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Here’s the latest news from the global pandemic.Masks at Goldman, scrutiny at Morgan Stanley as delta spreadsJapan’s qui...
08/19/2021

Here’s the latest news from the global pandemic.

Masks at Goldman, scrutiny at Morgan Stanley as delta spreads
Japan’s quickening vaccine rollout is good news for the economy
Soaring cost of food is forcing families to scrimp at the dinner table
How bad is it?
The coronavirus should be having free rein in Nigeria, Africa’s most populous nation. Many of its more than 200 million people live in crowded, squalid shantytowns where social distancing is virtually impossible. Less than 1% of the population have been fully vaccinated, and the wearing of face masks is the exception rather than the norm.

Official data show the country has had fewer than 184,000 confirmed infections so far, and 2,229 of those who’ve been diagnosed with the disease have died. That compares with almost 2.6 million cases and 77,993 fatalities in South Africa, which has just 60 million people—although its excess death figures show the true toll could be about three times higher.

A street scene in Lagos, Nigeria, in December 2020.

Photographer: Anadolu Agency/Anadolu

Clearly the true extent of the devastation wrought by the pandemic remains unreported and undetected across much of the developing world. Nigeria’s testing facilities are woefully inadequate and its health-care system has long been over-stretched, meaning many of those who fall ill recover—or die—at home.

Covid-19 screening carried out on 2,300 graduate students who reported to centers nationwide last month for their annual national youth service gives some indication of the disease’s prevalence, with at least 109 of them testing positive.

Another study published in February that was based on blood samples collected from 10,000 residents of Lagos, Africa’s largest city with about 24 million people, showed that 23% had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, indicating that they had contracted the disease.

Officials in the commercial hub sounded alarm bells last month that infections and deaths are increasing, with the test positivity rate approaching 9%. The University of Lagos has been closed for almost a month to curb infections.

So far there’s no indication on social media of a dramatic upsurge in Covid-19-related hospitalizations and deaths, and interviews with doctors and funeral parlor managers bear that out. Just how badly Nigeria has been affected may only become clearer as the disease runs its course and if, or when, more information becomes available.—Anthony Osae-Brown and Michael Cohen

Track the vaccines
Pandemic of the Unvaccinated
Israel was first to show that vaccines were bending the curve of Covid infections. Covid cases declined rapidly, and a similar pattern of vaccination and recovery repeated across dozens of other countries. This progress is under threat. New strains, led by the highly transmissible delta variant, have caused renewed outbreaks. It’s now a life-and-death contest between vaccine and virus. The vaccines remain effective at preventing hospitalization and death. See the latest here.



What you should read
Hong Kong’s Quarantine Flip-Flop Creates Chaos
Scrapping of seven-day quarantine throws plans into disarray.
U.S. Vaccinations Rise to Levels Seen in Spring
Almost half a million Americans are starting vaccination each day.
Asia Vaccine Rate Is a Market Topic for Goldman
Staggered growth rates set up investment opportunities, strategist says.
Moderna Sees Potential for Annual Boosters
Co-founder sees a time when Covid vaccines are as regular as the flu.
Go Office or Go Home: Austin Rejects Mix Work
Managers in Texas capital less likely to favor hybrid work than other cities.
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Have any questions, concerns, or news tips on Covid-19 news? Get in touch or help us cover the story.

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Below is a review of the forex and CFD markets to follow today. We encourage you to learn about your favourite instrumen...
08/19/2021

Below is a review of the forex and CFD markets to follow today. We encourage you to learn about your favourite instruments in order to formulate a trading strategy that capitalises on market opportunities in accordance with your specific requirements.


eurusd

EUR/USD

The Euro drifted sideways and traded marginally higher on Wednesday. It is currently 1.17166. The Eurozone CPI for July...>>


gbpusd

GBP/USD

The British Pound moved slightly higher on Wednesday. It is presently 1.37551. The UK’s CPI for July printed at...>>


usdjpy

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair traded sideways in a narrow range on Wednesday. It is 109.650 at midday in Europe. Japan’s...>>


usdcad

USD/CAD

The USD/CAD pair bounced sideways in medium range on Wednesday. It is 1.26241 at lunchtime in Europe. Canada will post...>>


audusd

AUD/USD

The Aussie Dollar drifted sideways in a medium channel on Wednesday. It is currently 0.72483. Australia’s Wage...>>


gold

GOLD (USD)

Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday, as concerns over the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus buoyed...>>


crude oil

CRUDE OIL

Oil prices steadied on Wednesday after four days of declines with investors still worried about the outlook for fuel...>>


USDTRY

USD/TRY

The USD/TRY pair increased firmly at lunchtime Wednesday around 8.4846 despite the fact that the dollar inched lower...>>


gbpusd

GER 30

The GER30 and European stock markets held steady on Wednesday as investors favoured real estate and healthcare stocks...>>


usa500

USA500

U.S. stock futures ticked down Wednesday ahead of the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s July policy...>>

A warning from one of Lebanon’s top hospitals over the weekend served as a reminder of the potential for the nation’s fu...
08/15/2021

A warning from one of Lebanon’s top hospitals over the weekend served as a reminder of the potential for the nation’s fuel crisis to cripple the country and bring vital infrastructure to its knees.

The American University of Beirut Medical Center said on Saturday it will be forced to shut off ventilators and other lifesaving equipment in less than 48 hours should the fuel shortage continue. Forty adult patients and fifteen children living on respirators could die “immediately,” it said.

Black smoke rises from the scene where a fuel tanker exploded, in Tleil village, north Lebanon, Sunday. Photographer: STR/AP
The warning came after the central bank abruptly lifted fuel subsidies
last week. The central bank had been accused of being slow to open credit lines, creating a fuel shortage that’s plunged the nation into darkness all but several hours a day.

Adding to the crisis, a fuel tank explosion in the northern region of Akkar killed at least 20 people and injured more than seven early on Sunday.

Chart of the Week
Saudi Aramco’s acquisition of chemical makers Sabic, which led its debt levels to burst through a self-imposed borrowing target, now show signs of paying off as prices for plastics, paint and packaging soar. Last week, Sabic reported its highest quarterly net income in almost a decade.



The Slant
Unlike former Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, “whose word was law,” incumbent Naftali Bennett is not free to act alone in dealing with the nation’s enemies, writes Zev Chafets. He is distracted by the coronavirus and constrained by U.S. pressure as his own coalition.

When he meets President Joe Biden in the coming weeks, he should explain his goals and intentions without lecturing as Netanyahu did in the past.

Need to Know

Iran’s new president picked hawkish Foreign Ministry veteran Hossein Amirabdollahian as the nation’s top diplomat, underscoring the shift in power that’s clouding the resumption of nuclear talks with world powers.

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian Photographer: STRINGER/AFP
Saudi Arabia’s budget deficit narrowed as oil prices surged and tax revenue increased. The higher oil prices are giving the kingdom’s public finances a boost after last year’s crisis sent its deficit soaring.

A fourth coronavirus lockdown could cut Israel’s economic growth by half a percentage point, Bank of Israel Governor Amir Yaron told Bloomberg TV. Yaron urged the government to make “every conceivable effort’’ to avoid a lockdown.

A health worker prepares a dose of the Pfizer-BioNtech COVID-19 vaccine. Photographer: JACK GUEZ/AFP
Kuwait named Ghanem Al-Ghunaiman as the new managing director of its $700 billion sovereign wealth fund, completing an overdue management reshuffle that had complicated decision-making.

The International Energy Agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries have pared back their assessments of the need for OPEC crude in almost every quarter to the end of 2022.

Coming Up
An Afghan delegation may head to Doha this week for talks with the Taliban
Israel GDP data on Aug. 16
Last Word
American celebrity chef David Burke has taken up a new challenge -- Saudi Arabia. Until recently, it would have been inconceivable that Burke open up a restaurant in staid and conservative Riyadh, let alone his second one in less than a year.

The social revolution, spawned by a transformation led by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is promoting concerts, movies, and gender mixing that is playing out at city dining tables.

Freshly mixed non-alcoholic cocktails at Camilla, a Lebanese coffeeshop in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Photographer: TASNEEM ALSULTAN
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Do you know someone who is fully vaccinated but caught Covid-19 anyway? You’re not alone. Breakthrough cases are causing...
08/15/2021

Do you know someone who is fully vaccinated but caught Covid-19 anyway? You’re not alone. Breakthrough cases are causing anxiety for many as Covid transmission is on the rise again in the U.S.

But the fact that some fully vaccinated people are contracting Covid-19 doesn’t mean vaccines aren’t working. No vaccine is 100% effective, and health authorities around the world have been expecting breakthrough cases. In fact, the data show us that the vaccines are doing their job quite effectively.

Based on data from the 24 states tracking breakthrough cases, only 1.7% of confirmed cases were in fully vaxxed people at the end of July. As a reference point, about 57% of people in those states are fully vaccinated. Put another way, if vaccines did nothing, we’d expect to see 1.3 times as many Covid cases in the vaccinated than the unvaccinated.

And even if people are catching Covid after being vaccinated, they’re much less likely to be hospitalized (and therefore less likely to die).

Of course, the more contagious delta variant has only become a fear for Americans relatively recently. But data elsewhere back up the case that vaccines really do work. Take the U.K., where delta has been the dominant strain since early June. Of cases sequenced and identified as delta through July 19, just 12.6% of cases were in people who had received two doses of a Covid vaccine.

That doesn’t quite do the vaccines justice. A more recent study found that unvaccinated people were three times more likely than fully vaccinated people to test positive for Covid-19. One in 82 unvaccinated people tested positive for Covid, versus 1 in 250 fully vaccinated people. Again, if vaccines didn’t work, we’d expect to see cases in vaccinated people to be up to 1.9 times higher than in unvaccinated people.

That said, wearing your masks and keeping your distance from people remains a sensible choice — especially if your state has low vaccine uptake.

Further reading on breakthrough cases:

CDC scaled back hunt for breakthrough cases just as the delta variant grew​​​​​​
Why are fully vaccinated people testing positive for Covid?
See the data on breakthrough Covid hospitalizations and deaths by state
More data from Bloomberg Opinion:

Mapping where it's getting hotter, and where it's not
Tracking inflation
These minority neighborhoods waited a year for Covid loans
This is the Theme of the Week edition of Bloomberg Opinion Today, a digest of our top commentary published every Sunday.

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TOP STORIESHow to Win the War on Car IdlingAir-pollution laws, enforcement sprees and educational campaigns haven’t work...
08/15/2021

TOP STORIES
How to Win the War on Car Idling
Air-pollution laws, enforcement sprees and educational campaigns haven’t worked. What will it take to make drivers shut off their engines when they’re parked?

Saudi Arabia’s Social Revolution Arrives at Riyadh Dining Tables
Restaurants serving sushi, mocktails and even babka are becoming more commonplace in the Saudi capital.

Homelessness Surges in Venice Beach, Leaving Locals at Odds
Compassion or crackdown? Residents of the Los Angeles beach enclave are bitterly divided over efforts to get unsheltered people off the streets.

Where Climate and Covid Migration Converge
Sleepy Humboldt County, on the northern edge of the California coast, is seeing a surge in housing demand that it doesn’t have the infrastructure to accommodate.

With their distinctive details and treacherous outdoor staircases, these two- or three-floor apartment buildings dominate the city’s multi-family rental housing market.

READ MORE
How Should Cities Spend Billions in Aid? Ask People Who Live There
Some state and local governments are turning to Zoom and Survey Monkey polls to ask residents how to use their federal Covid relief aid.

Hiroshima’s ‘Memory Keepers’ Inherit the Stories of A-Bomb Survivors
As the generation that experienced the world’s first atomic attack fades away, the city is training younger volunteers to share the experiences of nuclear survivors.

FOLLOW US

Wall Street JuniorHEARD ON THE STREETIt was a tense session in the stock market on Thursday, as bulls and bears fought t...
08/15/2021

Wall Street Junior
HEARD ON THE STREET
It was a tense session in the stock market on Thursday, as bulls and bears fought to a near standstill.

OK, it was a fairly listless day as far as the meandering major indexes were concerned. The Dow Jones Industrial average eked out a gain, rising 54 points, or 0.2%, while the broader S&P 500 slipped 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 0.7%.

On the earnings front, Morgan Stanley delivered solid results, pushed along by a boost in fees from deal making and advising wealthy clients. With major bank earnings now out of the way, attention will turn to the industrials, technology firms and other big companies that will be reporting results over the next couple of weeks.

In other corporate news, two major hospitals - the Cleveland Clinic and Mount Sinai Health System in New York - said they won’t administer Biogen’s controversial new Alzheimer’s treatment, Aduhelm. Biogen’s shares fell sharply on the news.

Meanwhile, some of the many crosscurrents hitting the economy were on display in Thursday’s data releases. The Labor Department said the number of Americans who applied for first-time unemployment benefits fell to 360,000 in the week ended July 10, down from 386,000 in the week prior, and in a separate report said that prices for imports rose strongly last month. A report on industrial production from the Federal Reserve showed that manufacturing output eased last month - a reflection of manufacturers' difficulties securing parts, materials and labor.

Here's what else we were watching:


Markets in a Minute
Advertisement.

Look for Health Stocks to Stop Lagging, Start Leading

PHOTO: JIM MONE/ASSOCIATED PRESS

Health stocks have returned about 13% so far this year, falling behind the S&P 500 by about three percentage points. But insurance giant and industry bellwether UnitedHealth Group’s second-quarter results show that pandemic-driven disruptions are coming to an end. That bodes well for a host of medical device manufacturers, hospital operators and drug companies, which will begin reporting second-quarter earnings next week, writes Charley Grant.

Insurers like UnitedHealth still enjoy strong pricing power, favorable long-term demographics and a friendly regulatory framework. The high cost of care is an evergreen political issue, so health investors should always keep an eye on Washington, D.C. Yet the sector faces no serious regulatory threat in the short term. In the meantime, the return of patients to doctors’ offices means that health stocks should stop lagging and start leading.


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Despite Demand, Factories Still Aren’t Humming

PHOTO: HANNAH YOON FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Manufacturers aren’t running at anything close to the level they can. They were at 75.5% of capacity last month—about where they were before the pandemic, but hardly in a place where one would think they were running up against limits. And yet they are clearly running up against some limits, writes Justin Lahart.

The chip shortage and the overburdening of global transportation networks is leaving factories short of what they need to step up production. Manufacturers also are dealing with a severe challenge finding labor. The manufacturing job openings rate—job openings as a share of manufacturing employment plus unfilled positions—was 6.2% as of May, according to the Labor Department. In data going back to 2000, the highest the manufacturing job opening rate ever got before the pandemic was 3.9% in late 2018.

It will take time for the constraints on manufacturing to ease, but it seems plausible that some time within the next year they will. The supply of semiconductors will pick up, and shipping snarls will get untangled. Many of the factors limiting labor availability—an incomplete list includes Covid-19 worries, expanded unemployment benefits, child-care issues and reduced mobility—should diminish as well.

Analysis by Justin Lahart

✔️ In Brief

TSMC has more demand for its products than it knows what to do with. Politics, not business, looks like the most pressing issue on the horizon, writes Jacky Wong.

Even with the rise in Morgan Stanley's shares and valuation, a big dividend and favorable trends could push it further still, writes Telis Demos.

While U.S. carriers are starting to make money again, international travel markets aren’t yet enjoying the much-awaited recovery from the pandemic, writes Jon Sindreu.


📅 What's Coming Up
The Commerce Department will report June retail sales figures on Friday, and the University of Michigan will release its preliminary reading on consumer sentiment in July.


About Us
Heard on the Street is the Wall Street Journal's home for financial analysis and commentary. We question conventional wisdom and dig into the numbers to give readers insights into business and investing. We have exposed scams, highlighted flaws in corporate strategy and, occasionally, tilted at windmills.

Justin Lahart is a reporter for Heard on the Street. Follow him on Twitter at .

Follow the Heard Column on Twitter at .

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