Forisk Consulting

Forisk Consulting Forisk helps the forest industry make better decisions. We discover how things work through conducti

Founded in 2004, Forisk conducts applied research to support the consulting and educational services we provide to senior management and investors in the forest industry, wood bioenergy and timberland investing sectors. Forisk specializes in analyzing drivers of supply and demand in local wood and timber markets and, from this analysis, developing forecasts and strategies related to capital investment decisions, forest operations and timberland investment vehicles.

๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—• ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ ๐ŸชตForiskโ€™s latest analysis of the OSB sector highlights the top producers shaping...
05/22/2026

๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—• ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ ๐Ÿชต

Foriskโ€™s latest analysis of the OSB sector highlights the top producers shaping the North American market in 2025.

Key takeaways:
โ€ข Nine companies encompass the entire North American OSB sector
โ€ข U.S. producers account for 64% of total North American production
โ€ข West Fraser remains the largest OSB producer in both the U.S. and North America

The rankings are based on data from Foriskโ€™s ๐˜•๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜”๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ฑ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜‹๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ, which tracks over 2,350 wood-using facilities across North America.

Read more here:

Nine North American companies encompass the entire OSB sector, manufacturing 26.5 BSF (3/8โ€) in 2025. Seven OSB firms operate in the United States.

05/21/2026

The 2026 Q2 edition of the ๐™๐™ค๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™  ๐™‰๐™š๐™ฌ๐™จ is hot off the press! This quarter's edition features:

โ€ข Select findings from the Q2 FRQ
โ€ข Featured research in the Q2 FRQ
โ€ข Research highlighted on Forisk's Blog
โ€ข Upcoming events
โ€ข Forisk in the News

Read the full newsletter here:

๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ: ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒForisk published the Q2 edition of the ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ today, which...
05/14/2026

๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ข๐˜‚๐˜๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ: ๐—ค๐Ÿฎ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ

Forisk published the Q2 edition of the ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ today, which includes our updated U.S. housing starts outlook. Foriskโ€™s latest outlook points to continued near-term pressure on U.S. housing activity as elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty weigh on new construction. Forisk projects a slight decline (1.5%) in housing starts in 2026 followed by a recovery to 1.37 million units in 2027.

Read the full update from Shawn Baker here:

Forisk's Q2 2026 Housing Outlook anticipates little housing growth through 2027 and reviews Q1 housing activity relative to year-end actuals.

๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜๐—ผ๐—ปโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ง๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฝ ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜†? ๐ŸŒฒForiskโ€™s latest blog post from Amanda Lang examines how exp...
05/05/2026

๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜๐—ผ๐—ปโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ง๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฝ ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜†? ๐ŸŒฒ

Foriskโ€™s latest blog post from Amanda Lang examines how expanded buffers on non-fish-bearing streams could reduce the harvestable timber base in Washington.

The findings point to meaningful impacts on available timber supply, with implications for landowners, mills, and regional wood fiber markets.

๐Ÿ”— Read more:

An economic assessment performed by the University of Washington found that impacts from the Np rule ranged from a 1% loss to 12% loss in harvestable volume in counties in western Washington.

๐—Ÿ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ดโ€”๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. A new Forisk analysis from Brooks Mendell highlights a continued d...
04/30/2026

๐—Ÿ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ดโ€”๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด.

A new Forisk analysis from Brooks Mendell highlights a continued decline in lumber capacity across Western Canadaโ€”driven by factors like fiber constraints, policy pressures, and mill closures.

At the same time, investment momentum remains strong in the U.S. Pacific Northwest, where operators are positioning to capture supply gaps and evolving market demand.

Key takeaway: As Canadian capacity contracts, capital is reallocating southโ€”reinforcing the Pacific Northwestโ€™s role in North American lumber markets.

These regional shifts matter for timber supply, pricing, and long-term investment strategy.

Read more:

Changes in Western Canada's forest industry supported capital investments into mills and timberlands in the U.S. Pacific Northwest.

๐—ง๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐——๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐ŸŒฒ๐Ÿ“ŠHow do you evaluate a timberland investment with confidence?In this ...
04/21/2026

๐—ง๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐——๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐ŸŒฒ๐Ÿ“Š

How do you evaluate a timberland investment with confidence?

In this latest ๐˜Š๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ต (๐˜Š๐˜”๐˜) case study, Forisk worked with a client to break down local market dynamicsโ€”looking at timber supply, demand, and competitive pressuresโ€”to support real-world investment decisions.

Key takeaways:
โ€ข Customized market analysis (not one-size-fits-all)
โ€ข Clear view of growth-to-drain and long-term supply trends
โ€ข Scenario-based insights to test investment strategies

The result? Better-informed decisions backed by dataโ€”not assumptions.

Read the full case study here:

The second post in a series of client case studies using Forisk's Custom Market Forecast.

๐—•๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐˜† ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐˜†: ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—จ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐˜† ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—–๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†How do you de-risk a bioenergy project? Start with better market intel....
04/14/2026

๐—•๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐˜† ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐˜†: ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—จ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐˜† ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—–๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†

How do you de-risk a bioenergy project? Start with better market intel.

Foriskโ€™s ๐˜Š๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ ๐˜”๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ต (๐˜Š๐˜”๐˜) helped evaluate local wood supply, competition, and long-term sustainabilityโ€”turning complex market dynamics into clear, actionable insights.

โ€ข Custom markets > broad assumptions
โ€ข Scenario modeling = better risk visibility
โ€ข Third-party data = stronger decisions

Read the full case study:

Case Study: Evaluating Long-term Low-Grade Softwood Supply and Pricing

04/09/2026

๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ต: ๐—›๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฝ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€?

Forisk will publish the 2026 Q2 edition of the ๐˜๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฌ ๐˜™๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜˜๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜บ (๐˜๐˜™๐˜˜) in May, featuring new analysis on how changes in pulpwood prices impact timberland values and returns in the U.S. South.

This quarterโ€™s featured research puts recent wood market shifts into contextโ€”helping investors and landowners better understand risk, exposure, and key drivers of performance.

We also include an updated snapshot of North American timberland ownership and management, covering over 300 organizations and over 100 million acres across the U.S. and Canada.

Read the full release here:

๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—•๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐ŸฑForisk's latest blog post from Stephen Wright looks at ...
03/31/2026

๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—•๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฑ

Forisk's latest blog post from Stephen Wright looks at the possible cumulative demand of biomass projects that were canceled and projects where the new demand has been "realized."

Forisk's analysis shows that only 28% of the projected cumulative demand from biomass mills has actually reached the market by 2025.

Read the full post here:

In the Q4 2022 edition of the Forisk Research Quarterly (FRQ), we analyzed the success rate of export pellet projects making it to the groundbreaking phase. This post is a spiritual successor to that sidebar. Leveraging over ten years of moreโ€ฆ

๐—•๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ต ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ“‰Forisk's latest blog from Chris King shows that both mill and forest...
03/24/2026

๐—•๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ต ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ“‰

Forisk's latest blog from Chris King shows that both mill and forest biomass prices declined again in Q1 2026 across the South Central and Southeast regions. The story? Too much supply chasing too little demand.

Even with mill curtailments and closures, residual material is still outpacing consumptionโ€”keeping downward pressure on prices. Storm-related timber (Hurricane Helene) has only added to the surplus in some markets.

At the same time, the industry is looking for new outletsโ€”ranging from biochar to emerging biocarbon projectsโ€”to help absorb excess material.

Read the full post here:

Biomass prices continue to decline in the Southern regions as residual material is produced at a higher rate than it is being consumed.

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