09/02/2026
Early-stage valuation is where I see the most avoidable mistakes in startup fundraising.
Here's the rule I come back to every time: you can go up, but you can't come back down.
Setting a valuation too high early (even with the best intentions) creates problems that follow you through every subsequent round. Future investors will ask why the valuation moved. Original investors may feel diluted in ways they didn't expect. And if the business grows into the valuation more slowly than the number suggested it would, you're in a difficult position.
I had a situation recently where someone was advising a client that they should be at a $20 million valuation. They needed $200,000 to keep the founder paid for the next six months. The mismatch between the ask and the stated valuation was going to create more problems than it solved.
The right valuation at the early stage is the one that's defensible given what you actually have, and structured in a way that leaves room to grow.
That's not a pessimistic stance. It's a protective one. Investors at the friends and family and seed stage are already accepting significant risk. They don't need the math to be optimistic on top of it. They need to believe the structure makes sense.
Set it right the first time. The numbers will do their job if you let them.
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