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10/10/2026

𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐄𝐚𝐫𝐥𝐲 𝐂𝐚𝐧 𝐢𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐨𝐰?

While it's unlikely for many to see their first snowfall in October, even in an El Niño season, it can happen. They can catch people off-guard and usually are the most impactful events. More details 👉 https://loom.ly/vD3OXAE

It may be fall, but are you thinking about snow yet? Even if you aren't it's coming. But how early can it snow across the northeast and Midwest? We have those answers here...

10/09/2026

𝐂𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝟑 𝐈𝐬𝐚𝐢𝐚𝐬 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐬 🌀

Hurricane Isaias has officially strengthened into a Category 3 storm with max winds of 120 mph. While a slightly weaker storm at landfall near Pensacola, FL tonight, significant impacts are still anticipated.

⚠️ 𝐃𝐚𝐦𝐚𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐖𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐬: The strongest winds will be limited to the core eyewall near landfall with winds exceeding 80–90 mph. Lesser but more widespread wind gusts of 40–65 mph extend well beyond the storm's center.

🌧️ 𝐇𝐞𝐚𝐯𝐲 𝐑𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥: Intense rainbands will pivot through and produce scattered flash flooding issues; many picking up over 6" (localized 10") along the Panhandle of Florida.

🌪️ 𝐓𝐨𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐝𝐨 𝐓𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐭: Organized thunderstorms will feed into the eastern flank of the storm, bringing a scattered tornado risk, mainly in the eastern Panhandle but even into southern Georgia.

AEM's Weather Operations team is closely monitoring this dangerous hurricane, providing critical weather intelligence and decision support services throughout the weekend. 💪

10/08/2026

𝐍𝐞𝐰 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝 𝐁𝐫𝐨𝐤𝐞𝐧! ⛓️‍💥

Isaias made the transition to a Hurricane late last night, which now makes it the first hurricane of the Atlantic season. Not only that, but it has broken the record for the latest first hurricane! That was the unnamed Hurricane (Hurricane four) on October 7th, 1905, which became a Category 1 storm at roughly 8 PM. Hurricane Isaias formed at 11:30PM.

10/06/2026

𝐓𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐜𝐬 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐞 𝐀𝐥𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤 ⚠️

After some fish storms, we're on a watch for the next potential storm. An organizing disturbance in the Gulf has a high potential (90% per the NHC) to be named in the next few days. Should it do so, it'll be given the name "Isaias" and make landfall somewhere from LA to the western panhandle of FL.

Whether or not it ends up strengthening into the first hurricane of the season, there will be impacts. At least expect tropical downpours to move into the Southeastern US, bringing a flash flood risk. Along with that, tropical storm force gusts along the gulf coast and even some tornadoes as well.

10/06/2026

The first flakes have fallen at Mount Washington. A sign of things to come 👀

10/05/2026

𝐓𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐞𝐫 𝐔𝐩𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞 🌀

And here we are, the first full week of October. Still no Hurricanes! Since our last update, however, we do have to add two more names to the list: Gonzalo and Hanna. These two formed over the eastern Atlantic and were short-lived tropical systems.

Looking ahead, we have to watch out for some potential development in the Gulf, but the prospects of anything else this season becoming a hurricane for the Atlantic Basin are very slim.

09/30/2026

𝐒𝐮𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐫 𝐖𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐠 🌴

Don't adjust your calendars, the first few days of October are indeed going to be met with summer like weather east of the Mississippi. Highs in the 70s and 80s will be common through week's end, even some spots breaking into the 90s! Following that, a cooler and fall-like airmass takes over this weekend.

09/28/2026

𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐅𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐄𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐒𝐖 𝐔𝐒 🌧️

The southwestern US is in for a deluge of rainfall these next few day, thanks to both remnant moisture of Odalys and eventually the remnants of Hurricane Polo...which will make landfall in Baja California later tonight.

While this rain will be a good thing for the long term drought, 1-3" of rain and locally 5"+ will be too much for areas to fully absorb, creating a dangerous set-up for flash flood and mudflows.

09/28/2026

𝐅𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐅𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 🍁

Fall is here, and so are the changing colors of the leaves. But, did the excess rainfall and heat hurt or help our chances at vibrant colors across the northeast and Midwest? Meteorologist Kaitlin Kelly breaks it down for us. https://loom.ly/TpMKtoc

As we move into October, the autumn season is now in full swing. With that, fall foliage is too! Let's dive into what can impact the fall colors and what we can potentially expect to see this season.

09/25/2026

𝐂𝐨𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐅𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐆𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐞 🌊

A Nor’easter is headed our way, and the risk for significant coastal flooding is high along the Jersey Shore. In fact, several locations could approach Major Flood Stage on Saturday, a level that is not reached very often.

If you live or work near the shoreline, it's still not too late to prepare:

👉 Move vehicles and valuables to higher ground if possible before water begins to rise, and avoid driving in flooded roads.

👉 Know your flood risk. Understand how your home, business, or property could be affected by higher tides and coastal flooding. NOAA’s Sea Level Rise Viewer is a helpful tool for visualizing potential impacts: https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/

👉 Stay aware of changing conditions. Continue monitoring official forecasts, warnings, and tide predictions. Coastal flood forecasts can change as the storm evolves, so check back frequently throughout the weekend.