14/08/2026
Global Coffee News Roundup — August 14, 2026
▪️Markets and Supply
• Brazil harvest delays lift arabica-market volatility
Heavy rainfall has slowed harvesting, drying, and processing in Brazil, delaying new-crop arrivals and raising concerns about bean quality. Arabica futures in New York rose 5.8% during July as traders reacted to the slower supply flow. Market expectations still point to rebuilding inventories, supported by larger crops in Brazil and other major producers.
• Brazil projects a record coffee crop despite weather risks
The USDA forecasts Brazilian coffee production of 71.9 million 60-kilogram bags for the 2026/27 marketing year. That would represent a 14% increase from the prior season, driven by the arabica biennial cycle, favorable conditions, and expanded planted area. However, the outlook remains exposed to potential El Niño effects during the end of the harvest and the following crop cycle.
• El Niño threat could cut Brazil’s anticipated output
Brazil’s coffee industry association has warned that El Niño-related heat and irregular rainfall could reduce the country’s expected harvest by 15% to 20%. Brazil’s Conab agency had projected production of 66.7 million 60-kilogram bags of arabica and canephora coffee. The weather risk is particularly important for flowering in the second half of 2026 and for the 2027/28 crop outlook.
▪️Trade and Regulation
• EU expands deforestation rules to soluble coffee
The European Commission has moved to add soluble coffee to the EU Deforestation Regulation’s covered-product list. Green and roasted coffee were already covered, while instant coffee and extracts had remained outside the initial scope. The change increases traceability and due-diligence obligations across robusta-heavy supply chains, including those linked to Vietnam, Indonesia, Uganda, India, and Côte d’Ivoire.
• Fairtrade launches geolocation platform ahead of EU compliance deadlines
Fairtrade has introduced Plot Insights, a system for coffee and cocoa cooperatives to manage and share farm geolocation data. Large and medium operators will face EUDR obligations from December 30, 2026, while micro and small enterprises are scheduled to follow on June 30, 2027. The platform is intended to allow cooperatives to retain control of their data while documenting deforestation-free supply chains.
▪️Sustainability and Consumption
Vietnam coffee supply chain faces renewed deforestation scrutiny
A recent investigation reported that Vietnam’s coffee expansion has been associated with decades of forest loss. Vietnam is the world’s second-largest coffee producer and supplies close to 40% of global robusta exports. The issue adds pressure on exporters and buyers to strengthen farm-level traceability before the EU’s deforestation requirements take effect.