FTS Income

FTS Income Trade football with data, not guesswork. Proven systems, tools and structure for real edge.

FTSIncome is a sport trading site created and run by successful Betfair trader Ian Erskine in 2007. Over the last 13 years FTS Income has grown to become a trusted and independent source of education and information for sports traders of all levels whether you are a complete newbie or a seasoned pro. Our aim is to educate the average person to trade responsibly whilst maximising their TAX FREE profits by accessing our tips, advice and a range of tools and services.

20/09/2026

That's it for a while. From tomorrow it's the international break — and this year it's a long one: three weeks rather than the usual fortnight. One result from today or yesterday doesn't tell you whether you made good decisions this month. What matters is whether you followed a sensible process, and what that process produces over a proper sample. Use the next few weeks to actually look at that properly, rather than just waiting for the fixtures to come back.

19/09/2026

Last full weekend of domestic football for a while — the international break starts straight after, and it's a long one this time: three weeks rather than the usual fortnight. Nothing changes about how you should approach today. No market support? Leave it. Wrong price? Leave it. Doesn't fit your strategy? Leave it. The temptation on a “last weekend for a while” is to squeeze in one more than the plan calls for. Resist that specifically today.

19/09/2026

Before today's card fills up, you don't need a reason to trade every match. You need a reason to trade this one, specifically. “There's football on” isn't a reason. “There's value here, and it fits my strategy” is.

Using the FTS Data Advanced Database.In the Brazilian Serie A, when the 6-game model projects 3.5+ match goals, Over 2.5...
19/09/2026

Using the FTS Data Advanced Database.
In the Brazilian Serie A, when the 6-game model projects 3.5+ match goals, Over 2.5 has landed in 57% of 221 games.
The league average for Over 2.5 is 45% - that's +12 points above the norm.
It has beaten that mark in 6 of the last 6 seasons (sample priced 1.79-2.54).
Fixtures that fit this weekend:
- Sun 20 Sep: Gremio RS v Palmeiras SP (Over 2.5 1.98, implies 51%)

You can find more stats like this in our weekly newsletter. https://ftsincome.co.uk/fts-betslip/

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18/09/2026

If more than one of these sounds familiar, it's worth a proper look at your week

17/09/2026

Did You Know?

In the Portuguese Primeira Liga, when the 6-game model projects 3.5+ match goals, Over 2.5 has landed in 62% of 278 games. The league average sits at 51% — this signal runs +11 points above the norm, and it's beaten that mark in 5 of the last 5 seasons (sample priced 1.42–2.30).

This weekend it fits: Rio Ave v CD Estrela (Mon 14 Sep), Over 2.5 currently 2.10, implying 48%.

This is a historical observation from the FTS Advanced database, not a selection or a tip. Past frequency doesn't predict this individual result, and prices move before kick-off.

16/09/2026

Down after a bad run, the temptation is to go bigger on the next one to “get it back.” That's not a plan; it's an instinct. The stake size should come from your staking plan, not your mood.

15/09/2026

One result doesn't tell you whether you made a good decision. A poor trade can win. A good trade can lose. What matters is whether you followed a sensible process — and what that process produces over a proper sample. Don't rewrite everything because Saturday didn't go your way. Review it. Record it. Then move on.
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14/09/2026

You don't need to predict the match. You need to price it. Nobody knows what will happen in 90 minutes. Not you, not the pundits, not the model. What the model can do is tell you whether the price on offer represents value against what's actually likely to happen — probability, not prophecy. Stop trying to be right about the result. Start trying to be right about the price.

13/09/2026

Strong Value in the O1.5, O2.5 and BTTS markets.
Use the 3-drip O1.5 method.
Final score: 0-0
That is trading.
Showing you the winners and losers and keeping it real.

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