09/05/2024
国际资讯
1、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利周二在美联储网站上发表的一篇文章中表示,最近的通胀数据引发了人们的疑问:即货币政策是否足够严格,足以让通胀完全回到美联储设定的2%的目标。
2、卡什卡利特别指出,持续的住房通胀是中性利率
(既不限制也不刺激经济的利率)短期内可能走高的潜在指标,这可能意味着美联储在抑制通胀方面还有更多工作要做。
3、卡什卡利表示,他将自己对中性利率的估计值从2%适度上调至2.5%。其他一些联邦公开市场委员会
(FOMC)同事也上调了这些预测。在3月份发布的最新预测中,长期联邦基金利率的中值预测从2.5%上调至2.6%。
International information
1. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said in an article published on the Fed's website on Tuesday that recent inflation data raises questions about whether monetary policy is strict enough to fully return inflation to the Fed. Set a 2% goal.
2. Kashkari specifically pointed out that continued housing inflation is the neutral interest rate
A potential indicator of interest rates that neither constrain nor stimulate the economy could move higher in the short term, which could mean the Fed has more work to do in curbing inflation.
3. Kashkari said he would moderately raise his estimate of the neutral interest rate from 2% to 2.5%. Some other Federal Open Market Committee
(FOMC) colleagues also upgraded these forecasts. In the latest forecast, released in March, the median forecast for the long-term federal funds rate was raised to 2.6% from 2.5%.