Risk Academy

03/10/2026

Meet Grant Purdy at Risk Awareness Week 2026.

The Chinese have a saying: better to be a dog in times of tranquillity than a human in times of chaos. And right now, disruption isn't the exception — it's the operating environment.

The standard response? Spot the disruption, add it to the risk register, label it an “emerging risk,” and dust off the Business Continuity Plan. The goal: return to the pre-disruption state. But what if that state no longer exists? And what if the disruption that threatens you is the same one that hands you an advantage over everyone who's just trying to survive it?

Grant Purdy — Director of Sufficient Certainty, with 40+ years helping decision-makers cut through risk theatre to actual choices — makes the case that the real opportunity isn't in responding to the unexpected. It's in building decisions that reduce vulnerability before disruption hits, and in using the same lateral thinking to cause disruption in others.

📅 13 October · 2:30 PM GMT+2 (check time in your local timezone) · FREE

03/10/2026

A risk method that has never been validated as a forecasting tool should never be the primary basis for major, risky decisions. — Douglas W. Hubbard Great resource for risk managers, highly recommended

How to Measure Anything in Project Management

03/10/2026

Imagine introducing yourself in five years. I maintain the risk register. Or. Decisions wait for my analysis. Two very different careers and both start with what you choose to learn this year. The skills behind the second version are quantitative analysis and AI and both are learnable now. RAW2026 is the largest virtual conference on risk-based decision making. It runs 12 to 16 October fully online. The first two days are free. Register at 2026.riskawarenessweek.com

03/10/2026

The most dangerous risk is the one hidden behind a method that gives false confidence. — Douglas W. Hubbard Great resource for risk managers, highly recommended

How to Measure Anything in Project Management

03/10/2026

When practitioners substitute ambiguity for analysis, they are not managing risk — they are avoiding the hard work that real risk management demands. — Douglas W. Hubbard Great resource for risk managers, highly recommended

How to Measure Anything in Project Management

03/10/2026

There is a difference between the board saying noted and the board asking so what should we do. One word changes the whole job. The difference is what is on the slide. A range on next years budget gets a very different reaction than a status update. RAW2026 is the largest virtual conference on risk-based decision making. It runs 12 to 16 October fully online. The first two days are free. Register at 2026.riskawarenessweek.com

03/10/2026

Risk and insurance managers face mounting pressure to demonstrate value while navigating rising premiums, capacity constraints, and increasingly sophisticated risks. That's why I am launching a brief survey to share our biggest challenges - from quantifying risk exposure to justifying insurance spend, from dealing with market volatility to implementing effective risk transfer strategies.

Your insights will directly shape RISK AWARENESS WEEK 2026, where we'll share practical case studies showing how organizations are saving millions through quantitative approaches to insurance buying. Instead of accepting broker recommendations at face value, these companies model their actual exposure distributions, optimize retention levels mathematically, and make data-driven coverage decisions.

The survey takes just 5-7 minutes, and all responses remain confidential. Your participation helps ensure we address the real-world challenges you're facing - not theoretical problems from textbooks.

This is your chance to influence an event that could transform how your organization approaches insurance decisions. The companies already using these methods aren't just reducing premiums - they're making fundamentally better risk transfer decisions.

Take the survey and help us build workshops that deliver genuine, measurable value to the risk and insurance community.



SURVEY: https://widget.surveynoodle.com/insurance-pain-points

03/10/2026

A risk method that is not validated is, at best, neutral. At worst, it is actively harmful — guiding decisions in the wrong direction with false confidence. — Douglas W. Hubbard Great resource for risk managers, highly recommended

How to Measure Anything in Project Management

03/10/2026

When you're building a Monte Carlo model to support a capital decision and you hit a wall — which distribution actually fits this data? How many iterations are enough before I trust this output? — where do you go?

RiskWiki is a 1,000-page reference built for exactly that moment. Not governance frameworks. Not risk appetite statements. Practical answers to the technical questions that come up when you're trying to model uncertainty honestly — probability distributions, simulation design, correlation structures, model validation, decision framing.

It's free, it's deep, and it doesn't assume your job is to fill in a register.

Vose Software specializes in providing software systems for assessing and managing risks using the most precise information possible.

03/10/2026

Which one of the issues below is common in your organisation?

Myth 1: "The board wants a heat map."
The board wants to know whether the budget will hold and the project will land. The heat map is what they get instead. Boards act on numbers every day of the week — cost, revenue, margin. Risk is the only topic they're asked to act on colours.

Myth 2: "We don't have the data for quantitative analysis."
You have more data than an insurance actuary had in 1950, and they priced risk fine. What's actually missing isn't data — it's the method. Ranges instead of point guesses, simple models instead of scoring workshops. Learnable in days, not years.

Myth 3: "Our organization isn't mature enough for this."
Nobody waited for "process maturity" before adopting spreadsheets or email. If your company can build a budget, it can put a range on one. Maturity is the excuse that keeps everyone comfortable and nothing decided.

All three myths get dismantled — live, with tools you keep — at RAW2026, the largest virtual conference on risk-based decision making. 12–16 October, online, registration free.

And yes: the QR code below is a heat map. It's the first one in years guaranteed to change a decision — yours. Scan the heat map. Kill the heat map.

🔗 2026.riskawarenessweek.com