Election Impact Group

09/04/2026

Chris Stirewalt put it this way on the latest Dispatch Podcast:

"So the Democrats who are doing a good job right now, I point to Rahm Emanuel, I point to Jon Ossoff, I point to Roy Cooper. I point to these folks who understand that the correct argument to make this cycle is about corruption and to talk about the Bitcoin and talk about the stock trades and talk about the Trump boys’ spree around the globe and the nationalization of the companies and all of this stuff which makes Republicans sick, right? … Unless you are either a total dupe or actively involved in the corruption yourself, there’s nothing that’s happening in that area that makes you say, “Yeah, good. Stick it to them.” But you’re not gonna, you’re not gonna call them out on it [if you’re a Republican] because if you do, then you’re helping the Democrats."

Plus: A portion of Mike Warren’s interview with Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp.

09/03/2026

From a Bloomberg report published in June:

Voters are concerned about “both the corruption that they see with the elite and the wealthy getting ahead, and those who are close to power getting ahead or benefiting, at a time when they feel like they can’t even pay their rent and their healthcare in the same month,” said Melissa Toufanian, managing director at Navigator Research.

In a study released this month, the Democratic pollster found government corruption is running even with high inflation as top voter concerns in 67 battleground congressional districts. Voters in both parties have a sense that their representatives aren’t focused on the economy because they’re more concerned with their own self-interests, Toufanian said.

Donald Trump has long avoided political damage for his own party from repeated allegations of graft and conflicts of interest. In this year’s midterm elections, Democrats are betting that they can finally exact a price. Combined with the rising cost of living, corruption is shaping up to be a majo...

09/02/2026

“Ipsos polling from April and May, which asked respondents about their three top concerns, found that 37% of Americans selected financial or political corruption, a decade high and 10 points higher than the year prior.”

Most Americans say the president has profited inappropriately from crypto, a new poll found.

09/01/2026

She’s under indictment. She lost her primary. And she’s on the ballot in November.

08/28/2026

In the conflict between the United States and Iran, only one-in-three voters trust what President Donald Trump’s administration is telling them about the situation.

08/26/2026

The president does not have the authority to unilaterally change election law. That's still true. The Supreme Court's order from Monday does not change that analysis. Instead, it simply asks, "Did the plaintiffs sue too quickly?" The majority answered yes—and they make a compelling argument.

The president does not have the authority to unilaterally change election law.

08/24/2026

Less than half of voters believe the United States should keep using its military to control the Strait of Hormuz, but most agree with President Donald Trump on one key aspect of the conflict with Iran.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters think the U.S. military should continue controlling the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway for the shipment of oil, but 36% disagree and 19% are not sure.

Less than half of voters believe the United States should keep using its military to control the Strait of Hormuz, but most agree with President Donald Trump on one key aspect of the conflict with Iran.

08/24/2026

A crucial share of President Donald Trump’s own supporters say the biggest failure of his second term is also the issue that matters most to them: the cost of living.

08/21/2026

More voters think the Democratic Party is too far left than believe Republicans are too far right.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters say the Democratic Party is too liberal. Eighteen percent (18%) think Democrats are not liberal enough, while 27% believe the party has about the right amount of liberalism, and 10% are not sure.

More voters think the Democratic Party is too far left than believe Republicans are too far right.

08/19/2026

There are a whole bunch of factors that the candidate and his campaign cannot control: the national political environment, media coverage, the state of the economy, up-ticket races, down-ticket races, and support from the national party, among others.

But two factors that the candidate and his campaign absolutely can control are A) the candidate’s schedule and how many events he does and B) the amount of time he spends fundraising. Some veteran strategists argue that a political campaign’s most valuable resource is the time of the candidate, because it’s so finite. You can always attempt to raise more money. You can’t raise more time.