CONIAS Risk Intelligence

CONIAS Risk Intelligence A MBI product providing risk and supply chain managers with in-depth and data-driven solutions.

CONIAS Risk Intelligence ist ein unabhängiges Unternehmen, das auf Risikomanagement im Bereich politischer Konflikte spezialisiert ist. Unsere weltweit einzigartige Methodik, die im Rahmen von 20 Jahren wissenschaftlicher Arbeit an der Universität Heidelberg entwickelt und verfeinert wurde, ermöglicht es Bedrohungen frühzeitig zu erkennen und verschafft Ihnen so einen entscheidenden Vorteil beim S

chutz Ihrer Mitarbeiter und beim Sichern Ihrer Geschäfte. Gleichzeitig bilden Umbrüche jedoch auch immer Chancen für die Erschließung neuer Marktpotentiale – auch hierbei können wir Sie unterstützen.

Resilience starts with knowing where risks could emerge before they affect critical operations. We provide the political...
27/08/2026

Resilience starts with knowing where risks could emerge before they affect critical operations. We provide the political and security risk insights organizations need to assess their exposure, identify vulnerabilities and support structured risk assessments under the CER Directive.

What if the biggest threat to your critical infrastructure isn’t at your own site, but hundreds or even thousands of kilometers away?

Political instability, conflicts, sabotage or dependencies on critical suppliers can quickly turn into operational disruptions. Under the CER Directive, organizations need to look beyond their immediate surroundings and systematically assess the risks that could affect the continuity of essential services.

But doing that requires more than a list of potential threats. It requires a consistent understanding of where risks exist, how severe they are and how they develop over time.

With CONIAS Risk Intelligence, MBI provides political risk data that helps organizations:

🌍 Identify and compare risks across countries and subnational regions
📍 Assess the exposure of locations, infrastructure and suppliers
📈 Monitor political and security risks over time
📄 Create standardized Country CER Reports as a basis for risk assessments and documentation
🛡️ Build resilience measures on transparent, evidence-based risk information

Learn how MBI supports organizations in translating CER requirements into structured risk assessments and resilience planning: https://www.mbi-geodata.com/en/political-risk-index/data-and-solutions-for-cer-directive/

Political risk is about more than today’s conflict hotspots. The latest Q2 2026 data shows that while acute violence has...
13/08/2026

Political risk is about more than today’s conflict hotspots. The latest Q2 2026 data shows that while acute violence has declined, persistent conflict exposure and political tensions remain elevated.

At MBI CONIAS, we help turn these complex developments into actionable risk intelligence for better-informed decisions.

Global conflict is declining. But is the world actually becoming more stable? Our latest MBI Political Risk data update for Q2 2026 reveals a mixed picture.

📉 Acute political violence decreased: The number of affected regions fell from 676 to 614, while regions experiencing high-intensity violence dropped from 245 to 188.

But look beyond the immediate situation, and the trend changes.

⚠️ Persistent conflict exposure increased: 566 regions experienced political violence in at least six of the past twelve months, up from 546.

📈 And below the threshold of armed conflict, political tensions are growing. The number of active non-violent political conflicts rose by 50 to 1,151 worldwide.

There are also significant regional differences. While conflict intensity declined in Iran, Iraq and several neighboring countries, high-intensity violence expanded in Russia and Nigeria, with parts of Ethiopia and Mali also reaching war-level intensity.

So, is Q2 a sign of stabilization? Or are we mainly seeing a temporary easing of acute escalation while structural risks persist?

Our latest data points toward the latter and shows why understanding political risk requires looking beyond today's headlines.

Want to explore what these developments could mean for your markets, locations or risk exposure? Get in touch with us to learn more about MBI CONIAS Risk Intelligence.

The CER Directive requires organizations to take a more proactive approach to risk management. Discover how CONIAS Risk ...
07/07/2026

The CER Directive requires organizations to take a more proactive approach to risk management. Discover how CONIAS Risk Intelligence helps transform geopolitical risk data into actionable insights for stronger resilience and CER compliance.

Data and dashboards for resilience management for critical entities aligned with the requirements of the EU's CER Directive.

Understanding where conflicts concentrate is becoming just as important as understanding why they emerge. Our latest Q1 ...
07/05/2026

Understanding where conflicts concentrate is becoming just as important as understanding why they emerge. Our latest Q1 2026 update highlights the regions and dynamics shaping today’s evolving risk environment.

The global risk landscape isn’t shifting evenly – it’s concentrating. Our latest Q1 2026 CONIAS Risk Intelligence update reveals a world where conflict dynamics are becoming more interconnected, more regionalized, and in some cases, more unpredictable:

💡 Conflicts are not escalating evenly across the globe in Q1 2026, they are concentrating in a few strategic regions.
💡 Spillover dynamics are increasingly linking conflicts in Iran, Iraq, Israel and Lebanon.
💡 Africa remains the global center of sustained high-intensity violence.
💡 Latin America appears relatively stable – but Haiti shows how quickly criminal violence can become a systemic crisis.
💡 In Asia, conflict risks are increasingly shaped by overlapping security flashpoints, from Myanmar to the South China Sea.
💡 Europe remains comparatively stable despite continued tensions around the war in Ukraine.

With our CONIAS political conflict data, we track conflict intensity subnationally, consistently and on a quarterly basis. This allows for a more precise understanding of where risk actually impacts operations.

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