08/27/2026
Two retirees can earn the same average return and have very different outcomes.
Why?
Because in retirement, timing matters.
An early market downturn in retirement can be more damaging than the same downturn later.
That is the sequence-of-returns risk.
The risk is not simply “the market went down.” It’s “the market went down while income still had to come out.”
A strong retirement strategy should look beyond average returns and address:
🔹 Where income will come from
🔹 How much cash or short-term reserves make sense
🔹 Which accounts to draw from first
🔹 When to rebalance
🔹 How RMDs and Social Security fit into the withdrawal strategy
Sequence-of-returns risk does not make many headlines.
But for anyone entering retirement, it can be one of the most important ideas to understand.
The goal is not to predict the next downturn. It’s about being prepared.