09/03/2026
Here are the data:
"The national average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages for home purchases hovers between 6.75% and 6.81%, while rates for 30-year refinancing have edged up to an average of 6.85%."
"Data from early September indicate a rise in mortgage rates as global bond markets are hit by a critical set of circumstances: escalation in the Middle East → rising oil prices → increased inflation expectations → rising Treasury yields → rising mortgage rates.
This is not merely a rate 'spike,' but a macroeconomic realignment. This movement is not a matter of random volatility; it is a structural reassessment of risk, driven by:
- Persistent inflation (PCE index still around 3.7%)
- Oil-related cost pressures
- Geopolitical instability and massive US debt issuance
- A Federal Reserve refusing to provide forward guidance
- The reaction of mortgage rates to the same forces driving global yields higher.
Until oil prices stabilize and geopolitical tensions ease, the 10-year Treasury yield will remain high—and mortgage rates will follow the same trend."