prioritize announcements over institutional delivery. Large projects receive attention, but governance systems, coordination mechanisms, data-based decision-making, and accountability structures remain underdeveloped.

The result is a familiar cycle:
new policy → partial implementation → political transition → institutional disruption → unfinished reform.

This is not merely a political issue. It directly affects everyday life:
• expensive electricity
• traffic congestion
• weak municipal services
• poor public education
• water shortages
• declining trust in institutions

In the article, I discuss why sustainable development depends less on slogans and more on administrative capacity, policy continuity, and institutional reform.

Because ultimately, countries do not progress through announcements alone. They progress when institutions become capable of consistently delivering results.

Full article link in the first comment.

CPEC gave Pakistan roads, ports, and power plants.But here’s the uncomfortable reality:Our exports are still stuck aroun...
13/05/2026

CPEC gave Pakistan roads, ports, and power plants.

But here’s the uncomfortable reality:

Our exports are still stuck around $30–32 billion.
Manufacturing still contributes only around 12–13% to GDP.

Infrastructure was necessary —
but infrastructure alone does not create prosperity.

The next phase of CPEC must focus on:
✔ Industrialization
✔ Export manufacturing
✔ Technology transfer
✔ Skilled workforce development
✔ Competitive industrial ecosystems

Countries become economically strong not merely by building highways, but by building industries around them.

In my latest op-ed, I argue that CPEC 2.0 must move from connectivity to competitiveness if Pakistan wants sustainable economic transformation.

Full article link in first comment.

Conducted another session on "Applied Economic Planning for Infrastructure Projects" at Royal Commission for Jubail & Ya...
05/05/2026

Conducted another session on "Applied Economic Planning for Infrastructure Projects" at Royal Commission for Jubail & Yanbu, RCJY Headquarters, Yanbu KSA.

Pakistan’s IT exports are growing — but the foundations of the digital economy remain weak.In my latest op-ed, I explore...
04/05/2026

Pakistan’s IT exports are growing — but the foundations of the digital economy remain weak.

In my latest op-ed, I explore a critical question:

👉 Can Pakistan truly build a sustainable digital economy without strong infrastructure and skilled human capital?

Despite crossing $3 billion in IT exports, challenges persist:

Uneven internet access
Skills mismatch
Over-reliance on freelancing
Weak policy coordination

In my assessment, this is growth without depth — and without structural reform, it will not last.

The real opportunity lies in moving from freelancing to a scalable, innovation-driven digital economy.

🔗 Full article link in the first comment.

Pakistan’s deindustrialization isn’t accidental—it’s policy-driven ⚡Industrial electricity tariffs are now ~13–17¢/kWh, ...
02/05/2026

Pakistan’s deindustrialization isn’t accidental—it’s policy-driven ⚡

Industrial electricity tariffs are now ~13–17¢/kWh, among the highest in the region—making Pakistani exports structurally uncompetitive.

📉 What this means:
• Factories shutting down
• Investment relocating
• Export momentum collapsing

📊 The evidence is clear:
When energy tariffs were competitive, textile exports surged ~50%. When reversed, growth stalled.

⚠️ The real issue isn’t just cost—it’s distortion:
• Cross-subsidies taxing industry
• Idle capacity charges
• Distribution losses passed on to firms
• No link between energy pricing & competitiveness

🔧 The way forward:
✅ Competitive industrial tariffs
✅ Targeted subsidies (not cross-subsidies)
✅ Open electricity markets for industry
✅ Structural reform of distribution & circular debt

💡 Energy policy = Industrial policy

👉 Let’s rethink before it’s too late.

🔗 Link in First Comment

Pakistan’s rupee looks stable. The economy does not.This is the paradox I unpack in my latest op-ed published in Minute ...
01/05/2026

Pakistan’s rupee looks stable. The economy does not.

This is the paradox I unpack in my latest op-ed published in Minute Mirror.

Over recent months, the exchange rate has held within a narrow band — something policymakers often frame as a sign of recovery. But stability achieved through suppressed imports, weak demand, and industrial slowdown is not strength; it is a form of compressed equilibrium.

In my assessment, what we are witnessing is not recovery — but stabilisation without growth.

The key issue is structural:

Exports are not driving the stability
Investment remains subdued
Industrial activity is under pressure
And policy focus remains short-term

This raises a critical question:
👉 Is Pakistan’s currency stability real — or simply masking deeper economic fragility?

The article argues that exchange rate stability, in isolation, is a misleading indicator. Without export competitiveness, investment inflows, and productivity gains, it becomes a surface-level calm over underlying economic stress.

I also outline what needs to change — from restoring export competitiveness to improving the investment climate and rebalancing policy priorities.

For policymakers, analysts, and anyone tracking Pakistan’s macroeconomic trajectory, this is a conversation worth having now.

🔗 Full article link in the first comment.

Skills are not just an education outcome—they are an economic transmission mechanism.When human capital aligns with mark...
30/04/2026

Skills are not just an education outcome—they are an economic transmission mechanism.

When human capital aligns with market demand, productivity rises and economies scale.

The real policy challenge is not creating skills, but connecting them to opportunity.

No city fails randomly.Failure is designed—through poor governance, policy gaps, and institutional breakdown.If you want...
29/04/2026

No city fails randomly.
Failure is designed—through poor governance, policy gaps, and institutional breakdown.

If you want to fix cities, fix incentives first.

Address

Yanbu Industrial City
Yanbu

Telephone

+923008883487

Website

https://www.linkedin.com/in/moheyuddin/, https://www.youtube.com/@DrMoheyuddin, https://x

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