PMconsultings Global Faculty Support

04/08/2025

Most people focus on things.

The smartest focus on interactions—and that’s why they thrive in uncertainty.

Discover why in Sets Intelligence vs. Systems Intelligence: online.fliphtml5.com/zoyir/xyuq/ =1

27/07/2025

Friends, here is how you can build a new kind of intelligence for our deeply uncertain and discontinuity-filled world—an intelligence that enables better and faster-informed decisions, leading to wiser and more sustainable outcomes. This approach is powered by Anticipate, Quantify, and Uncover in the Change Age.

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31/03/2025

These quotes from Temitope Apanisile, PhD had been jotted down from his past specialized training sessions on managing projects under wild uncertainty:

“Every project is a system of delays, dependencies, and decisions. See, the best PMs manage those loops, not just the schedule.”- Dr Apanisile Temitope Samuel, PhD

"Every Gantt chart looks perfect until it meets the first constraint.”- Dr Apanisile Temitope Samuel, PhD

"“If the project is slipping, look for where conversations stopped.”- Dr Apanisile Temitope Samuel, PhD

“In project decision making, what you don’t see coming often matters more than what you do.”- Dr Apanisile Temitope Samuel, PhD

Join us for our transforming CIPM and MPM specialist training 2025 sessions where we will show you the path and also arm you with the tools to advance as a project manager that will reduce labour costs in problem solving, stakeholders communications, decision development and decision making.

Just imagine that in managing projects, everyone's thinking is structured for everyone else to understand based on individual's domain knowledge. What would this mean for your project collaboration, communication and control in achieving project objectives

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18/02/2025

If you manage or aspire to manage complex, high-uncertainty projects such as infrastructure, tech, finance, supply chain, biotech, aerospace, or VC, here below is why you need a globally recognized project management (PM) certification through our upskilling program standards course at: https://lnkd.in/ddX_gN_t

Risk Management:

1. Not all risks are equal; some are manageable, some are fatal. Do you know how to identify and reveal hidden risks in projects to stakeholders for better informed decision?
2. Do you know how to discover in your projects where to intervene for maximum impact?
3. Do you know how to evaluate projects to know whether they have characteristics of failing or benefiting from stress?
4. Do you know how to avoid making high-stakes commitments that could lead to ruin.

Project Control:

1. Can you establish measurable performance targets for your project and monitor progress against those targets?
2. Can you identify and analyze patterns and trends in project performance data to inform corrective actions?
3. Can you adjust project processes and procedures to achieve stable and predictable performance outcomes?

Data-Driven Decision-Making:

1. Can you collect, analyze, and interpret project data to inform decision-making?
2. Can you develop and maintain dashboards and other data visualization tools?
3. Can you communicate complex data insights to stakeholders?

Adaptive Management:

1. Can you assess project dynamics and adapt management approaches accordingly?
2. Can you identify and respond to changes in project scope, schedule, or budget?
3. Can you balance adaptability with stability and consistency in project ex*****on?

Stakeholder Communication:

1. Can you develop and implement a stakeholder communication plan?
2. Can you facilitate stakeholder engagement and collaboration?
3. Can you negotiate and resolve conflicts with stakeholders?

Lessons Learned:

1. Can you capture and document lessons learned during project ex*****on?
2. Can you conduct post-project reviews and identify areas for improvement?
3. Can you incorporate lessons learned into future project planning and ex*****on?

AAPM ® American Academy of Project Management ® Powered Exclusively in Nigeria by www.pmconsultings.com

15/02/2025

The capability to spot shifts in market structure, volatility, and liquidity before they become obvious should be key!

Specialist Trainings and assessments are available to earn your Global Certified Risk Analyst (CRA), Chartered Portfolio Manager (CPM), Chartered Asset Manager (CAM) certifications from GAFM Global Academy of Finance and Management ® : www.pmconsultings.com

05/02/2025

The story is always in the risk, but make it a story you’ll live to tell. Always know what you’re risking; some risks are irreversible. You might not get the chance to say, 'At least I tried.' Assess the antifragility of your systems, including yourself.

Let us teach you how to assess your systems before they assess you. The consequences are too great if it’s the latter: www.pmconsultings.com

- Samuel Apanisile, PhD

27/01/2025

Here attached is our 2025 Global Risk Report from PMconsultings.com: https://beige-dorian-49.tiiny.site

No. 3 on the list is Algorithm Geopolitics.

Now, the emergence of DeepSeek and its seeming disruption of NVIDIA's dominance in the AI market is a perfect example of algorithm geopolitics in action. Here is why:

1. National interests: The fact that DeepSeek is a Chinese AI startup and NVIDIA is an American company highlights the national interests at play. The US and China are already engaged in a heated tech rivalry, and DeepSeek's disruption of NVIDIA's market share is likely to be seen as a win for China.
2. Global power dynamics: The AI market is a critical component of the global tech landscape, and the dominance of American companies like NVIDIA and Google has been a key factor in the US's technological leadership. DeepSeek's emergence challenges this dominance and shifts the balance of power in the AI market.
3. Geopolitical implications: The disruption caused by DeepSeek has significant geopolitical implications. The US and China are already competing for dominance in the AI sector, and DeepSeek's success could be seen as a strategic victory for China. This could lead to increased tensions between the two nations and potentially even spark a new wave of protectionism and trade wars.
4. Algorithmic sovereignty: The fact that DeepSeek's AI model is not only powerful but also cost-efficient raises questions about algorithmic sovereignty. Who controls the algorithms that drive the global AI market? Is it the US, China, or other nations? The answer to this question has significant implications for national security, economic competitiveness, and social stability.
5. Global governance: The emergence of DeepSeek highlights the need for global governance of AI. As AI becomes increasingly pervasive and powerful, there is a growing need for international cooperation and regulation to ensure that AI is developed and deployed in a responsible and transparent manner.

This is our Conclusion:

The disruption caused by DeepSeek is a classic example of algorithm geopolitics in action as we foresighted in our 2025 Global Risk Report. The intersection of national interests, global power dynamics, geopolitical implications, algorithmic sovereignty, and global governance all come into play in this scenario. As the AI market continues to evolve and grow, it's likely that we'll see more examples of algorithm geopolitics shaping the global tech landscape.

Enjoy our Report.
www.pmconsultings.com

Temitope Apanisile, PhD
Oluwatosin Sorunke

We are positioned and committed to improving the business performance of your organization by empowering your teams. “Only the professionals who know how to continually understand the dynamics of their organizations in order to take better decisions and wiser actions would be the most sought after...

12/01/2025

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Gain cutting-edge expertise in Convexity Analytics applied to diverse areas, including:

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Our training programs lead to global specialist certifications, equipping you with advanced decision-support skills to thrive in deep uncertainty, extreme volatility, fuzzy ambiguity and dynamic complexity.

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Note: At PMconsultings.com we are positioned and committed to improving the business performance of your organization by empowering your teams with the power of convexity analytics.

“Only the professionals who know how to continually understand the dynamics of their organizations in order to take better decisions and wiser actions would be the most sought after in their organizations and across industries”
– Dr Apanisile Samuel Temitope, PhD
Team Lead, PMconsultings Global Faculty Support

11/01/2025

Hello, let me reintroduce myself—I am Dr. Apanisile Temitope Samuel, PhD. My research interests revolve around analyzing and understanding dynamically complex systems because they truly fascinate me.

I’d like to share my thoughts on managing systems, processes etc for success under uncertainty through informed decision-making and action. This approach focuses on providing meaningful insights, eliminating vague and subjective methods, and inspiring further curiosity:

The ISO 31000 definition of risk stands out to me as particularly insightful. It offers a fresh perspective on risk analysis, moving beyond traditional approaches:

▪︎ ISO 31000 defines risk as the effect of uncertainty on objectives.

▪︎Quantitative Analysis or Experiment and Decision Framework:

i. Reject: If the outcome or effect resembles a frown shape—limited upside and unlimited downside.
Example: Over-leveraged banks before the 2008 financial crisis (missed by many conventional quantitative risk methods).

ii. Embrace: If the outcome or effect resembles a smile shape—unlimited upside and limited downside.
Example: An investment portfolio designed to benefit from market “unknown unknowns” (beyond the capability of conventional quantitative risk methods).

– Dr. Apanisile Temitope Samuel, PhD

If you are interested in learning this type of risk analysis, based on data-driven experimentation, and applying it to any area, field, or concern while gaining a fresh perspective on your challenges, systems, or situations, please send your inquiry to: [email protected]

16/12/2024

Good morning and compliment of the season. I recently read an interesting post that offered a thoughtful approach to addressing Black Swans in risk management. Unfortunately, I don’t have the link to the post—my apologies.

Since my research focuses on the interplay between dynamics, fragility, resilience, and antifragility, alongside the challenges of navigating unknowns, making decisions, executing plans, and achieving outcomes, I have identified areas where such discussions might unintentionally mislead or oversimplify key concepts, particularly regarding low-probability, high-impact events.

Below are my thoughts (which is open to your feedback), based on both experience and research, to help you critically evaluate content about Black Swans and gain better guidance when encountering similar discussions:

Dealing with Black Swans: Common Missteps to Avoid

● Fat-Tailed Distributions ≠ Black Swans
Extreme risks in fat-tailed models are known unknowns. Black Swans are entirely outside our predictive models. Do not confuse the two.

● Stress Testing ≠ Black Swan Preparedness
Stress tests assume predefined scenarios. Black Swans demand resilience and adaptability, not just modeled extremes.

● Models Have Limits
Even the best quantitative tools—which I value greatly, like Monte Carlo etc—are excellent for handling uncertainty and can even produce surprising results. However, these surprises can always be traced back to the assumptions and structure of the model. In contrast, the truly unimaginable and confounding events we increasingly face today cannot be traced back to any equation or model. These disruptions lie outside the boundaries of our frameworks, making Black Swans fundamentally different.

● Leadership Requires More Than Contingencies
Fallback plans are essential, but flexibility, decentralization, localization, and continuous learning are what truly drive survival during major disruptions. Interestingly, these qualities are not just arts—they are rooted in science, and can actually be gauged through frameworks and data-driven approaches.

■ The Key? Resilience and Antifragility Over 'Prediction'
You cannot “model” Black Swans. You can build and gauge systems that thrive in unpredictability.

What is your strategy for balancing the known, the unknown, and the unknowable? Let’s discuss below. 👇- Dr Apanisile Temitope Samuel, PhD (Chief Global Faculty @ www.pmconsultings.com)