ITR Economics

ITR Economics Our mission: to provide you with the best economic intelligence to reduce risk and drive practical and profitable business decisions

ITR Economics™ provides the best economic intelligence to reduce risk and drive practical and profitable business decisions. Since 1948, we have provided business leaders with economic information, insight, analysis and strategy. ITR Economics is the oldest, privately-held, continuously operating economic research and consulting firm in the US. With a knowledge base that spans six decades, we have

an uncommon understanding of long-term economic trends and how to react to critical changes in market conditions. Our reputation is one of excellent, independent and objective analysis.

This week on Fed Watch, we break down Trimmed Mean PCE, the inflation measure drawing increased attention from Federal R...
06/05/2026

This week on Fed Watch, we break down Trimmed Mean PCE, the inflation measure drawing increased attention from Federal Reserve policymakers. With inflation signals sending mixed messages, businesses and investors face a growing challenge: which data should they trust when assessing future interest rate decisions? Could this lesser-known metric become a more influential guide for monetary policy?

Stay informed about the most recent actions of the Federal Reserve Board with the latest episode of Fed Watch.

06/05/2026

Where your business operates could have a major impact on growth opportunities in the years ahead. In our upcoming Executive Series Webinar, we will break down the key state-level factors shaping business conditions through the 2030s and reveal how our State Opportunity Index identifies the strongest and weakest opportunities across the country. Learn where to invest, where to exercise caution, and how to make more informed expansion, hiring, and capital allocation decisions before the next decade arrives. https://hubs.la/Q04k9fx20

06/04/2026

Inflation headlines are everywhere, but not all inflation metrics tell the same story. 📊 For business leaders making pricing, hiring, and investment decisions, understanding which measures matter most can make a significant difference.
So which inflation metric should you be paying attention to? https://hubs.la/Q04k9gtV0

What goes into ITR Economics’ proven methodology? From rates-of-change analysis to leading indicators, our approach help...
06/03/2026

What goes into ITR Economics’ proven methodology? From rates-of-change analysis to leading indicators, our approach helps you turn complex data into confident decisions. Learn more about our methodology here: https://hubs.la/Q04jNpxz0

Capital investment decisions are becoming more complex as businesses look beyond the current cycle and toward the 2030s....
06/02/2026

Capital investment decisions are becoming more complex as businesses look beyond the current cycle and toward the 2030s. 🧭

The challenge is not simply deciding whether to invest. It is knowing when, where, and how aggressively to act in an environment shaped by uneven growth, persistent inflation, and long-term structural change.

Many leaders are asking the same questions right now:

• Should we prioritize efficiency or expansion?
• How should we think about timing major investments?
• Which sectors and markets are best positioned for long-term resilience? 📊

The answers depend heavily on where we are in the business cycle and where the economy is headed next.

What key considerations should businesses be evaluating today? Take a closer look at the strategic thinking shaping capital investment conversations ahead of 2030.

Discover key investment strategies to navigate economic challenges ahead of 2030, and learn how to position your business for long-term resilience.

This week on TrendsTalk, we explain our upgraded Producer Price Index (PPI) forecast for 2026. Rising commodity costs, g...
06/01/2026

This week on TrendsTalk, we explain our upgraded Producer Price Index (PPI) forecast for 2026. Rising commodity costs, geopolitical uncertainty, and supply chain pressures are creating new challenges for businesses trying to protect margins and maintain profitability. How should companies adjust their pricing strategy when key inputs like copper, aluminum, and oil are rising much faster than overall inflation?

This week on TrendsTalk, we explains why ITR Economics has upgraded its Producer Price Index (PPI) forecast for 2026 from 3.4% to 5.0%.

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the latest GDP revision, persistent in...
05/29/2026

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the latest GDP revision, persistent inflation pressures, and why expectations for future Fed policy may be shifting in a surprising direction.

Stay informed about the most recent actions of the Federal Reserve Board with the latest episode of Fed Watch.

05/28/2026

Not all states are positioned equally for the decade ahead. Population trends, labor dynamics, and long-term demographic shifts will shape future growth potential across regions. 📊

For business leaders, location strategy may become a much bigger competitive factor in the 2030s than it is today.

Are your current markets aligned with future opportunity?
https://hubs.la/Q04jfSt30

Where your business operates could shape how well you navigate the 2030s. 🌎 Some states are positioned for stronger long...
05/28/2026

Where your business operates could shape how well you navigate the 2030s. 🌎 Some states are positioned for stronger long-term growth, while others may face greater economic pressure in the next cycle. The challenge for leaders is knowing where future opportunity may emerge and how geographic strategy could impact resilience. https://hubs.la/Q04j6KtD0

What if you could see economic turning points before they pop up in the headlines? Our free eBook will show you how to i...
05/26/2026

What if you could see economic turning points before they pop up in the headlines? Our free eBook will show you how to identify early signals in your data so you can act ahead of the curve. 🔗Download your copy today:

Download your free Rates-of-Change eBook from ITR Economics.

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