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Bureau for Economic Research (BER)

Name: Bureau for Economic Research (BER)
Address: Stellenbosch, ZA
Telephone: +27218089755

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Bureau for Economic Research (BER)

The Bureau for Economic Research (BER) is a research unit at Stellenbosch University.

The BER monitors and forecasts economic trends, and identifies and analyses factors, both locally and internationally, that affect South African businesses. The BER primarily focuses on the South African macro economy and selected economic sectors. It monitors and forecasts macroeconomic economic and sector trends, and identifies and analyses local and international factors that affect South Afric

an businesses. The organisation has built up and continues to expand its business tendency surveys and macroeconomic forecasting capabilities. Both are used for analysing and projecting South African macroeconomic trends. The BER uses a variety of internationally accepted methodologies and econometric models for the generation and analysis of the data, as well as techniques developed specifically for the unique South African environment. Other activities include commissioned research, courses, conferences and training. The BER's respected economic analysis and forecasting services are used by a wide range of clients, ranging from small to medium sized firms up to very large JSE listed companies, as well as public sector bodies and NGOs. Financial and investment companies, local and overseas banking groups, multilateral organisations and academic bodies, all make use of the impartial economic information available from the BER.

22/05/2026

𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗼𝗻 𝗲𝗱𝗴𝗲. 𝗦𝗔 𝗳𝗲𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗲𝗮𝘁. 🔥

This week's BER Weekly Review unpacks it all! From Strait of Hormuz disruptions and Beijing's diplomatic balancing act, to Johannesburg's fiscal squeeze and what Thursday's SARB rate decision means for you.

Swipe through for the highlights ➡️

📩 Subscribe to the full Weekly Review: https://www.ber.ac.za/Documents/Index/Weekly-Review

12/05/2026

𝗗𝗢𝗡'𝗧 𝗠𝗜𝗦𝗦 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗕𝗘𝗥'𝗦 𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗨𝗔𝗟 𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗙𝗘𝗥𝗘𝗡𝗖𝗘!

South Africa’s road to stronger growth remains uncertain - shaped by politics, policy choices, business confidence and global volatility.

On 2 June 2026, the BER Conference returns to The Maslow Hotel, Sandton, bringing together leading policymakers, economists and political analysts to unpack the forces shaping South Africa’s economic trajectory.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿’𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗺𝗲:

𝗦𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮’𝘀 𝗯𝘂𝗺𝗽𝘆 𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝟯%: 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝘀, 𝗽𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗹𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗲𝘀

The programme includes:

• A keynote address by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank
• A political discussion on “The battle for Johannesburg” featuring the
Democratic Alliance's Mayoral candidate for Johannesburg, Helen Zille, with Gareth van Onselen and Natasha Marrian
• The live release of the 2026 Q2 RMB/BER Business Confidence
Index
• BER’s latest macroeconomic outlook presented by Lisette IJssel de Schepper, Shannon Bold and Roy Havemann

👉𝗖𝗼𝗻𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 + 𝗘𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝗕𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗹𝗲: 𝗥𝟮,𝟲𝟱𝟬

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗹𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗹𝘂𝗱𝗲𝘀:
• A full conference ticket
• A 12-month BER Essential Insights subscription (This includes the Weekly Review)

Purchased separately, these amount to R3,200, saving R550.
For decision-makers who rely on rigorous economic intelligence and independent analysis, this is a valuable investment.
Seats are limited and allocated on a first-come, first-served basis.

Register now: https://shorturl.at/KkwMz

📍 The Maslow Hotel, Sandton
📅 02 June 2026
⏰ 08:00 – 13:30

𝙋𝙡𝙚𝙖𝙨𝙚 𝙣𝙤𝙩𝙚: 𝘉𝘌𝘙 𝘗𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘶𝘮 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘊𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘦𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘦𝘦 (3) 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘭𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘺 𝘴𝘦𝘢𝘵𝘴, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘉𝘌𝘙 𝘌𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘚𝘶𝘣𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘪𝘣𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘢𝘭𝘴𝘰 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘦𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘢 𝘴𝘶𝘣𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵 𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘭𝘦-𝘴𝘦𝘢𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘧𝘦𝘦.

17/04/2026

⛽ FUEL PRICE EXPLAINER | Answering your questions

The Strait of Hormuz closed. Diesel is up. Petrol is up. And May's price adjustment could hurt.

We unpacked the full picture in today's BER Weekly Review. This post gives you the outline:

🔹 Why a Middle East war is moving SA fuel prices
🔹 Why fuel prices are rising faster than crude (and diesel faster than petrol)
🔹 What to expect at the May price adjustment
🔹 Whether prices will come down soon
🔹 Whether we'll see pre-war levels again this year

👉Not a Premium Insights client or BER Essential Insights subscriber yet? Find out more here https://www.ber.ac.za/ProductOffering

17/04/2026

⛽ FUEL PRICE EXPLAINER | Answering your questions

The Strait of Hormuz closed. Diesel is up. Petrol is up. And May's price adjustment could hurt.

We unpacked the full picture in today's BER Weekly Review. This post gives you the outline:

🔹 Why a Middle East war is moving SA fuel prices
🔹 Why fuel prices are rising faster than crude (and diesel faster than petrol)
🔹 What to expect at the May price adjustment
🔹 Whether prices will come down soon
🔹 Whether we'll see pre-war levels again this year

Not a Premium Insights client or BER Essential Insights subscriber yet?

👉 Subscribe to Essential Insights to read the Weekly Review: https://www.ber.ac.za/ProductOffering

👉 Premium Insights client? Log in to your profile to access the full version of the explainer

10/04/2026

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝘁-𝗰𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗯𝗲 𝗼𝗳𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘁𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 - 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗻𝗼𝘄 - 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗳𝗮𝗿 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲𝗱.

This week’s ceasefire between the US and Iran triggered a relief rally, yet oil prices, shipping flows and sentiment remain highly sensitive to how the situation evolves from here. In that sense, markets continue to react more to headlines than fundamentals.

𝗜𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸’𝘀 𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄, 𝘄𝗲 𝘂𝗻𝗽𝗮𝗰𝗸:

👉 Why the ceasefire is fragile in practice

👉 How oil remains the key transmission channel for global markets

👉 What this means for South Africa’s outlook

👉 And key domestic political developments, including public service reform, shifting coalition dynamics and expectations of a Cabinet reshuffle later this year

𝘈𝘷𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘉𝘌𝘙 𝘌𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘴𝘶𝘣𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘪𝘣𝘦𝘳𝘴 (𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 𝘙210/𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘩) 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘗𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘶𝘮 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴.

𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗲𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 𝘁𝗼𝗱𝗮𝘆. https://www.ber.ac.za/Documents/Index/Weekly-Review

❗ 𝗡𝗼𝘁𝗲: 𝘉𝘌𝘙 𝘗𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘶𝘮 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘊𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘉𝘌𝘙 𝘌𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘴𝘶𝘣𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘪𝘣𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘪𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘢𝘤𝘤𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘞𝘦𝘦𝘬𝘭𝘺 𝘙𝘦𝘷𝘪𝘦𝘸, 𝘰𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘭𝘰𝘨𝘨𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘪𝘭𝘦.

👉 𝙎𝙞𝙜𝙣 𝙪𝙥 𝙩𝙤𝙙𝙖𝙮 𝘵𝘰 𝘢𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘤𝘩𝘰𝘪𝘤𝘦 𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦. https://www.ber.ac.za/ProductOffering

26/03/2026

𝗡𝗢𝗕𝗢𝗗𝗬 𝗪𝗔𝗡𝗧𝗦 𝗧𝗢 𝗕𝗘 𝗔 𝗛𝗔𝗗𝗘𝗗𝗔

The BER has modelled 𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗦𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝘆 (𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲-𝟮𝟬𝟯𝟬) - the 𝗛𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗱𝗮, the 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂 and the 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗙𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗘𝗮𝗴𝗹𝗲 - to illustrate the choices that could allow the country to enjoy the high road to economic success and avoid idling in low gear or taking the low road to economic ruin

Read more here https://www.ber.ac.za/Documents/Index/Impumelelo-Economic-Growth-Lab

15/12/2025

The BER will be closed for the festive season and will re-open in early January. Expect the first Weekly Review of the year on Friday 9 January 2026.

The BER team would like to wish everyone a peaceful and happy festive season.

12/12/2025

Today was not only the last Weekly Review of 2025, but also the final Weekly that Jenny Tucker will read in her official editing capacity.

Jenny has played a vital role in the Weekly since its launch in 2013 and, by our estimate, has read close to 600 issues over the years.

Late nights, early mornings, and always thoughtful feedback: thank you, Jenny, for everything you have given to the Weekly. We wish you a joyful and well-deserved full retirement.

06/11/2025

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸’𝘀 𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 (𝗘𝗻𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗱 𝗘𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻) 𝗶𝘀 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗶𝘀𝘀!

𝗘𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝗮𝘃𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 to our BER Premium Insights clients and 𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗘𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝘀𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲𝗿s, this edition goes 𝗯𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘂𝘀𝘂𝗮𝗹 round-up of economic events and outlook.

💥 𝗔𝘀 𝗮 𝗯𝗼𝗻𝘂𝘀, we’re including a Mini Budget Preview titled “𝗡𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘀𝗺𝗮𝗹𝗹 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗶 𝗯𝘂𝗱𝗴𝗲𝘁”, by Claire Bisseker, which is a sharp, timely commentary you won’t find anywhere else.

This kind of occasional, high-impact analysis is one of the great benefits of subscribing to BER Essential Insights.

We have tailored the Essential Insights service to give small business owners and young professionals the edge they need to navigate South Africa’s economic landscape with confidence, and it comes at a nominal fee of just R210 per month. It is available in both monthly and annual subscription options.

Whether you're making strategic decisions, planning for growth, or just trying to stay ahead of the curve, this subscription is a valuable addition to your business toolkit!

👉 𝗗𝗼𝗻’𝘁 𝗺𝗶𝘀𝘀 𝗼𝘂𝘁. 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲 𝘁𝗼𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝗮𝗰𝗰𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗲𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝗺𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿: https://tinyurl.com/my8ykf92

𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲: https://tinyurl.com/bdf6b9z8 or d𝗼𝘄𝗻𝗹𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝗮 𝗳𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗲𝘅𝗮𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗽𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 to see what it is all about. https://tinyurl.com/yr2e74vm

31/10/2025

The latest BER Weekly Review (Free Edition) is available on our website, here https://www.ber.ac.za/Publications/BERWeekly/1088

This free version gives you a solid overview of last week’s key domestic and international data releases, plus updates on structural reform initiatives.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 (𝗘𝗻𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗱 𝗘𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻) however, is 𝗮𝘃𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗮𝗯𝗹𝗲 𝗲𝘅𝗰𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗘𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝘀𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘂𝗺 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀, and provides expert analysis and strategic commentary you won’t find anywhere else.

❗ 𝗣𝗹𝘂𝘀, 𝘄𝗲 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗷𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝘂𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗹𝘂𝗱𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 𝗳𝗶𝗴𝘂𝗿𝗲𝘀, 𝘀𝗼 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝗱𝗼𝗻'𝘁 𝘄𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗶𝘀𝘀 𝗼𝘂𝘁.

Are you a small business owner or a young professional who thrives on staying informed? Then don’t settle for the highlights, get the complete edition and stay ahead of the curve with insights your competitors wish they had.

👉𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲 𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗼𝗻𝗹𝘆 𝗥𝟮𝟭𝟬/𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵:
https://www.ber.ac.za/productoffering

𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗮𝗹𝘀𝗼 𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻𝗹𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝗮 𝗳𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝘀𝗮𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗲𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗘𝗥 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 (𝗘𝗻𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗱 𝗘𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲
https://www.ber.ac.za/ProductOffering/ContactMe/essentialinsights

𝙉𝙊𝙏𝙀: 𝘈𝘳𝘦 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘢𝘭𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘥𝘺 𝘢 𝘴𝘶𝘣𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘪𝘣𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘉𝘌𝘙 𝘌𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘢 𝘗𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘶𝘮 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵𝘴 𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘵? 𝘠𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘢𝘤𝘤𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦𝘥 𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘪𝘯 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘔𝘺 𝘋𝘰𝘤𝘶𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘴𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘉𝘌𝘙 𝘸𝘦𝘣𝘴𝘪𝘵𝘦 𝘰𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘭𝘰𝘨𝘨𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘰 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘪𝘭𝘦.

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