17/06/2024
Ascot day 1 continued -
17:05 no surprise to see something win this at a price. The last 6 runnings have resulted in winning sp’s of 7/1, 14/1, 66/1, 16/1, 12/1 & 10/1. With only 3 favourites winning in the last 24 runnings, it’s there for worth looking for something at a double figure price. Pied pier ran second in the cesarewitch when last seen on the flat. He was ridden by Ryan Moore that day, so it’s interesting to see that he has opted to ride another horse in this race today my lyka for Willie Mullins. The stats about 3 favourite winning this race, the last two was the mullin Moore combination so I would t ever rule them out despite the stats. However with such a big field I can’t choose something at such a short price (5/1 currently). There’s two I like which are going opposite ways in the handicap BOHER ROAD which will be my main selection, this horse is on the upgrade and is rated 9lbs higher than their comfortable 6 1/2 length win last time out. This front runner looks to be loving life on the flat currently, coming from a yard that has won this race before. The other mention is tritonic, who finished 3rd in this race last year, they have dropped 5lbs since then and could make the frame again or better.
17:40 I respect a number of these horses, some are going up in grade, some down, so a little tricky to gauge. I would usually side with horses that are going down in grade, however I’m struggling to get away from BOTANICAL, who was very eye catching in their eased down 3 length win last time out, they are more than capable of stepping up to listed company and could even progress beyond that from what I’ve seen of them so far.