08/28/2026
Nobody asks me about bond ladders. Everybody asks me about bitcoin. So here is the honest version.
I am not going to tell you to buy it or avoid it. I am just going to lay out both sides and let you decide.
Start with the dollar.
The federal government can create more of it. We crossed 40 trillion dollars in national debt this month.
Five years ago it was under 29 trillion.
More dollars chasing the same amount of stuff is how your money quietly buys less over time.
That is the entire reason this conversation exists.
Why people are bullish.
There will only ever be 21 million bitcoin. The supply cap is written into the code and there is no committee that can vote to raise it.
It lives on a blockchain, so ownership is individual and verifiable. You do not need an institution to hold
it for you.
It is scarce, portable, and divisible, which is why people reach for the phrase digital gold.
If you believe those properties make it a reasonable hedge against a currency that can be printed at will, that is a coherent case.
Why people are not.
It produces nothing. No earnings, no rent, no interest. Its value is entirely what the next person is willing to pay.
It has fallen more than 50 percent multiple times. Not over a decade. Over months.
If you hold it yourself, you are the bank. People have permanently lost coins to a forgotten password or a dead hard drive, and there is no customer service line to call.
And in the exact moments it is supposed to behave like gold, it has often traded more like a risky tech stock.
Here is the part that actually matters.
Every investment comes down to the same question.
Do you believe in the underlying asset? Not the story around it. The thing itself.
That question is not unique to bitcoin. It is the question behind every stock, every property, every
business anyone has ever bought.
If you believe in it, and a 50 percent drawdown would not shake you into selling at the bottom, then a small position is a decision you can actually defend.
If you do not believe in it, or you know that kind of swing would wreck you, then no amount of upside
makes it right for you.
Both answers are fine. Just make sure it is your answer and not somebody else's.