14/01/2023
"The public has a right to be sceptical about predictions made by a groundwater model. This should not be seen as a bad thing; after all, scepticism is the cradle of science. Groundwater modelling can characterise itself as a scientific enterprise only if it can justify its methods and practices using logic that is beyond refutation by its critics. We contend that this is possible if a groundwater model is fashioned as a component of a scientific instrument that is deployed by individuals whose intellects are humbled by the complexities of natural systems, and whose minds are open to what may be revealed by the scientific inquiries that are facilitated by their instrument."
From "Decision Support Modelling Viewed through the Lens of Model Complexity". Doherty, J. and Moore C., (2021).
What should decision-support groundwater modelling seek to accomplish? Should it try to build a digital replica of what happens underground? Obviously not, because this is impossible. Not nearly enough is known about the subsurface and its hydraulic properties to do this. This monograph (written by....