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Global Coffee News Roundup — August 14, 2026▪️Markets and Supply • Brazil harvest delays lift arabica-market volatilityH...
14/08/2026

Global Coffee News Roundup — August 14, 2026

▪️Markets and Supply
• Brazil harvest delays lift arabica-market volatility
Heavy rainfall has slowed harvesting, drying, and processing in Brazil, delaying new-crop arrivals and raising concerns about bean quality. Arabica futures in New York rose 5.8% during July as traders reacted to the slower supply flow. Market expectations still point to rebuilding inventories, supported by larger crops in Brazil and other major producers.

• Brazil projects a record coffee crop despite weather risks
The USDA forecasts Brazilian coffee production of 71.9 million 60-kilogram bags for the 2026/27 marketing year. That would represent a 14% increase from the prior season, driven by the arabica biennial cycle, favorable conditions, and expanded planted area. However, the outlook remains exposed to potential El Niño effects during the end of the harvest and the following crop cycle.

• El Niño threat could cut Brazil’s anticipated output
Brazil’s coffee industry association has warned that El Niño-related heat and irregular rainfall could reduce the country’s expected harvest by 15% to 20%. Brazil’s Conab agency had projected production of 66.7 million 60-kilogram bags of arabica and canephora coffee. The weather risk is particularly important for flowering in the second half of 2026 and for the 2027/28 crop outlook.

▪️Trade and Regulation
• EU expands deforestation rules to soluble coffee
The European Commission has moved to add soluble coffee to the EU Deforestation Regulation’s covered-product list. Green and roasted coffee were already covered, while instant coffee and extracts had remained outside the initial scope. The change increases traceability and due-diligence obligations across robusta-heavy supply chains, including those linked to Vietnam, Indonesia, Uganda, India, and Côte d’Ivoire.

• Fairtrade launches geolocation platform ahead of EU compliance deadlines
Fairtrade has introduced Plot Insights, a system for coffee and cocoa cooperatives to manage and share farm geolocation data. Large and medium operators will face EUDR obligations from December 30, 2026, while micro and small enterprises are scheduled to follow on June 30, 2027. The platform is intended to allow cooperatives to retain control of their data while documenting deforestation-free supply chains.

▪️Sustainability and Consumption
Vietnam coffee supply chain faces renewed deforestation scrutiny
A recent investigation reported that Vietnam’s coffee expansion has been associated with decades of forest loss. Vietnam is the world’s second-largest coffee producer and supplies close to 40% of global robusta exports. The issue adds pressure on exporters and buyers to strengthen farm-level traceability before the EU’s deforestation requirements take effect.

Global Coffee Market Brief — August 14, 2026▪️Price MovementRobusta futures rebound as Brazil harvest disruptions tighte...
14/08/2026

Global Coffee Market Brief — August 14, 2026
▪️Price Movement
Robusta futures rebound as Brazil harvest disruptions tighten near-term supply
London robusta futures were quoted at $3,880 per metric ton, up 2.19% on the day. The contract traded between $3,786 and $3,945 per ton. Persistent rainfall in Brazil has delayed harvest and processing activity, supporting the short-term price recovery.

▪️Major News
Global coffee prices remain below May levels despite a late-June rebound
The ICO composite indicator averaged 248.90 US cents per pound in June, down 2.8% from May. It fell to 231.96 cents on June 9 before recovering 17.4% to 272.39 cents by month-end. The pattern reflects a market balancing improving supply expectations against weather and logistics risks.

▪️Trend to Watch
Brazilian weather delays versus expanding robusta exports will set the next price direction
World coffee exports totaled 12.38 million bags in May, down from 12.78 million bags a year earlier. Arabica exports over the prior twelve months declined to 81.84 million bags, while robusta exports increased to 59.28 million bags. The key question today is whether Brazil’s slower harvest progress outweighs additional robusta supply from Vietnam and Brazil.

🌎 update Harga Kopi Internasional, 14 Agustus - Acuan Kontrak November
13/08/2026

🌎 update Harga Kopi Internasional, 14 Agustus -

Acuan Kontrak November

Cecafé: Brazillian exports in July rose by 10% to 3 million bags, but Arabica shipments were at their lowest for the mon...
13/08/2026

Cecafé: Brazillian exports in July rose by 10% to 3 million bags, but Arabica shipments were at their lowest for the month since 2018
Brazil exported 3,029,584 bags of all forms of coffee last month, a 9.9% increase last year. Exports of green coffee totalled 2,669,379 bags, up by 8.7 per cent.
However, a closer look at the figures reveals a surprising fact: despite a bumper crop, Arabica shipments are down by 8.9% to 1,818,144 bags marking the lowest volume for July since 2018

August 13, 2026
Brazilian exports are recovering, but volumes remain disappointing, particularly for Arabica. According to new figures released by Cecafé for July 2026, Brazil exported 3,029,584 bags of all forms of coffee last month, a 9.9% increase last year. Exports of green coffee totalled 2,669,379 bags, up by 8.7 per cent. However, a closer look at the figures reveals a surprising fact: despite a bumper crop, Arabica shipments are down by 8.9% to 1,818,144 bags marking the lowest volume for July since 2018.

Exports of Robusta, on the other hand, rose sharply, totalling 851,235 bags (+84.4%), a volume second only to the record set in 2024.

Sales abroad of processed coffee are also on the rise, standing at 360,205 bags (19.9%), mostly of soluble coffee.

The overall picture for the first seven months remains negative: between January and July 2026, exports of all forms of coffee exports totalled 20,896,547 bags, down 5.9% compared with the same period in 2025.

Exports of green coffee totalled 18,374,265 bags (-7.8%), with Arabica volumes falling by 16.6% to just 14,987,335 bags – again at their lowest level since 2018 – whilst Robusta coffee saw strong growth (+73.5%), to 3,386,930 bags. Sales of processed coffee, in turn, rose by 10.7% to 2,522,282 bags.

Also, in the first seven months of the year, exports to the US fell by 30.5 per cent, plummeting to 2,590,285 bags.

Shipments to Brazil’s second-largest market – Germany – also fell (-8.9%), totalling 2,426,111 bags.
By contrast, exports to Italy (+8.3%) and Belgium (+14.4%) rose significantly. Antwerp (Belgium) was the main port of destination, followed by Hamburg, Genoa, New Orleans and Barcelona.

Cecafé’s president, Márcio Ferreira, explained that delays in harvesting operations and persistent logistical bottlenecks in Brazilian ports have resulted in export volumes increasing at a slower-than-expected rate.

“We had been expecting a significant increase in shipments last month, particularly with the arrival of (the new) Arabica crop, but rainfall in key producing regions for this variety has delayed harvesting work, impacting exports.

Furthermore, the outdated infrastructure at the country’s main export ports continues to make it difficult for cargo to be shipped, resulting in losses of millions of reais for exporters due to extra costs arising from additional storage, pre-stacking and detention charges”, he explained.

According to Ferreira, shipments are likely to pick up from mid-August, marking a clear recovery between now and the end of the year.

“The expectation is that we will achieve a good level of exports over the 12 months of 2026, but this is not likely to be seen straight away, as producers are well-capitalised thanks to the good prices in recent harvests, so the flow of coffee is likely to remain steady, with coffee growers taking advantage of periods of high prices to sell and, eventually, exiting the market when prices are low. Even so, I believe a recovery is possible”, he forecasts.

A further boost to exports is also expected to come from the lifting of US tariffs on imports of instant coffee, decided last month.

Global Geopolitics Update — August 13, 2026▪️Middle East• Strait of Hormuz disruption remains the central global energy-...
13/08/2026

Global Geopolitics Update — August 13, 2026
▪️Middle East
• Strait of Hormuz disruption remains the central global energy-security risk
Iran’s conflict with the United States and Israel has sharply disrupted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The route normally carries about 20% of globally traded oil, and commercial shipping remains constrained while negotiations continue. The U.S. administration said that nearly 9 million barrels per day were again moving through the waterway, but the security situation remains unsettled.

• Gaza ceasefire framework faces continuing implementation strain
The UN has described the Gaza ceasefire as the foundation for recovery, while warning that it remains incomplete and vulnerable. Israeli military operations and the humanitarian crisis have continued despite the diplomatic framework. The UN has stressed that recovery requires Palestinian governance linking Gaza and the West Bank under a single legitimate authority.

▪️Europe
Russia’s attacks on Ukraine intensify pressure for diplomatic de-escalation
The UN Security Council met on July 27 after major Russian attacks struck Kyiv, other Ukrainian cities, and port infrastructure. UN officials warned earlier in July that drone and missile attacks were driving an increase in civilian deaths. The conflict remains a central test of European security, air-defense capacity, and international support for Ukraine.

▪️Indo-Pacific
• Taiwan expands readiness exercises amid sustained pressure from China
Taiwan is conducting urban-resilience and air-defense exercises from August 7 through August 13 alongside live-fire Han Kuang field training. The drills test civil-defense coordination, continuity of operations, and military preparedness across several regions. The exercises follow renewed Chinese military coercion, including live-fire activity in the western Taiwan Strait in late July.

• China–Taiwan military balance remains a major regional flashpoint
Taiwan’s latest live-fire drills are designed to test 24-hour defense operations and responses to China’s gray-zone tactics. The emphasis on reserve forces reflects Taiwan’s effort to address the military imbalance across the Taiwan Strait. The issue continues to carry direct implications for U.S.–China relations and wider Indo-Pacific security.

____

▪️Middle East
Israel rejects U.S. Gaza proposal as regional violence continues
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected the latest U.S. proposal to advance a Gaza ceasefire, maintaining that Israeli forces would not withdraw from areas under their control until Hamas is disarmed. Israel controls roughly 60% of Gaza, while Hamas controls the remaining 40%, according to the report. The impasse comes as the wider Iran conflict continues to heighten risks across Lebanon, Yemen, and Gulf shipping routes.

▪️Russia–Ukraine War
Russian strikes kill at least 10 people in Ukraine amid concerns over North Korean support
Russian missile, drone, and glide-bomb attacks on Ukrainian cities killed at least 10 civilians on August 11. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Russia is receiving additional military support from North Korea as the full-scale war enters its fifth year. The escalation underscores continuing pressure on Ukraine’s air defenses and civilian infrastructure.

▪️Indo-Pacific
Taiwan conducts military drills focused on a potential Chinese attack
Taiwan began annual exercises designed to simulate its response to a potential Chinese invasion. The drills follow growing military and coast-guard activity around Taiwan and contested areas of the South China Sea. The United States Congress previously approved an $11 billion military-support package for Taiwan, although further arms-sale decisions remain tied to U.S.-China diplomacy.

▪️Trade and Economic Statecraft
United States imposes new tariffs on 60 trading partners
The United States imposed duties of 10% and 12.5% on imports from 60 trading partners, including the European Union and China. The measures were linked to allegations that targeted countries were not adequately enforcing forced-labor import bans. Brazil said it would pursue response measures under its reciprocity law and bring the dispute to the World Trade Organization.

Global Coffee News Roundup — August 13, 2026▪️Markets and Supply• Global coffee benchmark declines as larger supply expe...
13/08/2026

Global Coffee News Roundup — August 13, 2026
▪️Markets and Supply
• Global coffee benchmark declines as larger supply expectations weigh on prices
The International Coffee Organization’s composite indicator averaged 256.05 US cents per pound in May, down 3.8% from April. New York arabica futures averaged 268.18 cents per pound, a fall of 5.8%, while London robusta futures rose 0.8% to 151.79 cents per pound. Certified arabica stocks fell 13.5% during the month to 0.48 million bags, limiting the pace of the market’s decline.

• Brazil’s harvest pace and El Niño risk create a conflicting supply outlook
Brazil’s official 2026 coffee forecast stands at a record 66.7 million 60-kilogram bags. However, Cooxupé reported that harvesting in its operating areas was 30.9% complete in early July, running 23% behind the comparable pace a year earlier. Brazil’s coffee industry association has warned that El Niño-related heat and irregular rainfall could reduce the crop by 15% to 20%.

▪️Trade and Regulation
• U.S. exempts coffee from new Brazil tariffs
The United States imposed 25% tariffs on selected Brazilian imports effective July 22. Coffee was specifically exempted, alongside beef, oranges, orange juice, selected energy products, and aerospace components. The exemption avoids an immediate additional tariff burden on U.S. coffee importers dependent on Brazilian supply.

• European Union adds soluble coffee to deforestation-regulation scope
The European Commission added soluble coffee to the product list covered by the EU Deforestation Regulation. The new soluble-coffee requirement will apply from December 30, 2027, while the broader regulation begins for large and medium operators on December 30, 2026. Coffee importers and exporters must demonstrate that covered goods are deforestation-free and legally produced in their country of origin.

▪️Consumer Markets
Luckin reaches 30,000 stores as China’s coffee market expands
Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen in February. Its network spans more than 300 Chinese cities and includes operations in Singapore, Malaysia, and the United States. The company is increasing its focus on global-origin sourcing, including coffee from Brazil, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Colombia, and China’s Yunnan province.

Global Coffee Market Brief — August 13, 2026▪️Price MovementsCoffee prices remain volatile after a sharp June reboundThe...
13/08/2026

Global Coffee Market Brief — August 13, 2026
▪️Price Movements
Coffee prices remain volatile after a sharp June rebound
The ICO composite indicator averaged 248.90 US cents per pound in June, down 2.8% from May. It fell to 231.96 cents on June 9 before rising 17.4% to 272.39 cents by month-end. New York arabica futures averaged 256.75 cents per pound, down 4.3% month over month, while London robusta futures rose 2.7% to 155.90 cents.

▪️Major News
Global exports declined while arabica inventories tightened
Global green-bean exports fell 4.1% year over year to 10.8 million bags in May. Arabica shipments dropped 9.3%, led by a 17.2% fall in Brazilian Naturals exports, while robusta exports increased 4.8%. U.S. certified arabica stocks fell 13.3% to 0.41 million bags, their lowest level since February 2024.

▪️Trend to Watch
Brazilian supply optimism is colliding with weather and harvest disruption
USDA projects Brazil’s 2026/27 crop at a record 71.9 million 60-kilogram bags, up 14% from the previous season. However, heavy rainfall slowed harvesting, with Brazil’s crop only 44% complete by June 24, versus 51% a year earlier. The key market risk is whether weather disruptions and El Niño concerns prevent the anticipated Brazilian supply recovery from reaching export markets on schedule.

🌎 update Harga Kopi Internasional, 13 Agustus - Acuan Kontrak November
12/08/2026

🌎 update Harga Kopi Internasional, 13 Agustus - Acuan Kontrak November

Earthquake in Colombia: FNC on the ground to assess the extent of the damage, while shipments are virtually blocked, say...
12/08/2026

Earthquake in Colombia: FNC on the ground to assess the extent of the damage, while shipments are virtually blocked, says Asoexport
“So far, there have been no reports of serious structural damage to the coffee-processing facilities,” explains the chief executive of Asoexport, Gustavo Gómez, “but operations are being affected by power outages, communication problems and the personal consequences for workers, including those who have lost their homes”

August 12, 2026
The death toll from the magnitude 7.4 earthquake that struck western Colombia on Monday 10 August 2026, affecting major coffee-producing regions, has risen to over 250 dead and 2,000 missing. Meanwhile, the National Federation of Coffee Growers of Colombia (FNC) has announced that a large proportion of operations have been temporarily suspended in the affected areas, due to damage to logistics facilities and processing plants. The FNC stated that, in conjunction with Almacafé, it had activated business continuity protocols and was now closely monitoring the situation, prioritising the safety of producers and staff.

The Federation’s Director-General, Germán Bahamón, has expressed his solidarity with the families of producers in Risaralda, Valle del Cauca, Caldas, Antioquia, Chocó and Quindío affected by the earthquake and has announced a plan to assess the extent of the damage in rural areas and identify the needs of each individual household.

The top priority will be to assess the damage to the homes where producers and their families live, identifying those requiring repair, reinforcement or reconstruction.

The productive infrastructure on farms will also be assessed, including drying facilities, water systems and equipment. The aim is for families to regain their homes and their ability to work and produce.

Meanwhile, exports have virtually ground to a halt due to the impact of the earthquake on the main transport routes leading to the port of Buenaventura, the main port of shipment for Colombian coffee.

The chief executive of Asoexport, Gustavo Gómez, added that the main transport companies and coffee processing plants have also suspended their operations.

The situation is particularly critical on the Cali–Buenaventura road, the main access route to the port, which has been cut off at various points, particularly in the tunnel sections.

“There may be a few isolated operations, but for the time being coffee exports have come to a standstill,” warned Gómez.

Port terminal operators are assessing the damage and have already suspended or, in some cases, restricted the receipt of coffee shipments.

Although Cartagena and Santa Marta are not reporting any major disruptions, transporting shipments to those ports faces another obstacle: a severe shortage of lorries.

“So far, there have been no reports of serious structural damage to the coffee-processing facilities,” Gómez added, “but operations are being affected by power outages, communication problems and the personal consequences for workers, including those who have lost their homes”.

Even after transport links and production infrastructure have been restored, exports may face further delays as accumulated coffee begins moving again, potentially creating congestion and bottlenecks at ports.

This will ultimately lead to delivery delays and put further pressure on the supply chain even once the situation has returned to normal, warns Asoexport.

News from Colombia helped to revive the New York market, although the impact on prices was modest: during yesterday’s trading session, Tuesday 11 August, the September and December futures contracts rose by 1 per cent and 0.6 per cent respectively, closing at 335.75 and 315.70 cents. Certified stocks continued to fall, reaching a new low of 241,838 bags yesterday.

London, by contrast, fell slightly, with the September and November contracts ending the day at $3,782 (-0.6%) and $3,777 (-0.5%) respectively.

Colombia coffee exports halted following earthquakeby Daniel Woods  August 12, 2026 in All coffee exports out of Colombi...
12/08/2026

Colombia coffee exports halted following earthquake

by Daniel Woods August 12, 2026 in
All coffee exports out of Colombia have reportedly been halted following a 7.4 magnitude earthquake.

A state of emergency has been declared in Colombia after a 7.4 magnitude earthquake hit the country on Monday 10 August.

It is the most powerful earthquake to strike the South American nation this century according to the Colombian Geological Service. At the time of writing, more than 169 people have been killed.

Colombian authorities have reported hundreds of injuries and thousands of damaged homes, as well as impacts to hospitals and schools, including three hospitals that collapsed.

The epicentre of the quake was near the village of San José del Palmar in Chocó province. Tremors were felt as far away as Venezuela, Ecuador, and Panama, with more than 20 aftershocks also reported following the main tremor.

President Aberlardo de la Espriella was sworn in as President on 7 August 2026, just three days before the earthquake.

He said the first priority is rescuing people trapped under the rubble, and that the national government has deployed all its capabilities to deliver aid in a national address at 1pm local time on Monday 10 August.

Coffee-growing regions including Risaralda, Valle del Cauca, Caldas, Antioquia, Chocó, and Quindío have been impacted by the natural disaster.

The General Manager of the National Federation of Coffee Growers (FNC) Germán Bahamón says the time to rebuild coffee production capabilities will come, but the main focus now must be to save lives.

“We will be able to sit down with the government … and provide precise information to determine how reconstruction should be undertaken,” Bahamón said in a statement.

“We will remain in permanent contact with national and regional authorities to place our institutional capacity at the service of Colombia.

“The absolute priority is to save lives, find those who need help, and respond to the emergency.”

The FNC also released a statement, stating “the earth shook, but the coffee community’s heart does not break. We know what it means to rise again after losing everything, and you are not alone”.

Coffee exports out of Colombia have all but ground to a halt due to the earthquake, with damage causing disruption to key highways and the nation’s main port, Buenaventura.

Gustavo Gomez, Executive President of Colombia’s Coffee Exporters Association (Asoexport), says there is currently no timeline on when the port will be reopened.

“Coffee operations are currently paused,” he says.

“There may be some isolated operations, but at the moment the operation for exporting coffee has stopped.

“At this point, there is no specific formal communication saying when the road will be fully reopened.”

He adds the extent of damage to coffee production facilities across the country is still yet to be determined.

“Processing facilities are still assessing damage,” he says.

“There have been no reports so far of severe structural damage to coffee mills, but operations are being affected by electricity outages, connectivity problems and the personal impact on workers, including people who have lost their homes.”

Colombia is the world’s third-largest coffee producer, exporting about 13 million 60-kilogram bags per year.

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