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ג.ר.י יעוץ וייזום בע"מ - Grisha Consulting, Segula (2026)

13/08/2024

The capital of Palestinian terror in Judea and Samaria is Jenin. "The sacrifice was 161 martyrs", and 1000 arrested, along with hundreds of wounded, and hundreds of acts of terrorism against Israel since the war began, according to publications in the Arab networks.

Jenin is at the top of the terrorism table in IOS, and leads in the number of terrorists eliminated in 10 months (almost the same as the figure for IOS as a whole in 2022) and the area from which most of the attacks took place, and the most gunfights between terrorists and IDF forces.

The Jenin of the year 2024 is a capital of terror, used as a model for the other cities of northern Samaria, the neighboring Tulkarm also becomes Jenin, as well as Tubas, and Nablus, when identical signs appear already in Qalqilya. The three cities, Jenin, Tulkarm and Kalkilia, are adjacent to a fence and their handling must be done with wisdom and sophistication.

Everything must be done to change this reality. Judea and Samaria is paying very high prices following the war in Gaza, it is time to implement a policy that will fight terrorism very aggressively on the one hand and remove as many people as possible from the circle of terrorism on the other hand - this is possible and achievable.

10/08/2024

Is this the most important person in Hamas after Sanwar?
The appointment of Yahya Sanwar as chairman of the political bureau of Hamas significantly raises the profile of Khalil Elahia in the organization. According to Hamas officials who spoke with journalists, Elahia, who served as the head of the negotiation team for the cease-fire with Israel even while Ismail Haniyeh was alive, will continue in this position under Sanwar's guidance.
The 64-year-old Alahia is a confidant of Sanwar and is accepted by the Iranian leadership and is therefore considered a candidate to serve as a temporary replacement for Haniyeh. This is because Sanwar will not be able to fully fulfill the role of chairman of the political bureau, including diplomatic contacts, fundraising because he is hiding in the tunnels, it seems that these tasks will be assigned to Elahia.
Elahia was saved twice from Israel's assassination attempts in the Gaza Strip in 2007 and 2014 when several members of his family were killed including two of his sons. Elahia left the Gaza Strip several years ago and has been living in Qatar ever since. Sanwar, according to reports, is the most extreme and strict party in Hamas regarding the abductees deal. Israeli, American, Egyptian and Qatari proposals were rejected by the organization due to Snuar's stubborn opposition to any deal that does not meet the conditions he himself dictates.
Al-Hiya is the only person in the General Foreign Office of Hamas, on whom Sanwar blindly trusts.
His very appointment as the head of the Hamas negotiating delegation may lead to the fact that future proposals for a cease-fire will not be brought to the Political Bureau's review at all - so that its members cannot try to pressure Snuar to accept an offer that he totally refuses.
If the report is true, then Sanwar in practice may hermetically fail any deal that does not meet his very strict and strict conditions, or alternatively the very appointment of Sanwar and Alahia will lead to tougher negotiations because an opportunity was created for Sanwar to stay alive the day after the war.

06/08/2024

What is behind Hezbollah's silence?
In contrast to the endless Iranian talks and videos in the last few days expressing inflammatory threats against Israel alongside the message that Tehran is not interested in an all-out war, Hezbollah takes a different line. With the exception of Hassan Nasrallah's speech last week and the expected speech today, Hezbollah spokesmen refrain from dealing with the issue of the targets that will be hit in Israel as part of the organization's promised response to the assassination of the organization's senior leader Fuad Shukar.

Hezbollah's silence is explained by the fact that a small and isolated group of senior officials is dealing with the nature of the response, taking into account considerations related to Israel's defense capacity as well as the desire to avoid an all-out war. In other words, Hezbollah is looking for a "quality" target from its point of view and wants to preserve its identity and the timing of the surprise attack. The expected attack is not clear
Everyone's eyes are on the sky in the north, south and east,
But it is very worthwhile to bear our eyes also:
* Under the ground
* To the sea
* And senior officials in the military and political system

In addition, there is an estimate that a few senior officials are involved in the matter due to the organization's intelligence pe*******on as manifested since October 8 in a number of high-quality assassinations. This group does not speak to the media, does not share its intentions with other members of the organization and enforces a media blackout around the matter for fear of intelligence leakage.

04/08/2024

A mystery in Iran: where did billions of dollars "disappear"?
Following a letter sent by Ahsan Khandozi, the Minister of Economy in the outgoing government, to interim President Mohammad Muhaber before President Masoud Pazakhshian took office (pictured). It is written that, in the state coffers that serve the government, there is only 10,500 billion tomans, i.e. 170 million dollars. This amount is equal to Iran's revenue from oil exports in a single day.

This is a surprising figure because according to official publications, the value of Iran's oil exports last spring jumped by about 35% (as I reported in previous posts) to 12 billion dollars. The money is there, but even in Iran they ask where is it? And what is it supposed to be used for, if the government doesn't have access to it?

One of the newspapers wrote: "The previous government kept claiming that it was able to increase oil sales and the export of other products many times over, but despite all these announcements, it provided the treasury with only 170 million dollars. Where is the evidence for all those revenues and claims of great economic success?" One day the people of Iran will come to terms with Iran's leadership, which prefers to supply weapons to their proxies throughout the Middle East and waste public money for terrorist purposes. If Iran starts an all-out war, it understands that the damages and damage to it will be significant and the leadership will lose power forever.

04/08/2024

The great escape from the Hezbollah stronghold.
According to reports from Dahiya, a Hezbollah stronghold in southern Beirut, there is complete hysteria and residents are looking to flee from it for fear of a war with Israel. According to the reports, since the assassination of the senior Hizbullah leader Fuad Shukar, many of the residents of the Dahiya are looking for housing solutions in "safe areas" far from the Dahiya where Shukar was killed.

Mirna Al-Ashkar, a real estate broker, was quoted as saying: "The rent for furnished apartments has increased from $600 a month for a four-room apartment, located outside the southern suburbs, to at least $1,800 a month." According to her, "the brokers and the apartment owners agreed A guarantee worth at least six months' rent." According to the reports, the rental price of furnished apartments in the area further from Dahiya has soared in recent days to a price of $2,000 per month. As I wrote before, starting a full-scale war against Israel would be very challenging, difficult, significant attacks are expected In many facilities, but!! and this is a big but, Israel's reaction will lead to Lebanon ceasing to exist as a country.

02/08/2024

Iran's options - when will it happen?

According to tradition in Islam, it is customary to engage in revenge only after three days of mourning have passed and the dead body is buried in the ground. The final green light for action was given after the burial of Haniyeh today at noon in Qatar. I must point out that on the one hand it is an assassination and intelligence pe*******on that is impressive in the world, and on the other hand, in my opinion, it was strategically wrong to eliminate Haniyeh at this time. (Assassinations have no weight in the terrorist world).
Today the 3 days of mourning end, from here everything is open.
I have no doubt at all that all the intelligence systems in Israel and the US are monitoring the preparations for the attack, whether it is from Iran, Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and I assume that the Iranians have prepared a surprise that we will not expect.

01/08/2024

Lebanese sources update more details about the Hezbollah chief of staff who was eliminated.
Ali Fouad hires one of the founders of Hezbollah and one of the successors to the position of Secretary General of Hezbollah in the terrorist organization. In the early 1980s he participated in the First Lebanon War and was wounded in battle in 1982. He was the central and first military official of Hezbollah during its establishment and in the first half of the 1990s. Responsible for Drawing up military plans, mainly in the Second Lebanon War in 2006 and after, both on the Eastern Front and on the Southern Front against Israel. He led special military and security missions at various stages of Hezbollah's development. He served as a member of the Hezbollah Central Council and since the establishment of the Islamic Council served as a member of the Supreme Council of the Jihad.

He was eliminated by Israel in the southern suburbs of Beirut. He is the most senior of the Hezbollah terrorist organization that was eliminated. There are estimates that Israel wanted to eliminate Nasrallah and the US intervention changed the Israeli plans.

The elimination that was carried out is the most planned and precise thing that can be. From the surgical and engineering point of view, the target of the assassination in Beirut as a response to the massacre in Majdal Shams. The target was changed at the last minute. The Americans probably put pressure on Israel and they are happy about the move because Fouad also killed Americans. He actually passes the ball into Hezbollah's hands in the war.

In Israel, preparations are being made for a response, and for this purpose, according to foreign sources, Israeli fighter jets are waiting loaded with bombs on the runways for takeoffs, at the same time large forces are deployed on the border of Lebanon and Israel. Israel for the first time eliminates a member of Hezbollah's Jihad Council, and is not afraid to start an all-out war

01/08/2024

So...
Nasrallah's speech: Nasrallah, (sounding a little cold) substantiates the arguments for Hezbollah's expected response to his words:
1. The enemy chose to attack the capital of Lebanon.
2. He attacked a civilian area.
3. Killing civilians including children.
4. Killing a great commander in the resistance.

We Israelis and some Western countries do not really understand the meaning of the word respect and why?
Iran is a country whose borders are above all, Iran's land above all, Iran has spent billions to protect its borders.
Iran throughout thousands of years did not give up one thing, honor, their own honor and the honor of the land.

Nasrallah in his speech stated that Israel has hit four points, the most important point that sums them up is respect.
It is clear that we are on the way to a response from Hezbollah and Iran, at the end of his speech Nasrallah did not even hint, he claimed that the response will come. The speech is over.
The truth is a weak and disappointing speech.
To summarize his speech in a sentence:
There will be a comment on the elimination, wait!
assessment
As for the size of the reaction and its strength, this is what will determine what goes on, whether we go to an all-out war or one level down. I hope I'm wrong, but it seems that we are expected to be attacked by Iran, which will try to surprise Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, the Houthis, past sensitive installations in Israel, Israeli symbols in the world and in Israel. It is important to remember that in the Mediterranean there are 12 American warships and an aircraft carrier that will assist in defense. At the same time:
Every commander has a replacement, and every replacement has a replacement, eliminations never contributed or changed equations, every hole can be filled.

The coming hours and days will tell where we are going.

31/07/2024

Hamas announced a short time ago in an official announcement that the head of its political wing, Ismail Haniyeh, was killed in a "Zionist raid" on his residence in Tehran after he participated in the swearing-in ceremony of the new Iranian president. where he was sleeping with a missile aimed at his body. His bodyguard Vasim Shaaban was killed along with him. This is a very significant assassination if it was carried out by Israel which conveys a double message, no terrorist has immunity and no terrorist is protected by the terrorist supporter Iran. Within a few hours the terrorist axis received two Very significant blows, a resounding message to all the companies in the Iranian-Shia-terrorist axis. The sequence of events will probably lead to a change in the arenas of war and a change in the equations that have been maintained until now, but it is not expected to change Hamas's position regarding the deal with the kidnapped Israelis.

30/07/2024

Who was Fuad Shukar (Hajj Mahsan) - the target of the assassination in the neighborhood of HaDahiya

The target of the assassination in the Dahiya neighborhood in Beirut (according to reports in Lebanon), Fouad Shukar (Hajj Mahsan), is one of the top Hezbollah officials. The US government placed a five million dollar bounty on his head in September 2019 and defined him as an "international terrorist".

Officially, he is a senior adviser for military affairs to Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, and is therefore very close to him and his confidant. Shukar was a member of Hezbollah's highest military body, the "Jihad Council". In addition, he was a close associate of Imad Murnia, the military commander of Hezbollah who was eliminated in Damascus

In the past, he assisted Hezbollah fighters and the pro-Syrian regime forces in Hezbollah's military campaign against the Syrian opposition forces during the Syrian civil war. The US government claimed that it was involved in an attack against US Marines in Beirut in 1983, when 241 of them were killed. Major Arab media outlets and Hizbollah sources have confirmed in the last few minutes that the senior leader of the terrorist organization was killed this evening in an Israeli attack in Beirut.
Hezbollah is threatening a severe response.
Hizbullah's chief of staff was eliminated in the capital in a densely populated area. Israel is now preparing for an unprecedented war: Lebanon should take into account that the Air Force is prepared to hit about 3000 targets in one day.
The big questions: Will the unification of the arenas come to fruition? (fire from Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen) If so, will the United States and the Western coalition stand by Israel?

30/07/2024

The Houthi drone in Tel Aviv "startled" Saudi Arabia.
According to all indications, the most significant fallout from the Houthi drone that exploded ten days ago in Tel Aviv was in Saudi Arabia. At the same time, with the tension with Israel, the Houthis threatened Saudi Arabia that they would damage its essential economic facilities, in light of steps taken by the government of Yemen, supported by Saudi Arabia, against the Houthis. Yam, I explained this in previous posts.

It seems that the Saudis were frightened that the Houthis would carry out their threats and damage the Saudi infrastructure. Therefore, they ordered the Yemeni government to cancel the economic measures against the Houthis. At the same time, there are reports that Saudi Arabia will finance for a year the payment of the salaries of public servants in Yemen who are in the territory controlled by the Houthis.

Saudi Arabia surrenders to the blackmail of the Houthis and when it succeeds for terrorist organizations they continue to blackmail. I have no doubt that if Saudi Arabia felt strong and had strong allies to back it up in the form of an American, British Western coalition, who understand the language in the Middle East, they would have acted differently. Of course they also have something to lose)

27/07/2024

12 Druze children from Majdal Shams in the Golan were killed today by a Hezbollah rocket, and others were injured, some seriously.
The sights are very difficult, I will avoid them, this video is relatively far away.
This is the event with the most casualties so far in any form of damage by Hezbollah to the residents of Israel. Hezbollah comes out with an official denial:
"The Islamic resistance in Lebanon completely denies the accusations reported by various media channels regarding the damage to Majdal Shams, and confirms that the Islamic resistance (Hezbollah) has nothing to do with the incident, and it completely denies all the false accusations in this regard." Hezbollah's official denial is a defining event in the fighting so far. The organization is embarrassed for several reasons:
1. For the first time, rocket fire causes many deaths among Israeli civilians.
2. The victims are among Druze from the Golan, whom Hezbollah considers "part of the Syrian people."
3. Hezbollah understands that it has crossed the border, even if by mistake, which could ignite an all-out war. It is clear that if the victims were Jews then Hezbollah would not have published a denial of the attack.
The identity of the victims is the background to Hezbollah's unusual denial.
I've written this before and I'll say it again.
All-out war will open in three situations:
1. Hezbollah is surprising.
2. Israel detects unusual movements/or something else unusual that would oblige it to pre-empt a strike.
3. A severe injury that will result in a large number of casualties on both sides, which will drag the region into war.
And now we have to wait for the Israeli response

ג.ר.י יעוץ וייזום בע"מ - Grisha Consulting

13/08/2024

10/08/2024

06/08/2024

04/08/2024

04/08/2024

02/08/2024

01/08/2024

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31/07/2024

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27/07/2024

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