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10/15/2026

Artificial Intelligence, Real People, and the Art of Making a Deal

Why the rise of AI is transforming business acquisitions and making the human side of brokerage more valuable than ever.

By Ardeshir Vosooghi

There is a new participant at the negotiating table in business acquisitions. It doesn't drink coffee, doesn't charge by the hour, and can review a 40-page purchase agreement before most of us have finished reading the first paragraph.

Artificial intelligence has arrived in business brokerage, and it has brought a remarkable collection of talents, opportunities, and complications.

As a business broker with more than two decades of experience in real estate and business transactions, I've watched technology transform how we value businesses, market opportunities, evaluate buyers, and negotiate agreements. But AI represents something fundamentally different. It doesn't merely accelerate the exchange of information. It participates in the interpretation of that information.

A prospective buyer can now upload financial statements, a Confidential Information Memorandum, and an Asset Purchase Agreement into an AI platform and emerge minutes later with a sophisticated analysis of risks, valuation concerns, contractual deficiencies, and recommended negotiating positions.

That's extraordinary.

It's also where things can get a little ridiculous.

A buyer who yesterday didn't know the difference between EBITDA and seller's discretionary earnings can wake up today armed with an impressive list of indemnifications, escrow holdbacks, revenue guarantees, financing contingencies, and restrictive covenants.

Some of those demands may be perfectly legitimate. Others may be commercially impossible. And occasionally, the resulting counteroffer looks less like a proposal to purchase a business and more like a request for the seller to surrender their firstborn child, with a five-year warranty.

Humor aside, this phenomenon raises an important question about the future of business transactions:

As artificial intelligence makes information and sophisticated analysis available to everyone, are we becoming better negotiators—or simply more confident ones?

The Democratization of Intelligence

Let's give AI the credit it deserves.

For decades, the acquisition of a small business has involved a substantial imbalance of information and experience.

An entrepreneur selling a company after 25 years of ownership may understand every operational detail, every customer relationship, and every financial vulnerability. The broker may have facilitated hundreds of transactions. Meanwhile, the prospective buyer may be making the largest financial commitment of their life with little firsthand acquisition experience.

AI is helping level that playing field.

It can identify questionable financial adjustments, explain unfamiliar contractual provisions, examine customer concentration, model acquisition financing, and highlight potential liabilities. It can help buyers ask questions they might never have thought to ask.

And let's acknowledge an uncomfortable truth within our own industry: not every broker is equally competent, not every listing is properly represented, and not every seller's financial presentation deserves unquestioning acceptance.

AI can expose those deficiencies.

That's a good thing.

Better-informed buyers should lead to better-prepared sellers, more transparent financial disclosures, and stronger professional standards. If technology forces our industry to improve, we should welcome the challenge rather than complain about the competition.

But there is a distinction between having access to intelligence and knowing how to apply it.

Information is not experience. Analysis is not judgment. And identifying a potential risk is not the same as determining how much that risk matters—or what someone should reasonably be willing to sacrifice to address it.

That distinction becomes especially important when two people are attempting to negotiate the transfer of a business.

When Every Protection Becomes a Demand

Consider a hypothetical $500,000 business acquisition.

A buyer consults AI and asks it to identify the strongest possible protections against financial misrepresentation, customer attrition, operational disruption, and post-closing liabilities.

The resulting recommendations might include a 20% purchase-price holdback, a five-year noncompetition agreement, extensive seller indemnifications, guaranteed customer retention, prolonged due diligence, and significant seller financing.

Individually, some of these provisions may be appropriate.

Collectively, they could make the transaction completely unattractive to the seller.

The problem isn't necessarily that the AI's analysis is incorrect. The problem is that the analysis may have been produced without sufficient consideration of the entire transaction.

Does the seller have competing offers? Is the buyer relying on SBA financing? Does the proposed holdback interfere with lender requirements? Can the seller realistically guarantee customers' future decisions? Is the requested restriction enforceable under applicable law? How much risk is each party already assuming?

And perhaps most importantly: What is the buyer offering in exchange for the additional protections?

Negotiation is not simply the accumulation of advantages. It is the construction of an agreement that both parties consider preferable to walking away.

Yet AI has made it remarkably easy to generate negotiating demands without equally improving the user's understanding of their consequences.

A buyer can produce 15 pages of sophisticated objections in minutes. It may take the broker, seller, attorneys, accountants, and lenders days to evaluate them.

Technology has dramatically reduced the cost of making demands. It has not eliminated the cost of satisfying them.

The resulting imbalance can exhaust goodwill, increase transaction expenses, and derail otherwise viable acquisitions.

Ironically, a buyer can negotiate so aggressively in pursuit of protection that they protect themselves right out of buying the business.

The Business Is Financial. The Transaction Is Human.

This is where I believe the true value of an experienced business broker becomes most apparent.

A business acquisition is often presented as a financial equation: revenue, earnings, assets, liabilities, valuation multiples, financing, and return on investment.

Those elements are essential.

But behind every business is a human story.

For the seller, the company may represent 30 years of sacrifice, missed family dinners, sleepless nights, personal guarantees, payroll obligations, and the pride of building something from nothing.

The asking price isn't always just a number. Sometimes it is the seller's perception of what those decades were worth.

For the buyer, the acquisition may represent a family's savings, borrowed capital, a departure from a secure career, or the hope of creating generational wealth.

The buyer's demands aren't always expressions of greed or arrogance. Sometimes they are expressions of fear.

Fear of losing everything. Fear of being deceived. Fear of making a mistake that cannot easily be undone.

And fear, like pride, has a way of disguising itself as logic.

An experienced broker recognizes that these forces operate beneath the surface of almost every meaningful negotiation.

A seller's resistance to a holdback may have as much to do with feeling distrusted as with the actual amount of money involved. A buyer's insistence on another contingency may reflect uncertainty about their own ability to operate the business.

Neither response is necessarily irrational. Both may be entirely understandable.

But understanding the source of a reaction can be the difference between resolving a disagreement and allowing it to become a deal-ending confrontation.

The broker's job is not merely to move documents between parties. It is to help people navigate the distance between what they want, what they fear, and what is actually possible.

That requires listening, interpretation, diplomacy, patience, and sometimes the courage to tell a client something they would rather not hear.

A good broker doesn't simply advocate for a position. A good broker helps the client understand the consequences of holding that position.

And the best brokers know that preserving trust can be just as important as negotiating price.

The Invisible Forces at the Negotiating Table

I've spent considerable time exploring how human relationships develop through accumulated interactions—how trust, expectations, disappointments, and perceptions influence what happens between people.

One observation continues to stand out: every interaction changes the relationship, even when the financial facts remain exactly the same.

Consider two buyers making identical offers.

One is transparent about financing, respectful of the seller's concerns, responsive to requests, and realistic about the acquisition process.

The other is adversarial, constantly introduces new demands, questions every representation, and treats each concession as an invitation to ask for more.

The purchase price may be identical, but the offers are not equally attractive.

The seller is evaluating more than the proposed consideration. They are evaluating the person who will inherit their life's work, the probability of closing, and the emotional and financial costs of getting there.

Trust becomes part of the transaction's value.

And trust is cumulative. It can take months to establish and a single poorly handled exchange to damage.

This is why the human element cannot be treated as some sentimental accessory to the financial transaction.

It is an operational variable.

Trust influences disclosure. Disclosure influences due diligence. Due diligence influences financing. Financing influences closing probability.

Human relationships have measurable economic consequences, even when their underlying forces resist easy measurement.

AI can help us identify these dynamics. But recognizing that a relationship is deteriorating is not the same as knowing how to repair it.

Sometimes the most productive thing a broker can do is stop the exchange of increasingly aggressive emails and get two people talking.

Preferably before their respective AI assistants begin negotiating with each other and nobody remembers who wanted to buy the business in the first place.

Artificial Intelligence Is Evolving, Too

It would be shortsighted to assume that AI will remain limited to its present capabilities.

I use AI extensively in my professional and intellectual work. I've even given my AI collaborator a name: Jorel.

Over time, our collaboration has expanded beyond research, document preparation, and financial analysis into an ongoing exploration of how artificial intelligence might better interpret human behavior and relationships.

We have examined how trust develops, how previous interactions influence present expectations, how resistance forms, and how communication can either strengthen or damage a relationship.

One particularly interesting question is whether an AI system can become more effective by learning not only what a person says, but how the history and context of their interactions should influence the response.

For example, an effective assistant should not simply agree with its user. It should recognize when disagreement is constructive, when a previous misunderstanding needs repair, and when a technically correct response fails to address the actual human problem.

That doesn't mean the machine experiences emotions or possesses human consciousness. Simulating aspects of emotional understanding is not equivalent to experiencing human emotion.

But it does suggest an important direction for technological development.

Future AI systems may become considerably better at modeling competing interests, recognizing emotional context, anticipating interpersonal friction, and helping people communicate more constructively.

Imagine an acquisition platform that doesn't merely recommend a 20% holdback, but explains how that demand might affect seller confidence, lender approval, competing offers, and the probability of closing.

Better yet, imagine it proposes three alternative structures that protect the buyer while respecting the seller's legitimate concerns.

That is not science fiction in principle. It is a plausible direction for increasingly capable, context-aware systems, although the reliability of such judgments will depend on the quality of the information available and the technology's continued development.

In this sense, AI may eventually become a powerful instrument for improving human negotiations rather than simply escalating them.

And I welcome that possibility.

A Supercharger for Human Progress

We should be careful not to let the frustrations of today's AI-assisted negotiations obscure the extraordinary potential of the technology itself.

Artificial intelligence may become one of the great accelerators of human progress.

Its capacity to expand access to knowledge, accelerate scientific discovery, improve medical research, support education, and strengthen human problem-solving is remarkable.

In business, it can help entrepreneurs recognize opportunities, improve operations, allocate resources, and make more informed decisions.

For small-business acquisitions specifically, AI could improve valuations, identify financial risks earlier, streamline due diligence, strengthen buyer qualification, and reduce the administrative burden of closing transactions.

Those improvements could make entrepreneurship more accessible and the market for privately held businesses more efficient.

That is something worth pursuing.

But technological progress and human progress are not automatically the same thing.

The real measure of AI's success should not be how many pages of analysis it can produce or how aggressively it can optimize one party's negotiating position.

It should be whether the technology helps people make better decisions, build more productive relationships, and achieve outcomes that are sustainable and beneficial.

A machine that helps someone win an argument may be useful.

A machine that helps two people understand each other well enough to reach a mutually beneficial agreement may be transformative.

The Broker of Tomorrow

The business brokerage industry should not respond to AI by retreating behind claims of experience or guarding information that technology has already made widely accessible.

We need to evolve alongside it.

The brokers who thrive will be those who combine technological fluency with financial competence, transactional experience, sound judgment, and genuine interpersonal skill.

AI can help us prepare better analyses, identify risks, review documents, and evaluate alternatives.

It can make us faster, more informed, and potentially more effective.

But our professional value must increasingly reside in what we do with that information.

We must know when to challenge a valuation, when to recommend a concession, when to bring in specialized counsel, when to recognize an unfinanceable structure, and when to advise a client that walking away is the right decision.

We must also recognize when a negotiation is no longer about the stated issue.

Sometimes the argument over a $25,000 holdback is really about whether the seller believes the buyer respects the business. Sometimes the buyer's seventh request for documentation is less about missing information than a lack of confidence in taking the leap.

Those situations require more than a spreadsheet.

They require someone capable of understanding both sides without losing sight of their responsibility to the client.

The broker is not there to manufacture agreement at any cost. Nor is the broker there to pressure one party into accepting unreasonable terms.

The broker is there to facilitate an informed, fair, executable transaction—and to recognize when one does not exist.

That is a professional responsibility, not simply a sales function.

The Future Still Has a Human Signature

There is a certain irony in all of this.

As artificial intelligence becomes more sophisticated, the importance of human judgment may become more visible, not less.

For years, we associated expertise with access to information. Today, information is increasingly abundant.

The scarce resource is the ability to interpret it wisely, understand its human consequences, and turn competing interests into constructive action.

Business acquisitions provide a particularly revealing example because they involve so much more than the exchange of assets for money.

They involve the transfer of responsibility, opportunity, risk, and often a lifetime of personal investment.

AI can analyze the numbers, question the assumptions, and recommend the contractual protections. And as it evolves, it may become increasingly capable of helping us navigate the human dimensions as well.

But today, someone still needs to sit across the table, recognize the person behind the position, and help turn uncertainty into an agreement both sides can live with.

That is where good brokers earn their value.

The future of business brokerage should not be a contest between artificial intelligence and human experience.

It should be a collaboration that makes both more effective.

Because the purpose of a successful negotiation is not to defeat the person across the table. It is to create an outcome worth shaking hands over.

And until further notice, the handshake still belongs to us.

First Choice Business Brokers - San Francisco Bay

09/03/2026

The world is messy. But value is still being built.

Turn on the news and you could be forgiven for thinking civilization has become one enormous dumpster fire with Wi-Fi.

Wars continue. Political alliances are shifting. AI is rewriting professions. Energy markets are volatile. Governments are wrestling with debt, migration, security and climate.

There is plenty to worry about.

But underneath all that noise, another story is unfolding.

**People are still building.**

I was reading through recent developments in business valuation, and one theme kept jumping out at me: we are getting better at recognizing where value actually lives.

It isn't always in the equipment, inventory or numbers on a balance sheet.

It can be in intellectual property, data, systems, relationships, reputation—and especially in whether a business can survive without the person who built it.

That last one matters enormously to small-business owners.

A profitable company completely dependent on its owner may be a great job. It isn't necessarily a great investment.

The real question isn't simply:

**“How much money does my business make?”**

It's:

**“How much of its value survives when I leave?”**

AI is creating a similar shift.

AI will increasingly handle research, calculations, financial analysis and repetitive professional work. But that may actually make good human judgment MORE valuable.

The calculator is becoming cheap.

**Wisdom remains stubbornly expensive.**

Zoom out, and something similar is happening globally.

The geopolitical picture remains dangerous. Wars and energy disruptions are very real. But diplomacy hasn't disappeared. Countries that profoundly disagree are still negotiating, cooperating economically and investing together where their interests overlap.

Energy instability is accelerating investment in renewables and energy independence. Competition between major powers is also producing infrastructure investment in developing nations.

Are governments doing all of this from the goodness of their hearts?

Of course not.

Let's not get carried away. 😂

But motives and outcomes aren't always the same thing. If geopolitical competition produces electrical grids, infrastructure, technology, jobs and greater resilience for people who need them, that matters.

And there is good news hiding in quieter places.

Scientists are researching.

Engineers are building.

Entrepreneurs are opening businesses.

People are buying businesses.

Renewable energy continues expanding.

Governments are still negotiating.

International institutions are figuring out how to value things—brands, patents, algorithms, data and ideas—that barely fit into traditional accounting.

And millions of ordinary people woke up this morning and quietly made their little corner of civilization function.

None of this means everything is fine.

It isn't.

Optimism that requires ignoring reality is just denial wearing a cheerful hat.

But pessimism can become intellectually lazy too.

Human progress has never been a straight line. It has always been a messy argument between destruction and creation.

Maybe that's the larger lesson.

**Value isn't static.**

It moves.

It transfers.

It evolves.

Sometimes it exists where our old systems don't even know how to measure it yet.

That's true of businesses.

I suspect it's true of civilizations too.

And despite everything happening around us right now, there is still an extraordinary amount of human effort being invested in building something worth transferring to whoever comes next.

That part of the story deserves some airtime too.

08/24/2026

SBA changes some guidelines - How does this affect you?

You Don't Have to Start a Business to Become a Business Owner.
Sometimes the smarter path is buying one that's already working.

The SBA just released new business-acquisition lending rules taking effect October 1, 2026—and while some requirements are getting tighter, there are still significant opportunities for qualified buyers.

A typical SBA-financed initial acquisition still starts with a 10% equity requirement, although how that equity is sourced now matters more. Seller financing can still play an important role, and existing business owners acquiring companies in related industries may have even greater financing flexibility.

For acquisitions of $3 million or more, the SBA is also adding a lender-ordered Quality of Earnings requirement—another reason clean books, defensible cash flow and proper preparation matter.

And here's the bigger picture:
In FY2025, the SBA guaranteed approximately $45 BILLION to more than 85,000 small businesses—a record for the agency.
Why does that matter?

Because entrepreneurship isn't reserved for the person with a brilliant startup idea and a garage.

There are thousands of established businesses with customers, employees, equipment, revenue and cash flow whose owners eventually need to retire or move on.

Their exit can become your entrance.

Buying a business isn't easy money. It takes capital, courage, good numbers and the right structure. But you may be much closer to business ownership than you realize.

If you've ever wondered what you could realistically buy, how much capital you'd need, or whether SBA financing could work for you, that's exactly the conversation I help buyers navigate.
Don't just look for your next job.

Maybe it's time to look for the business that could become yours.
— Ardeshir Vosooghi

Senior Business Broker | First Choice Business Brokers – SF Bay Area

Main Street 2026: The Buyers Are Still Here — They’re Just Asking Better QuestionsIf you spend enough time around the bu...
08/19/2026

Main Street 2026: The Buyers Are Still Here — They’re Just Asking Better Questions

If you spend enough time around the business-for-sale market, you learn something important: the economy on television and the economy on Main Street are related, but they are definitely not twins.

Wall Street can gain 600 points before lunch because someone used the words “artificial intelligence” during an earnings call. Meanwhile, the owner of a plumbing company is wondering why diesel costs more, his insurance renewal went up 18%, and the buyer who loves his business just asked for three years of tax returns, payroll records and an explanation for something called “Miscellaneous Expense — $83,417.”

Welcome to small business in 2026.

And strangely enough, it isn't a bad place to be.

Through the first half of the year, BizBuySell reported **4,462 closed small-business transactions**: 2,345 in the first quarter and 2,117 in the second. Q2 transactions were down roughly 10% from both the previous quarter and the same period last year. But here's where the story gets interesting: valuations haven't collapsed. The average cash-flow multiple remained around **2.7 times earnings**, while the Q2 median sale price was approximately **$349,250**.

In other words, fewer businesses are selling, but good businesses are still commanding respectable money.

That isn't recessionary panic. That's selectivity.

Buyers are still very much in the room. BizBuySell reports that 46% of surveyed buyers identify as **corporate refugees** pursuing business ownership, with another 13% recently unemployed and 14% already serial entrepreneurs. There is a generation of educated, experienced professionals looking at corporate America and deciding that owning the machine might be more attractive than remaining another replaceable part inside it.

The IBBA and M&A Source see something similar farther up the food chain. In their Q1 survey of deals ranging from Main Street through the lower middle market, 43% of advisors reported stronger transaction activity over the preceding year versus 21% reporting weaker conditions. On transactions above $5 million, 83% attracted at least three offers.

So where is the friction?

Money.

Or more precisely, the price and scrutiny attached to money.

The Federal Reserve's latest small-business credit research found that only 42% of financing applicants received everything they requested; 22% received nothing. Small banks performed notably better, fully approving 57% of applicants who approached them.

That matters enormously in business brokerage because a buyer doesn't purchase cash flow in a vacuum. They purchase cash flow **after debt service**.

The SBA has provided one meaningful tailwind. Effective July 4, qualified borrowers can combine up to $5 million of 7(a) financing with up to $5 million of 504 financing, potentially giving capital-intensive businesses access to as much as **$10 million in combined SBA-backed financing**. That could matter particularly for manufacturing, construction, logistics and transactions involving significant real estate or equipment.

But bigger lending limits do not mean easier underwriting.

A lender can forgive a lot of things. Arithmetic is rarely one of them.

And that may be the defining lesson of the 2026 brokerage market: **clean financials are becoming an asset in themselves.**

Service businesses remain the largest transaction category, representing roughly 40% of Q2 deals. Recurring revenue, modest capital requirements and transferable operations remain attractive. Retail transaction volume fell 15% year-over-year, restaurants fell 12%, and manufacturing deals fell 9%, with manufacturing transactions taking an average 247 days to close.

Then there is the 800-pound algorithm in the room: AI.

The Federal Reserve's small-business survey found 46% of employer firms already using AI and another 15% planning to adopt it. Among users, **71% reported increased productivity**, while 31% reported higher sales. BizBuySell's own survey puts adoption even higher among its respondents.

Yet AI still isn't consistently changing business valuations. Sixty-seven percent of business intermediaries surveyed by IBBA said it had no material valuation impact yet.

The word **yet** deserves a chair at the table.

Over time, I suspect buyers will stop asking simply, “Does this company use AI?” and start asking a more intelligent question: **Has technology made this company more productive, less owner-dependent and more scalable?**

That will affect value.

Now zoom the camera out.

The geopolitical landscape for the remainder of 2026 is anything but sleepy.

The IMF currently projects global economic growth of about **3.0% for 2026**, followed by 3.4% in 2027. That's growth, not collapse, but it comes with considerable unevenness as technology investment supports some economies while warfare, energy costs and trade fragmentation drag on others.

The most immediate risk to American small businesses may be energy.

Conflict involving Iran and continuing instability around the Strait of Hormuz have disrupted petroleum flows. The U.S. Energy Information Administration currently expects Brent crude to average around **$85 per barrel during the third quarter**, while the International Energy Agency has cut its 2026 global oil-supply expectations because of Middle Eastern and Russian disruptions.

For Main Street, oil isn't merely an oil-company problem.

It becomes transportation costs, delivery costs, airline tickets, plastics, food distribution, construction materials and eventually another quiet line item eating somebody's margin.

Trade policy adds another wildcard. New U.S. tariffs of 10% to 12.5% were imposed in July on goods from roughly 60 trading partners, while negotiations and tariff adjustments involving China continue.

Whatever one's politics — and tariffs have passionate defenders and equally passionate critics — businesses care about something much less philosophical:

**What does my inventory cost next month?**

Federal Reserve research shows how real that question already is. More than four in ten surveyed firms identified tariff-related costs as a financial challenge, rising to 69% of retailers and 62% of manufacturers. Of companies facing higher foreign-input costs, 76% passed at least some of those increases to customers while 60% absorbed some themselves.

Meanwhile, Russia's war in Ukraine continues to threaten grain, energy and European supply channels, while disruptions in the Middle East and Red Sea are reminding everyone that globalization ultimately depends on surprisingly narrow pieces of water staying open.

And the American consumer finally deserves watching closely. July retail sales fell 0.6%, the first monthly decline in nine months. One month does not make a recession — consumers have been astonishingly resilient for several years — but businesses dependent on discretionary spending should pay attention.

So what happens next?

My base-case expectation — **not an official industry forecast** — is that 2026 finishes with roughly **8,900 to 9,300 reported BizBuySell transactions**, below 2025's 9,586 but nowhere near a frozen acquisition market. The bigger story will probably be a widening valuation gap: high-quality, well-documented businesses will continue attracting capital, while mediocre businesses priced as though it were still 2021 may simply sit there getting older. That projection is an inference from first-half transaction volume, current financing conditions and the strength of buyer demand.

And perhaps that is healthy.

Every economic cycle teaches entrepreneurs something.

This one appears to be teaching them that **revenue is impressive, cash flow is important, but transferable cash flow is king.**

A business with clean books, defensible margins, trained employees, diversified customers, documented processes and limited dependence on its owner remains one of the most compelling assets available to an entrepreneur.

Wars will come and hopefully go. Interest rates will rise and fall. Presidents will tariff things and future presidents may untariff them. AI will continue learning how to write emails nobody asked it to write.

But somewhere tomorrow morning, a bakery will turn on its ovens, a contractor will load a truck, a machinist will start a CNC mill, a barber will unlock the door, and an entrepreneur will take a risk because they believe they can build something.

That is Main Street.

It has never required perfect conditions.

It just requires enough people who still believe tomorrow is worth investing in.

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