25/09/2026
๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐๐ป๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ
๐ต ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ซ ๐ฅ๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ช โ ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐, ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ (๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฒ/๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ผ๐ป)
๐. ๐ ๐๐ฅ๐๐๐ง ๐ ๐ข๐ข๐
โข ๐๐๐ถ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป (๐ฌ๐ฌ:๐ฌ๐ฌ โ ๐ฌ๐ณ:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง)
๐ ๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐: ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ฒ๐ had opened strong and climbed steadily from 5,400 to 5,499; broad ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ outperformance had been the clear early driver. ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ had edged up to 158.25 then softened. ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ, ๐๐๐ฃ/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ and ๐๐จ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ had all traded lower from the open โ ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ had declined from 180.25 toward 179.00. ๐ซ๐๐จ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ had tested 4,250 downside before finding support. ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ had held firm near 12,750.
๐๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐:
โข ๐ฌ๐ฎ:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง โ ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐/๐ ๐ด | Actual: ๐ญ.๐ฑ% | Forecast: ๐ญ.๐ฒ% | Previous: ๐ญ.๐ฒ%
โข ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ผ๐ป/๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป (๐ฌ๐ณ:๐ฌ๐ฌ โ ๐ญ๐ฎ:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง)
๐ ๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐: ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ had rallied to session peak 12,750 then hit resistance and reversed lower. ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ had spiked to 1.1410 on regional data then retracing sharply; ๐๐๐ฃ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ had ranged higher to 1.3260 before drifting down. ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ crosses had accelerated downside โ ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ had turned firmly down from 158.25 toward 157.50. ๐ซ๐๐จ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ had carved out a low near 4,250 and began a tentative recovery.
๐๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐:
โข ๐ฌ๐ฏ:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง โ ๐๐จ๐ฅ ๐๐ณ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐น๐ถ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ | Actual: -๐ฎ๐ณ.๐ญ | Forecast: -๐ฎ๐ฒ.๐ฒ | Previous: -๐ฎ๐ฒ.๐ฌ
โข ๐ฌ๐ฑ:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง โ ๐๐จ๐ฅ ๐ ๐ฏ ๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐น๐ ๐/๐ ๐ก | Actual: ๐ฏ.๐ฑ% | Forecast: ๐ฏ.๐ฐ% | Previous: ๐ฏ.๐ฎ%
โข ๐ฌ๐ฒ:๐ญ๐ฑ ๐๐ฆ๐ง โ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐ ๐ฆ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ ๐ก | Actual: Delivered | Forecast: โ | Previous: โ
โข ๐จ๐ฆ/๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป (๐ญ๐ฎ:๐ฌ๐ฌ โ ๐ฎ๐ฎ:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง)
๐ ๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐: ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ selling had extended through the afternoon; index had fallen from 12,750 to settle near 12,736. ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ฒ๐ had consolidated gains above 5,490 โ ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ strength had broadened. ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ had dropped to 157.23; ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ had closed at 179.12. ๐ซ๐๐จ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ had rebounded to 4,286.72. ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ had whipsawed and settled near 1.1392; ๐๐๐ฃ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ at 1.3243. ๐๐จ๐/๐จ๐ฆ๐ had surged late from 0.7015 to 0.7029. ๐จ๐๐ญ๐ฌ๐ฌ had recovered from session lows near 10,680 to close at 10,740.
๐๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐:
โข ๐ฌ๐ต:๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง โ ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ ๐ข๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐บ/๐บ ๐ด | Actual: ๐ฌ.๐ฒ% | Forecast: ๐ฌ.๐ฐ% | Previous: ๐ฌ.๐ฎ%
โข ๐ฌ๐ต:๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง โ ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ ๐ข๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐บ/๐บ ๐ด | Actual: -๐ฌ.๐ฏ% | Forecast: ๐ญ.๐ญ% | Previous: ๐ญ.๐ฐ%
โข ๐ญ๐ญ:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฆ๐ง โ ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐จ๐ผ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ | Actual: ๐ฐ๐ณ.๐ฐ | Forecast: ๐ฐ๐ณ.๐ด | Previous: ๐ฐ๐ด.๐ญ
โข ๐๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ฆ:
โฆ ๐จ๐ฆ๐ & ๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ โ ๐ด๐ก Bearishโleaning neutral
โฆ ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ฒ๐ & ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ฒ๐ โ ๐ข๐ก Bullishโleaning neutral
โฆ ๐ข๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐๐ โ ๐ก๐ข Neutralโleaning bullish
๐๐. ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ก๐๐๐ ๐๐ก๐ง๐๐๐ฆ
๐๐บ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ป๐ฎ๐น๐๐๐ถ๐: Softerโthanโforecast BOJ Core CPI had initially weighed on the yen but followโthrough buying had emerged, lifting the JPY basket to session highs. US data had been mixed โ core durable goods had beaten forecasts but the headline figure had missed; consumer sentiment had also come in below expectations. This combined set had capped dollar strength and triggered a broad reversal into the US close. European confidence figures had printed weaker than forecast, limiting euro upside despite the sharp USD pullback. UK speakers had provided no fresh directional impetus. Lateโsession buying had lifted AUD/USD and gold without a clear single trigger.
๐๐๐. ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ข๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐
โข ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐จ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐ด๐ด Inverse
โข Typically: Dollar strength weighs on gold
โข Currently: Played out fully โ USD rallied then fell; gold had bottomed exactly as USD topped and rebounded strongly into close
โข ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ด๐ด Inverse
โข Typically: Strong USD = weaker JPY basket
โข Currently: Confirmed โ USD peak coincided with JPY basket acceleration higher; both moved as expected
โข ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ข๐ข Inverse
โข Typically: USD/JPY up = JPY basket down
โข Currently: Held perfectly โ USD/JPY had dropped from 158.25 to 157.23; JPY basket had climbed from 5,400 to 5,499
โข ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐ก๐ก True neutral
โข Typically: Common direction against shared currencies
โข Currently: Diverged โ EUR/USD had whipsawed and closed little changed; EUR/JPY had fallen sharply โ JPY strength had been the dominant driver
๐๐ฉ. ๐ง๐๐๐๐ก๐๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ช
โข ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ (๐๐ฐ) โข ๐ด๐ก Bearishโleaning neutral
Advanced to 12,750 then reversed; closed well off highs.
โข ๐จ๐ฆ๐๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ก๐ก True neutral
Sharp rally then distribution; rangebound into close at 12,736.
โข ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ฒ๐ (๐๐ฐ) โข ๐ข๐ข Bullish
Climbed consistently through Asia and London; consolidated near highs.
โข ๐๐ฃ๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ธ๐ฒ๐ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ข๐ก Bullishโleaning neutral
Held above 5,490; minor pullback had found quick support.
โข ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ (๐๐ฐ) โข ๐ด๐ด Bearish
Topped at 158.25; fell steadily into close at 157.23.
โข ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ด๐ก Bearishโleaning neutral
Late bounce had lacked conviction; structure remained downward.
โข ๐ซ๐๐จ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ (๐๐ฐ) โข ๐ก๐ข Neutralโleaning bullish
Found firm support at 4,250; recovered to 4,286.72 into close.
โข ๐ซ๐๐จ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ข๐ก Bullishโleaning neutral
Higher lows had formed from session bottom; upward momentum had built late.
โข ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ด๐ด Bearish
Consistent decline from 180.25; closed near session low at 179.12.
โข ๐๐๐ฃ/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ด๐ก Bearishโleaning neutral
Fallen from highs; consolidated near 208.220.
โข ๐๐จ๐/๐๐ฃ๐ฌ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ด๐ก Bearishโleaning neutral
Dropped sharply then recovered partially; closed at 110.527.
โข ๐๐จ๐ฅ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ก๐ก True neutral
Spiked to 1.1410 then reversed; closed near open โ no clear signal.
โข ๐๐๐ฃ/๐จ๐ฆ๐ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ก๐ข Neutralโleaning bullish
Higher lows had held; late pullback shallow at 1.3243.
โข ๐๐จ๐/๐จ๐ฆ๐ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ข๐ข Bullish
Late surge had confirmed; closed near session high at 0.70297.
โข ๐จ๐๐ญ๐ฌ๐ฌ (๐ ๐ญ๐ฑ) โข ๐ก๐ข Neutralโleaning bullish
Recovered from deep intraday lows; closed at 10,740.13.
๐๐๐ฆ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ฅ:
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