06/04/2026
Overnight markets: -5, -6¾, -1¼, -1.28, +36.30, -.278, +258
• The USDA and APHIS have confirmed that a calf in Texas was found with New World screwworm, the first time the pest has been present in the US since 1966. The USDA and the Texas Animal Health Commission are taking immediate action, including
establishing a 20km infested zone implementing quarantine, expediting sterile fly release, and upping surveillance in the local area.
• The line of communication between the US and Iran is not completely shut off, according to Iran’s foreign minister in an interview with Lebanese media, but he added no progress
has been made. Reports from Iranian media claim a US naval ship was target in the Gulf of Oman, which has been refuted by US CENCOM. The Wall Street Journal reports President Trump will end the ceasefire if Iranian forces kill Americans.
• The crush complex continues to be supportive for soybeans with very strong margins, but margins have pulled back significantly from peak levels and deferred months see even smaller margins. Policy support, such as 45Z tax credit guidelines, could further
strengthen demand for crush, or trade deals with India and the EU with preferential market access for US soyoil.
• Weather models have rolled forward wetter than previous runs, bringing more moisture to the central and northern Midwest. Coverage in Indiana and Ohio is expected to be more irregular. Rains are also anticipated in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska within the next 36 hours. Weather in the US is viewed as non-threatening, for now.
Full report: https://app.waterstreetag.com/content-items/2230