02/20/2026
Bad forecasts kill companies.
After reviewing 100+ models from failed startups, I found the same pattern: forecasts looked good on paper but had no connection to reality.
What goes wrong:
- Optimism trap: Only planning for best case
- Complexity trap: Models too complex to update
- Static trap: Built once, never updated
The solution? Better tools.
Horizon forces you to plan for three scenarios: optimistic, base, and pessimistic.
Now you're ready for anything.
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