18/03/2022
IS THE RUSSIAN BEAR FIGHTING A LOST BATTLE?
Branding lessons from the on going war.
The instincts to dominate and refuse domination are innate in humans and has been a source of global quagmire.
What we see panning out in Ukraine is no more than Russia's idiosyncrasy in these directions. To my mind, Russia is refusing western domination by dominating her little brother Ukraine.
History has shown us that conquest is a palpable tool in pursuance of these instincts, however, things changed significantly after America dropped the Atomic Bomb in Hiroshima, this singular event signaled the dire need to regulate hostilities as a strategy for global dominance; just a few bombs could now wipe out humanity.
It was Mao Zedong, one of Chinas most respected leaders that cracked a joke about the outcome of a global nuclear war when he said there will be at least 500,000 Chinese citizens left to inherit the earth after any such war. The effect of a nuclear war is far too devastating for its admittance in the settlement of disputes.
So, to think that Russia is at war with just Ukraine is to not fully underscore the reason for the present hostilities in Eastern Europe.
For those who are unaware, Putin is irked by the expansionist tendency of NATO eastward. He believes and maybe rightly so that the presence of NATO in Ukraine simply will be too close for comfort, more especially because they are still reeling from the pain of the collapse of mother Russia.
Therefore, he embarks on what the "free media" refers to as an invasion that in its true sense may be no more than a military operation aimed at bringing Ukraine to the negotiation table, albeit from a disadvantaged position in order to extract a commitment to not join NATO. In my opinion it may be working, China is already mediating a seize fire talks with both sides.
One may argue that Russia is right to oppose this encroachment from NATO because to think of it, the US would hardly tolerate any pact that positions Russian military base in Cuba.
Pragmatically viewed, Russia certainly has a good reason to go on this military operation. If they do, why is public opinion heavily skewed against them? The answer is CULTURE!
Therein lies the first branding lesson from this war. No marketing, branding, war or whatever campaign can succeed if it goes against culture. To go against culture is to swim against the tides, it's tiring and energy sapping. The onus falls on every entrepreneur or brand manager to always check strategy in its minutest forms for consistency with culture before deploying.
The event at Hiroshima made it clear that military might as a tool for nation branding was now too costly for the global community, as a result, it became necessary to pursue culture change (a change in mindset). Against this backdrop, the US invested heavily in promoting the tenets of democracy and today, the global culture has significantly swung in favour of human rights. This has strengthened the voice of the people and weakened the resolve of tyranny. The true intent of this ideology is however questionable but that's a story for another day. It is interesting to note that while the US and the western world invested heavily in spreading their political philosophy and ideology, Russia pursued military armament. As things stand, they lead the pack with 6,257 nuclear warheads, a stockpile capable of wiping out the earth more than ten times over. Nonetheless, without strategic investment in global perception of Communism, they are left with a declining followership and it is just a matter of time before they are annexed.
Culture is a powerful force! As an entrepreneur, if you are not privileged to be an influencer, you will do yourself a great service to find out where the influenced are headed and take advantage of it in achieving your objectives.
The second lesson dovetails the first; “He who controls perception, controls outcome”. For great results, the most important thing to work on in virtually any endeavor is perception. Today, the media is the single most important tool for building perception. You ignore the media at your own peril, particularly at this time in human advancement when physical contact is receding, placing perception largely on virtual interaction.
Even though I do not think that Putin has completely misplaced his priorities in this war, I believe Russia should invest more in ideology campaign to catch up with her rivals who have invested heavily in spreading the western ideals. Democracy (human rights) is winning where it matters most, the perception war!!
As an entrepreneur, brand manager, nation image handler, ask yourself, am I winning the perception war in my space?
Is it possible for Putin to win this war through military might alone? Yes, it is, but then, at what cost?
Kenneth Ebbi is a Brand Activist