21/03/2026
We've been quietly building something at RETSA Group.
OPSCEN is a real-time operations centre we built in Claude that tracks the Iran conflict and its downstream impacts on Australia - oil prices, ASX 200, RBA decisions, fuel supply, and scenario forecasting. It's updated daily and published as an open source dashboard.
This week we added a new module: an interactive Australian Fuel Depletion Forecast.
Using official government data from the DCCEEW and Minister Bowen's parliamentary disclosures, it projects when petrol, diesel, and jet fuel reserves hit critical thresholds under four scenarios - from government optimistic through to worst case.
You can adjust demand, import flow rates, and toggle government interventions like the MSO reserve release and sulphur waiver to model your own scenarios in real time.
Key finding: diesel is the vulnerability. It dropped 4 days of cover in just 7 calendar days. It powers freight, farming, mining, and emergency backup. When diesel runs out, the economy stops.
The tool is open source and free to use.
Try it: https://mrummler17.github.io/operations-centre
Built entirely in Claude by RETSA Group.
Day 22 — Netanyahu confirms energy strike halt. Oil eases to $108. Wind-down scenario at 45%. De-escalation signals 10 vs 6.