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07/16/2025

July 15, 2025 “Time is on my side, yes it is.”-The Rolling Stones The July deadline for Trump tariffs came and went— we are now waiting for August to arrive. Much has transpired since “Liberation Day,” yet little has changed! So many headlines, so much hyperbole and here we are at the star...

04/07/2025

April 4, 2025 We won’t spend too much time on the jobs numbers this morning because there are bigger items (ahem, tariffs and such) on the agenda to discuss. The average workweek in the States is currently 34.2 hours— still quite short of the 40 hour-week many of us knew so well. Not surprisingl...

02/11/2025

February 6, 2025January marked a relatively cautious start to 2025 but not to fear in Laborland! December’s strong headline jobs print was revised even higher to the tune of 51,000 jobs. Though January saw payroll expansion come in at a modest 143,000, December’s final tally was 307,000, which m...

01/14/2025

January 10, 2025Arctic blast? Not in Laborland! The US economy added 256,000 jobs in December, though November payrolls were revised lower by 15,000. Labor force participation held steady at 62.5% last month as the official unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%. Meanwhile, U6 came in at 7.5%. Where were....

03/11/2023

The labor market marches on with 311,000 new jobs in February. While revisions took a smidgeon of the shine off of January’s gangbusters report, we are still running at a rate of ~400,000 new jobs per month in 2023. This is roughly twice the pre-pandemic pace for the American jobs machine! Meanwhi...

02/21/2023

The labor market kicks off 2023 with a HUGE print… 517,000 new jobs in January! The official US unemployment rate declined to 3.4%, which also happens to be the lowest level EVER recorded. This is truly stunning, folks, especially taking into account the economic context (more on that below). On a...

02/21/2023

The American jobs machine cranked out another 223,000 jobs to finish 2022. More than half of last month’s hiring activity took place in two sectors: leisure and hospitality (67,000) and healthcare (55,000). Government payrolls expanded by a mere 3,000 in December as private employers snapped up 22...

12/13/2022

My, my, my… another strong print for the labor market. BLS reported this morning that American payrolls expanded by 263,000 in the second to last month of 2022. On the private side of the ledger leisure and hospitality lead the way with new hires totaling 88,000. Meanwhile, government hiring activ...

12/13/2022

261,000 new jobs were created in the month of October. Hourly earnings increased 0.4% MoM, which puts us on pace for roughly 5% annualized wage gains. Of course, we will be paying close attention to the upcoming CPI figures to see if American earnings were actually positive in real terms last month....

12/13/2022

Lots to cover today, so let’s dive in. The American jobs machine cranked out 263,000 new hires to close out Q3. The official unemployment rate fell to 3.5% with wages ticking up 0.3% MoM. U6 also declined from last month’s reading of 7.0% to 6.7%. The major story here is that the labor force act...

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