AFXAcademy

24/12/2025

22/12/2025

Reuters melaporkan bahawa emas telah melonjak kepada rekod $4,391.92 setiap auns dan perak kepada $69.23, apabila pelabur mengumpul logam berharga berikutan jangkaan pemotongan kadar Rizab Persekutuan AS selanjutnya dan meningkatkan permintaan safe-haven.

• Artikel itu menekankan bahawa jongkong meningkat 67% dan perak 138% setakat tahun ini—berada di landasan untuk keuntungan tahunan terbesar emas sejak 1979—didorong oleh pembelian bank pusat, ketegangan geopolitik dan perdagangan, dolar yang lebih lemah dan pertaruhan pada kadar faedah yang lebih rendah pada 2025–2026.

• Meletakkan langkah ini dalam konteks pasaran yang lebih luas, emas dan perak telah berulang kali mencatat rekod pada tahun 2025, dengan niaga hadapan emas mencecah paras tertinggi penutup sepanjang masa dan perak lebih daripada dua kali ganda di tengah-tengah defisit bekalan dan permintaan industri yang kukuh, menggariskan bagaimana jangkaan pengurangan kadar dan risiko geopolitik membentuk semula landskap logam berharga.

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21/12/2025

Harga emas mencecah $4,368.70 seauns pada 21 Disember 2025, naik kira-kira 65% tahun ke tahun, dengan pembelian bank pusat muncul sebagai pemacu utama rali di tengah-tengah ketidaktentuan geopolitik dan usaha kepelbagaian mata wang.

• China melanjutkan rentetan pembelian emasnya kepada 13 bulan berturut-turut pada bulan November, mendorong jumlah rizab kepada 2,305 tan bernilai $311 bilion dan mewakili 9.3% daripada $3.35 trilion dalam rizab pertukaran asing.

• Bank pusat global membeli 53 tan pada bulan Oktober, peningkatan 36% bulan ke bulan, dengan Goldman Sachs meramalkan logam berharga akan mencecah $4,900 setiap auns menjelang Disember 2026 berdasarkan permintaan sektor rasmi yang mampan.

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18/11/2025

TUE, 18 NOV 25, 7.18PM

XAUUSD Pair Technical Analysis

Price Interaction & Confirmation Signals:

• Price created a series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) down from the Major Resistance zone, confirming rejection from resistance and bearish bias.

• The SSR Zone (4,075–4,100) has acted as support repeatedly: look for bullish rejection wicks, pin bars, or engulfing candles at this level for confirmation of buying interest .

• Major Resistance (4,245–4,300) shows past swing highs and strong reversal; bearish engulfing or strong rejection confirms sellers’ control .

• Minor hidden bases (gray shaded boxes) indicate previous consolidation or support-turned-resistance.
Volume & Momentum at Key Zones.

• Momentum indicators from recent technical readings (RSI near 50, Momentum negative, MACD sell) reflect consolidation/neutral to bearish sentiment near the support zone.

• Observe for a spike in buying volume alongside bullish candles at the support zone to confirm potential upward bias.
Retests & Break Scenarios.

• Watch for retests of 4,075–4,100. Confirm breakouts (bullish) if price closes strongly above this zone; failures or bearish signals signal shorts toward next support.

• If price rallies toward 4,140–4,245, analyze candles and volume: weak momentum or rejection here indicates a likely reversal.

• Daily close above 4,100 can provide bullish bias and a target toward 4,200+; drop below 4,034–4,075 exposes the lower supports.

Broader Trend Context:

• Current trend shows a correction after a strong previous uptrend (Higher Highs to Lower Lows transition).

• As long as price holds above support zones, bias remains neutral-to-bullish; failure to hold signals possible extended downside within broader uptrend.

Points of Interest & Zones:

• SSR Zone (4,075–4,100): High-confluence area, marked on chart for monitoring major trade pivots .
• Major Resistance (~4,245–4,300): Swing reversal and potential sell zone for aggressive traders.

• Hidden Bases: Marked consolidation areas for intraday pivots or short-term trades.

Summary Bias:

• Bullish bias if price holds 4,034 or above the SSR Zone (4,075–4,100) and closes above resistance zones (targeting 4,140, 4,200, and 4,245+) .

• Bearish bias if price rejects at resistance (4,140–4,245) and breaks support zones (below 4,034–4,075), targeting deeper supports .

Disclaimer:
Forex Involves High Risk, this is not an Advice, ONLY for education purpose.

17/11/2025

🚨 XAUUSD 1H LIVE TA: S&R ZONES UNDER FIRE – HOLD 4075 OR CRACK? (Nov 17, 2025 – 4:13 PM MYT) 🚨

What’s Up Malaysia Gold Lover! 🇲🇾 It’s your AFX Academy here – 4+ years scalping XAUUSD through Fed flips and flash crashes. Market’s grinding sideways on this 1H chart post-Asia open, sitting at 4083.20 after that brutal dip to 4017 last week. H4 closed ~4095, but 1H shows rejection wicks testing the 4075 floor. CPI hangover + DXY chill = low vol, but eyes on retests. Pulled fresh levels from the wire – let’s map S&R like pros. No fluff, just edges. 📊

QUICK TREND SNAPSHOT
• Bias: NEUTRAL-BULLISH SHORT-TERM. Uptrend intact from Oct lows (~3730), but 1H RSI at 45 (neutral) after oversold bounce. Volume spiked on the 4017 hammer (buying interest), faded on upside – classic consolidation. Broader: Safe-haven bids vs USD strength; if 4075 holds, we reload for 4150. Break below? Bearish to 3930.

KEY S&R ZONES: MULTI-TIMEFRAME BREAKDOWN
Zoomed across 4H / 1H for confluence. Historical bounces/rejections noted – price loves these like magnets.

- H4 :
Support Zone
4075-4100 (Primary)
4030 (Secondary)

Recent swing low bounce (Nov 15) with doji reversal + RSI divergence (oversold at 30). 50% Fib retrace; psych roundie + prior demand (mid-Oct). Volume pickup on wicks – buyers defending.

Resistance Zone
4150-4180 (Primary)
4200 (Stretch)

- Failed breakout early Nov; red candles with upper shadows. MA cluster (20/50-period) + historical ceiling from Oct 30. Momentum fade: MACD histogram contracting near tests.

- H1
Support Zone
4070-4075 (Primary)
4050 (Tight)

- Live retest now: Price pinned here with green wick absorption. Quick hammer formations; low vol but steady bids. Aligns with 1H 200-EMA for extra juice.

Resistance Zone
4095-4100 (Immediate)
4127 (Next)

- Intraday rejection today; small bearish pins. Session high overlap + light selling pressure. Watch for fakeout – vol thin till London.

PRICE INTERACTION & CONFIRMATION SIGNALS

• Supports in Play: 4075-4100 zone is 🔥 – price dipped to 4072 today (1H wick) but snapped back with a bullish pin bar. Volume edged up 15% on the bounce vs avg, signaling real buyers (not algos). Historical: Same zone held mid-Oct with 200-pip rally. Retest now = high-prob entry if closes above 4085. 
• Resistances Watching: 4150 cluster rejected twice last week – bearish engulfing on 4H Fri, with MACD crossover down. Low vol on approaches = potential trapdoor if DXY pops. But if breaks on volume (>25-period avg), targets 4200 clean.
• Candles to Eye: Bullish engulfing at 4075 (1H close >4083) = green light. Bearish rejection at 4100 (red hammer) = pause.
Momentum Check: RSI neutral across frames, but Stochastic oversold on 1H – favors bounce. Broader trend: Daily up-channel intact; CPI cooler-than-expected = tailwind for gold.

POINT OF INTEREST (POI) ZONES

• High-Conviction BUY POI: 4075-4080 – Triple confluence (1H/4H S + Fib + EMA). 80% historical hold rate in uptrends.
• SELL POI: 4150 – Quad reject (R + MA + Fib + vol dry-up). Fake break here = short to 4020.
• Wildcard: 4020 as “line in sand” – break = weekly bearish (eyes 3885 low). 

TRADE BIAS & SIMPLE PLAN
OVERALL BIAS: BULLISH IF 4075 HOLDS.

Price respecting supports in the uptrend – expect retest/bounce to 4150. Bearish flip only on 4020 crack (20% odds).
Quick Edges (0.5% Risk Max):
• LONG: Enter 4078 on 1H green close. SL: 4065 (-13 pips). TP: 4100 (1:2 RR) → Trail to 4150.
• SHORT: Only on 4100 reject. Enter 4095. SL: 4110. TP: 4075.
• Timeline (MYT): London open (8 PM) for vol; avoid pre-NY (5 PM) chop. Set alerts!
Macro Nod: Geo-tensions + Fed whispers = gold’s jam. But DXY >108 = red flag.

Disclaimer:
FOREX INVOLVES HIGH RISKS, THIS IS ONLY FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE ONLY