07/05/2026
Understanding where conflicts concentrate is becoming just as important as understanding why they emerge. Our latest Q1 2026 update highlights the regions and dynamics shaping today’s evolving risk environment.
The global risk landscape isn’t shifting evenly – it’s concentrating. Our latest Q1 2026 CONIAS Risk Intelligence update reveals a world where conflict dynamics are becoming more interconnected, more regionalized, and in some cases, more unpredictable:
💡 Conflicts are not escalating evenly across the globe in Q1 2026, they are concentrating in a few strategic regions.
💡 Spillover dynamics are increasingly linking conflicts in Iran, Iraq, Israel and Lebanon.
💡 Africa remains the global center of sustained high-intensity violence.
💡 Latin America appears relatively stable – but Haiti shows how quickly criminal violence can become a systemic crisis.
💡 In Asia, conflict risks are increasingly shaped by overlapping security flashpoints, from Myanmar to the South China Sea.
💡 Europe remains comparatively stable despite continued tensions around the war in Ukraine.
With our CONIAS political conflict data, we track conflict intensity subnationally, consistently and on a quarterly basis. This allows for a more precise understanding of where risk actually impacts operations.
