18/09/2026
The chart shows S&P 500 price performance over the 12 months following the start of each Fed rate-hiking cycle since 1958.
Results have been mixed across cycles, with some periods showing gains and others showing declines. The average 12-month return across these periods has been +1.4%.
Historically, the start of a hiking cycle has corresponded with mixed equity performance on a one-year forward basis, with no consistent direction across cycles. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and this information is for illustrative purposes only.