Mussa K Dankwah BSc MSc FCCA AIRM MCISI Dipifr AMPM

Mussa K Dankwah BSc MSc FCCA AIRM MCISI Dipifr AMPM Contact information, map and directions, contact form, opening hours, services, ratings, photos, videos and announcements from Mussa K Dankwah BSc MSc FCCA AIRM MCISI Dipifr AMPM, West Legon.

24/04/2024

“Self respect is the confidence and pride in knowing that your behaviour is both honorable and dignified"

23/04/2024

I am a resource person, a consultant, data expert and financial modeler. I am available for anyone to hire.

According to April 2024 national poll, first-time voters are more likely to change their voting intentions than their ol...
23/04/2024

According to April 2024 national poll, first-time voters are more likely to change their voting intentions than their older counter parts, 16% to 10%.

Analysis of vulnerability by regions. Take a look at your strongholds and the swing regions and advice yourself. Indeed,...
23/04/2024

Analysis of vulnerability by regions. Take a look at your strongholds and the swing regions and advice yourself. Indeed, the devil is in the detail of our "scanty" report.

Another angle to look at the April 2024 polls is through the lenses of voters who say they are likely or unlikely to cha...
23/04/2024

Another angle to look at the April 2024 polls is through the lenses of voters who say they are likely or unlikely to change their voting intentions between now and December 2024.

The poll shows that 76% of voters are unlikely to change their minds compared to 11% who could change their mind while 13% are neutral about it (see Fig 1).

The poll also shows that among voters who say they are unlikely to change their mind, majority of them are NDC voters, 37%, NPP represents 33%, Floating voters, 17%, other parties, 2% and for those who did not disclose their party affiliation, it is 11% (see Fig 2)

The poll also shows that while 77% of NPP voters say they are unlikely to change their mind, the corresponding figure for NDC is 79%, suggesting that NDC has an advantage over NPP among their base who have committed their votes to their candidates. For Floating voters, it is 72%, other parties, 65% and for those who did not disclose their party affiliations, it is 71%. Among those who are likely to change their too, NPP is 12%, NDC, 9%, again, less NDC voters are exposed to changing their voting intentions than those from the NPP, again suggesting some vulnerability between now and December 2024 for NPP (see Fig 3).

Now, looking at how this demography of voters intend to vote, 56% of voters who are unlikely to change their mind intend to vote for JDM, 34% for DMB and 7% for AKK and the rest for the others. Among those who say they are likely to change their mind, 47% of them intend to vote for JDM, 39% for DMB and 8% for AKK. Among those who are neutral, 54% intend to vote for JDM, 33% for DMB and 9% for AKK (see Fig 4). Critical observation of the data will indicate which of the candidates is likely to be more vulnerable as the election draws near.

Finally, as Fig 5 shows, 77% of voters who intend to vote for JDM are unlikely to change their mind, for DMB the comparative figure is 75%, indicating he is more vulnerable between now and December 2024. For AKK, his figure is much lower at 72%, suggesting his support may not be very firm when compared to the other leading candidates. For JDM, only 10% of his voters say they could change their mind, for DMB, it is 12% and AKK 12%.

This analysis points to potential problem for DMB and AKK as one cannot tell where their voters who could change their mind move towards, if they should change their mind. This could suggest that, if their campaigns do not go well compare JDM, they could lose votes to the main opposition candidate, John Mahama.

In conclusion, this data suggests vulnerability among all the candidates but voters are more committed in voting for JDM than for DMB and AKK. The campaigns have a lot of work to do to lock in their votes for the December 2024 elections and time is running out.

Consistent with field survey, the telephone polls for March And April also shows that first-time voters outnumber NPP an...
22/04/2024

Consistent with field survey, the telephone polls for March And April also shows that first-time voters outnumber NPP and NDC. They represent 36% of the sample, compared to 19% and 24% respectively for NPP and NDC but 20% did not disclose their party affiliations and 2% support other parties.

Among experience voters, the pattern remains the same as again, NDC outnumber NPP, 31% to 30% and Floating voters, 26%, 11% Did not disclose their party affiliations and 1% were for other parties.

Considering the current trend of first-time voters and how they align, how long would it take before the NPP and NDC solid base disappear?

Party Affiliations from the national telephone poll for the period March - April 2024. NDC still has a slim lead over NP...
22/04/2024

Party Affiliations from the national telephone poll for the period March - April 2024.

NDC still has a slim lead over NPP 31% to 30%. Floating voters significantly higher at 27%, Not disclosing party affiliations on 12% and other parties, 1%.

Floating voters are the majority in Ahafo, Bono, Bono East and Greater Accra.

22/04/2024

End of April 2024, we will publish a poll report that uses telephone survey. We will find the average poll results from the hybrid methodology (telephone and field) to find the polling average using party affiliation weighting.

I idea is to see if there is a marked difference between the field poll and telephone polls when face to face encounter with voters is removed. The results will be interesting to read.

Hybrid methodology is gaining traction globally.

Northern region trend polls- January 2023-April 2024
22/04/2024

Northern region trend polls- January 2023-April 2024

Greater Accra region trend polls- January 2023-April 2024
22/04/2024

Greater Accra region trend polls- January 2023-April 2024

Western region trend polls- January 2023-April 2024
22/04/2024

Western region trend polls- January 2023-April 2024

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