Forisk Consulting

Forisk Consulting Forisk helps the forest industry make better decisions. We discover how things work through conducti

Founded in 2004, Forisk conducts applied research to support the consulting and educational services we provide to senior management and investors in the forest industry, wood bioenergy and timberland investing sectors. Forisk specializes in analyzing drivers of supply and demand in local wood and timber markets and, from this analysis, developing forecasts and strategies related to capital investment decisions, forest operations and timberland investment vehicles.

โฐ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—”๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€.National economic trends matter, but ti...
09/10/2026

โฐ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—”๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€.

National economic trends matter, but timber investment and operating decisions ultimately depend on whatโ€™s happening in local markets and wood baskets.

In his latest blog, Brooks Mendell explores how macroeconomic forces connect to local timber marketsโ€”and why understanding local supply, demand, competition, and risk is essential for informed decision-making.

These topics are also central to Foriskโ€™s virtual Timber Market Analysis class on September 30 and October 1.

๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป.

๐Ÿ”—TMA Class Registration: https://forisk.com/education-speaking/timber-market-analysis-class/

๐Ÿ”—Blog post: https://forisk.com/local-timber-markets-have-macroeconomic-exposures-too/

๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐—จ๐—ฆ ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜„๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜„๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ โ€” ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ...
09/09/2026

๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐—จ๐—ฆ ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜„๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜„๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ โ€” ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—น๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜†.

US South sawmills plan to add 2.1 billion board feet of net capacity from 2026-2028. Canadian sawmills, meanwhile, removed 1.7 billion board feet in 2025-2026 combined.

"Sawmills in the US South plan to add 2.1 billion board feet of lumber production capacity from 2026 to 2028, net of closures," says Amanda Lang, President and COO of Forisk Consulting. "Meanwhile, Canadian sawmills continue to close."

Highlights:
โ€ข US South: New mill starts and expansions across AL, MS, GA, SC, and LA
โ€ข US North/West: J.D. Irving nearly doubling Ashland, ME capacity (130 โ†’ 250 MMBF)
โ€ข Canada: Carrier, Western Forest Products, and Canfor curtailing or closing BC/SK/AB sawmills

Forisk tracks 2,350+ forest industry mills โ€” including planned capacity changes โ€” through the North American Forest Industry Capacity Database and Forisk Research Quarterly.

Read more:https://forisk.com/wp-content/uploads/Press-Release_Mill-DB_20260908.pdf

The early-bird rate ends in two weeks for Forisk's upcoming Timber Market Analysis Class! Register by September 16th to ...
09/04/2026

The early-bird rate ends in two weeks for Forisk's upcoming Timber Market Analysis Class! Register by September 16th to save!
Click here to learn more and register online: https://hubs.ly/Q04wKwl40

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฝ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ31 U.S. wood-using pulp mills have closed since 2019. Forisk's new white paper l...
08/27/2026

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฝ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ

31 U.S. wood-using pulp mills have closed since 2019. Forisk's new white paper looks at why โ€” and what policymakers can do about it.

๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜—๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜—๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜บ ๐˜–๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜œ.๐˜š. ๐˜—๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฑ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜—๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜š๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ, by Brooks Mendell and Amanda Lang, draws on structured interviews with executives across the industry's wood-consuming operations โ€” surfacing the economic, operational, and policy factors shaping investment decisions, and where action on trade, permitting, and wood-use policy could boost competitiveness.

"Policy decisions directly dictate how fast โ€“ or if โ€“ capital moves into U.S. manufacturing facilities." โ€” Brooks Mendell, CEO, Forisk

Learn more here:https://forisk.com/wp-content/uploads/Pulp-sector-white-paper-press-release-20260827-FINAL.pdf

08/18/2026

๐Ÿ“Š This quarter's Forisk News is out.

๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ต: ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ง๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜€ โ€” a look at shifting forest supply dynamics in the US South and Pacific Northwest, and what it means for timberland owners and investors.

Also in this issue:

๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€ โ€” our U.S. South pellet production forecast, plus a closure-risk ranking of export-oriented Southern pellet facilities amid changing Western Europe subsidy schemes

๐Ÿ“Œ Highlights from the Q3 ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ (๐˜๐˜™๐˜˜)

๐Ÿ“ŒUpdates from Forisk

Read the full newsletter here:

08/14/2026

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—•๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด: ๐—”๐˜‚๐—ด๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐˜„๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ

North American sawmill activity continues to tell a mixed regional story. Foriskโ€™s latest blog from Amanda Lang highlights new capacity and investment across the U.S., including 2.1 billion board feet of net new capacity expected in the U.S. South from 2026โ€“2028, while Canadian producers continue to face curtailments and closures.

Read the full update for the latest sawmill openings, expansions, investments, and closures across North America: https://forisk.com/forest-market-bulletin-august-2026-sawmill-update/

Send a message to learn more

๐—œ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—˜๐—จ๐——๐—ฅ ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€?In Foriskโ€™s latest blog, Brooks Mendell tak...
08/05/2026

๐—œ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—˜๐—จ๐——๐—ฅ ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€?

In Foriskโ€™s latest blog, Brooks Mendell takes a humorous look at the regulation, its implications for the forest products industry, and the data showing that U.S. forest growth continues to outpace removals.

Read the full post:

Three cheers and a raspberry tart to the EU for the brilliantly complicated and uncertain EUDR! You guys are the best.

๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ: ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒForisk will publish the Q3 edition of the ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ in August...
07/30/2026

๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ: ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ

Forisk will publish the Q3 edition of the ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ in August, which includes our updated U.S. housing starts outlook. Foriskโ€™s latest outlook points to continued near-term pressure on U.S. housing activity as elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty weigh on new construction. Forisk projects flat housing starts over the next two years with a 0.5% increase in 2026, followed by a 0.5% decline in 2027.

Read the full update from Shawn Baker here:

Forisk's Q3 2026 Housing Outlook anticipates little housing growth through 2027 and reviews Q2 housing activity relative to year-end actuals.

07/21/2026

๐™๐™ค๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™  ๐™๐™š๐™จ๐™š๐™–๐™ง๐™˜๐™ ๐™Œ๐™ช๐™–๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง๐™ก๐™ฎ (๐™๐™๐™Œ) ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜† ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฅ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ

The upcoming Q3 2026 ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ (๐˜๐˜™๐˜˜) examines two issues with potential long-term implications for forest owners, manufacturers, and investors.

This quarter's featured research explores changing forest supplies in the U.S. South and Pacific Northwest, including the effects of policy restrictions, land-use conversion, pulpwood market concentration, and evolving forest management strategies.

The edition also includes updated U.S. South pellet production forecasts and a risk analysis of export-oriented pellet facilities ahead of changes to Western European subsidy programs in 2027.

Read the full release here:

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